SPONSORED BY:
EAST ASIA

The Politics of Practical Nostalgia

Asians are rallying to new leaders promising something the region once took for granted: growth.

Ralph Tooten / Corbis
One Night in Bangkok: Looking for new leadership in Thailand
 

Email To A Friend

Please fill in the following information and we'll email this link.

Separate multiple addresses with commas

SPONSORED BY
 

Voters in Asia are kicking out incumbents like never before. As maturing economies combine with the global slowdown to put a brake on the pace of development, Asians are electing pragmatic managers-in-chief who promise a return to the good old days of fast growth, job security and social mobility. The first came in South Korea last December, when former Hyundai chairman Lee Myung-bak won election as president vowing to serve as the pro-business CEO of a "Global Korea" and ending the reign of a string of populist liberals. On March 8 in Malaysia, an opposition coalition dealt the ruling party its worse loss in four decades by running on bread-and-butter issues and promising to end a stifling Malay affirmative-action system. Then on March 22, voters in Taiwan tossed out a quixotic nationalist who had undermined Taiwan's key economic advantage—access to mainland China—in favor of Ma Ying-jeou, who promises to improve economic ties with the mainland. In an exclusive interview with NEWSWEEK last week, Ma said he won because voters were tired of "pugnacious nationalism" and because the economic performance of outgoing President Chen Shui-bian had been "so poor, people just felt that enough is enough."

It's a counterrevolution of sorts. Unlike the rabble-rousers, populists and old-guard ideologues they've ousted, Asia's new leaders are mostly common-sense conservatives who preach limited government, free trade and multipronged development strategies that evoke the go-go 1980s—in the hope they can recapture the 8 to 9 percent growth that transformed backwaters like South Korea and Taiwan into modern, high-tech economies. Such pledges have hit home with voters keenly aware that, outside China and India, Asia's growth rates have slowed to an average of about 5 percent in the last decade (compared with 6.5 percent in emerging markets worldwide). "Prodded by a realization that the world is passing them by, voters in the region's laggard economies have either thrown incumbents out or cast protest votes against their governments," writes Ruchir Sharma, head of global emerging markets at Morgan Stanley, in a recent note.

Yet reviving the kind of rapid growth that Asia enjoyed before the 1997 financial crisis may not be possible. These countries, particularly Taiwan and South Korea, may be too mature to expand as fast as developing economies can. Lee, for example, has promised to push South Korea's growth rate back to 7 percent. But with a GDP already at $950 billion, that would require an additional $67 billion in output each year. Ten years ago, the same feat would've required only $25 billion.

East Asia's industrial giants have lost much of their labor-intensive manufacturing to China, and governments are under intense pressure to respond. But the old strategy of export-led expansion—which included keeping currencies artificially cheap and erecting barriers to protect the local market—won't fly anymore. Once upon a time, these states used centralized government to build and defend internationalization, but that is increasingly difficult in a world where vast trade and capital flows are overwhelming national bureaucracies. "All of these leaders have to cope with a new world where they have much less power over their own economies," says Phil Deans, a political economist at Temple University in Tokyo. "You can't be ideological when confronted with globalization, you have to be pragmatic."

That's one trait the new leaders share. Ma joined the ruling Kuomintang shortly before it ended 38 years of military rule in 1987. In 2000, the KMT lost power for the first time to the Taiwan-born Chen, a former human-rights lawyer who obsessively championed Taiwanese identity and implied that Ma and other mainlanders had divided loyalties. Chen fought economic integration with China as a threat to national security, and Taiwan paid the price: during his eight-year reign, the economy grew at just 4 percent annually—down from nearly 13 percent in the 1980s.

Ma campaigned on the argument that integration with China is a savvy global economic strategy, not a threat. When he takes office in May, he plans to forge direct transport links with the mainland, free up capital flows and open the door to millions of Chinese tourists. "We're not saying we want to be pro-China," says Ma. "We're just trying to do business as usual.

Label

Newsweek Top Stories
Visions of a Decade
Visions of a Decade

From 2000-2009, one photo per month.

The Failure of Copenhagen
The Failure of Copenhagen

Why there could be a silver lining in a failed climate treaty.

Sex Scandals of the 2000s
Sex Scandals of the 2000s

From John Edwards to Mark Sanford, the decade's memorable affairs.

118 Days in Hell
118 Days in Hell

A NEWSWEEK journalist recounts his captivity in Iran.

Discuss

Sponsored by

Member Comments

  • Posted By: Diaoan Lang @ 04/19/2008 11:50:55 AM

    Calling President-elect Ma a pragmatic candidate is naïve and oversimplifying the story. Ma is well known for playing word games to gain popularity. He is willing to say just anything to please the public and avoid responsibility. He does not have to worry about the mass media because of the existence of a mass system of covering up for individual interests in the KMT/Chinese tradition. He has demonstrated willing-ness to switch directions at any point of time and reverse what he said before. I would not count on his words and expect any achievement from him.
    His father commanded and trained him to become a President. Now he has achieved a life-time goal and there is nothing left for him to strive as long as he con-tinue to feed the needy in his political system all who has a part of his presidency, in-cluding the mass media, the government workers, the personnel in the judicial, the law-enforcing and the banking system, the teachers in all public schools, etc. This is a very easy task for him because he only needs to follow what the KMT has been doing in the last 90+ years and the general public in Taiwan is very familiar with the schemes. The majority of people growing up in Taiwan knows and takes advantage of the tricks of KMT ruling. They are willing to play the games to receive some immedi-ate satisfaction and, at the same time, avoid hassles in return.
    The ultimate goal of KMT and their individual members is individual gains from the political machine. This is evidenced in the methods of their recruitment. This so-called political party has never had policy or strategy for a long-running nation. The only agenda of the party is survival and individual profit in the survival games. The party capitalizes on the survival mode of the country without caring for the coun-try or the global world as a unit. Truth, the least important piece in their board games, has been and will be sacrificed as needed.

  • Posted By: Diaoan Lang @ 04/19/2008 11:41:39 AM

    Calling President-elect Ma a pragmatic candidate is oversimplifying the story. Ma is well known for playing word games to gain popularity. He is willing to say just anything to please the public and avoid responsibility. He does not have to worry about the mass media because of the existence of a mass system of covering up for individual interests in the KMT/Chinese tradition. He has demonstrated willingness to switch directions at any point of time and reverse what he said before. I would not count on his words and expect any achievement from him.
    His father commanded and trained him to become a President. Now he has achieved a life-time goal and there is nothing left for him to strive as long as he con-tinue to feed the needy in his political system all who has a part of his presidency, in-cluding the mass media, the government workers, the personnel in the judicial, the law-enforcing and the banking system, the teachers in all public schools, etc. This is a very easy task for him because he only needs to follow what the KMT has been doing in the last 90+ years and the general public in Taiwan is very familiar with the schemes. The majority of people growing up in Taiwan knows and takes advantage of the tricks of KMT ruling. They are willing to play the games to receive some immedi-ate satisfaction and, at the same time, avoid hassles in return.
    The ultimate goal of KMT and their individual members is individual gains from the political machine. This is evidenced in the methods of their recruitment. This so-called political party has never had policy or strategy for a long-running nation. The only agenda of the party is survival and individual profit in the survival games. The party capitalizes on the survival mode of the country without caring for the coun-try or the global world as a unit. Truth, the least important piece in their board games, has been and will be sacrificed as needed.

  • Posted By: Diaoan Lang @ 04/19/2008 11:39:49 AM

    Calling President-elect Ma a pragmatic candidate is oversimplifying the story. Ma is well known for playing word games to gain popularity. He is willing to say just anything to please the public and avoid responsibility. He does not have to worry about the mass media because of the existence of a mass system of covering up for individual interests in the KMT/Chinese tradition. He has demonstrated willingness to switch directions at any point of time and reverse what he said before. I would not count on his words and expect any achievement from him.
    His father commanded and trained him to become a President. Now he has achieved a life-time goal and there is nothing left for him to strive as long as he con-tinue to feed the needy in his political system all who has a part of his presidency, in-cluding the mass media, the government workers, the personnel in the judicial, the law-enforcing and the banking system, the teachers in all public schools, etc. This is a very easy task for him because he only needs to follow what the KMT has been doing in the last 90+ years and the general public in Taiwan is very familiar with the schemes. The majority of people growing up in Taiwan knows and takes advantage of the tricks of KMT ruling. They are willing to play the games to receive some immedi-ate satisfaction and, at the same time, avoid hassles in return.
    The ultimate goal of KMT and their individual members is individual gains from the political machine. This is evidenced in the methods of their recruitment. This so-called political party has never had policy or strategy for a long-running nation. The only agenda of the party is survival and individual profit in the survival games. The party capitalizes on the survival mode of the country without caring for the coun-try or the global world as a unit. Truth, the least important piece in their board games, has been and will be sacrificed as needed.

Reply

Report Abuse

Enter comments if any for reporting abuse

My Take

Customize the NEWSWEEK homepage
to feature your favorite columnists.

Customize Now