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Goodbye to the Bulls?

 

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On the market's prospects: Japan's stock prices have been overvalued, with a P/E ratio higher than the United States and other developed countries. That was justified until the 1980s, but then Japan's economic growth got much worse. We saw a normalizing of stock prices, until Junichiro Koizumi became prime minister [in 2001]. People started to get back to the old theme—"Well, Japan's potential growth rate might have changed." But now the illusions are all gone. We are in a correction phase, but the P/E ratio is still almost equivalent to America's and Europe's, and if people believe Japan's growth rate will remain far below the United States' and Europe's, then Japan's stock price needs to come down. That is the basic market sentiment. I think the rationale is very strong.

Kanno is chief economist at JPMorgan in Tokyo.

'Optimistic'
Rupert Stadler
My personal view is optimistic. There have been market adjustments before. Our incoming order numbers are strong, and we haven't seen any signs of a slowdown. German industry has worked very hard in recent years to gain technology leadership, hold down costs and raise productivity. We've worked on diversifying our export markets away from being dependent on just one major region. German companies are more robust and better prepared than ever. We have a lot more room to breathe today than just a few years ago. Like many German companies that concentrate on the premium segment, our business is by nature not as volatile as the mass-market end of production. Our export markets are much more diversified today, and that holds not just for Audi but for all of German industry. We're no longer dependent on one or two major markets. For us, growth in the emerging markets is going to compensate for slower regions elsewhere. If there is a U.S. recession, American companies will be in a more difficult position, since they're more dependent than we are on the domestic market.

Stadler is chief executive officer of Audi.

© 2008

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: kchari@bestweb.net @ 10/23/2008 3:08:45 AM

    I do not see housing finance as the prime problem. The fact is that the mortgagese were given to those who are and were financially unable to pay the instalments throwing away sound banking principles. The same is true with regard to Credit Card financing. You can indefinitely extend the Credit card debt charging interest and ask for minimum payment and book the profit while the capital extended would eventually would become bad debts. The whole mess is created selling to the consumer to live for today and accumulate debts payble by your kids and grand kids and many more generations. Well the the days has come for accountability and it has not waited for your kids and grand kids.
    Kris Chari

  • Posted By: OnlyCureJGK @ 08/05/2008 3:55:40 PM

    The problem is simple corruption needs to be stopped beginning with those who have profited for years from corruption. Please look up this individual ---- Nelson Wilmarth Aldrich ---- he was the father in law of Mr. Rockefeller who's family went on to controll the private banks which became the central bank the FED which is a private institution. This individual Nelson came up with the Income Tax and The Central Bank. Follow the money and you will find the corruption behind the problems in society. For 240.00 the Central Bank the Fed can create 1 million dollars then using the IRS they can bilk the public for 1 Million plus interest. Its easy math to see they have the complete control of the US government and even the world. Money is the root of all evil. Look up the owners of Standard oil it is a circle leading right back to the FED.

  • Posted By: blessedone @ 01/31/2008 7:30:06 AM

    These bankers know their customers better then they customers know themselves, this is all creative net working a money game that they're playing. how can you blame a straving man for eating the bread that someone is handing him who has arterial motives behind their deceptive gesture of generosity. and believe me these bankers had did their homework up there on capital hill, by lobbying and spreading money for the protection they needed so the law want come after them, for the shrewd shell game they play on the american people. Wake UP! dress a pig up any way you like, it's still greed and simple con.

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