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Of course, after June, one candidate could blink and step aside. But if only a few delegates separate the two candidates and there are enough uncommitted superdelegates and Michigan and Florida are not resolved, well, to the dismay of Democrats, Denver could be the scene of real drama, horse trading and arm-twisting. For political junkies, conventions are always worth watching. It could be doubly so this year.

Rove, former senior adviser and deputy chief of staff for President Bush, is a NEWSWEEK contributor. He has attended nine GOP conventions.

© 2008

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  • Posted By: foodnotbombs @ 05/11/2008 11:49:12 PM

    rove is a war criminal and belongs in a prision cell.

  • Posted By: 47rusty @ 05/06/2008 3:02:42 PM

    To "Not stupid",

    Does the fact that Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina did not change the approved primary order by having their primaries on unapproved dates matter? My perception is that this is the real issue, that Michigan and Florida "cut the line", and not just that they had their primaries on unapproved dates.

  • Posted By: Not stupid in Alabama @ 05/06/2008 4:13:55 AM

    If Obama steals the nomination, it will be the end of the democratic party. Hillary has the most popular votes and she has won the states the dems have to win to get into th ewhitehouse. Obama won't win those states.

    The only way EITHER of them can win the nomination is with superdelegates, and it is up to the superdelegates to decide. They must count all the votes and take into account whether some of Obama's popular vote is due to republicans crossing over to vote against Clinton (which it is), and whether the "Reagan democrats" with vote for him given what the voters already know about Obama, and what will probably become issues focused on by the republicans, including Obama's years of cocaine use.

    While Hillary's economic strength would expose McCain's weakness, Obama's "shouldn't have voted to authorize force in Iraq" plays into McCain's strength, as indicated by the new 527 ad already being used in NC where so many democrats have endorsed Obama, and the Republicans see an opening to challenge them at the state and national office level for making that endorsement.

    Hillary is winning. If the democrats had a winner take all system like our country uses to elect a president instead of this stupid proportional division of delegates that has created so much confusion and controversy, she would be ahead of Obama by 321 delegates, without the superdelegates by 320 delegates.

    Total delegates including Supers:

    Hillary - 1937
    Obama - 1616

    Total delegates not including Supers:

    Hillary - 1588
    Obama - 1268

    These totals do not include Michigan or Florida.

    If we include Michigan and Florida:

    Hillary - 2304
    Obama - 1616

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