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Delegates Count, but How do you Count Them?

Byzantine party rules, unbound delegates make estimating a headache.

 

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The headlines are confusing. Sen. Hillary Clinton "won" California. She "won" New York. But Sen. Barack Obama was the "victor" in more Super Tuesday states.

It's hard to define winners in a Democratic race when delegates are awarded proportionally. The difference between Clinton netting 52 percent of the vote in the Golden State and Obama taking home 42 percent is, well, more subtle than you'd expect.

Delegate crunching is both an art and a science, and the task can be can annoyingly open to interpretation.

So, in the aftermath of Tuesday's primaries and caucuses, which of the Democratic presidential contenders is actually closer to having the 2,025 delegates needed to clinch the nomination?

Sorry folks, the answer to that question won't be clear for a while.

One reason: Democratic Party rules on selecting delegates to the national convention — the body that formally nominates the presidential candidate — are neither simple nor straightforward.

Let's take California as an example of how the delegate count works.

California Democrats award 129 delegates in proportion to statewide vote.

Clinton won the state with 52 percent of the votes cast.

This part seems easy: 129 multiplied by .52 equals 67, so Clinton gets 67 of the statewide delegates.

But the state Democrats also award 241 other delegates proportionally depending on each candidate's vote tally in each of the state's 53 congressional districts.

The tricky part is figuring out who really won each congressional district.

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: Texasgal @ 02/13/2008 4:03:44 AM

    mmmmm

  • Posted By: roncraw @ 02/12/2008 3:02:45 PM

    I see a overwhelming need for the knowledgable super delegates. It's hard to believe the number of comment writers who say Hillary was the only one on the Fl. ballot.Are these the people that should pick the nexr Dem Nom..All 6 were on the ballot I voted. In fact Obama ran an ad here prior to the primary.

  • Posted By: ericrsiny @ 02/12/2008 11:33:28 AM

    On the one hand the Obama campaign is saying that we should not change the rules in the middle of the game and allow the Florida and Michigan delegates to be seated but yet they DO want to change the rules in the middle of the game and state that super delegates should not be allowed to vote how they want (which has been the rule for 20 years) but rather they should vote based on some other factor. Is the Obama campaign saying that the Florida and Michigan delegates should not be seated since those are the rules but the rules should be broken when it comes to super delegates?

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