I am a normal middle class citizen of the United States and a former democrat.
I do not trust Obama on any issue. He seems to keep piggy backing and drawing from McCains efforts. Everytime McCain makes a statement Obama did it first. Isn't anyone catching this pattern? Doesn't any one listen as he stutters to find words to appease with out giving any kind of actual details. My goodness he couldn't even recall the name of the soldier whose bracelet he was given with out referring to his notes. He reads from notes not from his heart. He is only a puppet of the party.
Obama is all about HIM HIM HIM. He makes it out like he single handedly controlled and influenced the bailout bill results ( over the phone non the less) Mc Cain is all about AMAERICA FIRST. He does claim he was involved, which he washe was there, but he admits it was a group effort ( democrats and republicans working together) giving credit where credit is due. Not just to himself.
I believe Mcain CAN and WILL UNITE the parties to take care of the American people.
Yes I believe the bail out is a necessity if we as the United States of America are to survive. Although we the American people did not cause the crises, as we have not caused the world disasters or the problems with the world countries we have bailed out. Why are we so quick to rush to the aid of others yet hesitate to take care of our own. I do not understand. As a United Nation we can overcome, divided we will fail.
On the national security issue. I am extremely concerned. We need McCains experience, knowledge and his relationships with key players. I believe our enemys are waiting in the shadows ready to pounce if Obama gets into office. He is weak in this area and they know it.
We are Americans and we need McCain to keep us STRONG. I want to commend those that are supporting McCain as this shows the strength and backbone of our American heritage. The questions I would like to ask the people of the United States that support Obama are: How well do you REALLY know him, other than what you hear from his group of cronies? Don't you think the people he has been, and is today associated with is any indication of who he really is? You can't just turn your back on the people in your life as it suites your needs for example claiming to know nothing of the radical side of his associates whose efforts he supported in the past.
PLEASE. Americans are not that naive.
I am not denying that Obama is an intelligent educated individual. But he lacks the experience and knowledge to lead this counrty in the crucial times of this errra. Maybe in 8 years after he has watched and studied the MAVERICKS at work he may be ready.
- 1
- 2
Poll Position
Email To A Friend
Please fill in the following information and we'll email this link.
Instead, it was left to the McCain campaign to question the Times/Bloomberg poll in a study by its polling firm. Using dry, methodological language, the campaign made one central point, that the survey had had too many Democrats in it and too few Republicans: 39 percent Democrats and only 22 percent Republicans. No other recent poll had found that large a gap in a random survey of adults. (The Newsweek poll had a similarly large gap.)
But what if the two new polls were reflecting the reasonable possibility that, in recent days, both "strong" and "weak" Democrats had begun to move toward unity behind Obama? And what if, as economic fears deepen, gas and food prices rise and President Bush falls through the floor in terms of job approval, the GOP brand has become even more toxic than was thought possible?
There are some other, more technical, reasons why the Newsweek poll might differ from, say, the Gallup Tracking Poll. Every polltaker has his or her own theories of how best to do the job. Ours come from Larry Hugick, the chairman of Princeton Survey Research, who has been in the business since 1978, and polling for Newsweek since 1993. Unlike some firms, he explained to me, PSR always asks the "horserace" question first; his theory is that this ensures that answers aren't influenced by the wording of earlier questions.
PSR only calls landlines; Gallup calls cell phones, too. There is a big dispute among the experts as to whether this matters. In fact, according to Hugick, it may mean that Newsweek didn't sample enough voters under the age of 30, who've grown up with a cell phone in hand. If that's true, then Obama did as well as he did in our poll in spite of a cell phone handicap! We also poll in the evening; Gallup does so throughout the day. And our latest poll was taken over two days, June 18 and 19. Gallup's "tracking" poll is a "rolling average" over three days.
Even Gallup polls differ from client to client. Its own tracking poll has the race dead even; the one that Gallup does with USA Today has Obama ahead by six points.
All polls are snapshots of a moment in time, the cliché goes, and there is truth to it. My sense of our own Newsweek Poll is that it is very good at picking up—often ahead of the curve—early movements that other polls later validate. We are tuned to a high sensitivity, and catch quick, momentary reactions, some of which turn out to be prophetic, others of which turn out flat wrong.
A good example of the first kind was late last fall, when we were the first to show Obama ahead of Sen. Clinton among Democrats in Iowa. "We took a lot of heat for that one, too," Hugick recalled.
But nothing like in 1984. That was the most embarrassing example of the latter kind of survey. It predates PSR but remains seared into our institutional memory. The day the Democratic convention ended in San Francisco in 1984, the Newsweek poll showed Walter Mondale 18 points ahead of President Ronald Reagan. Mondale ended up getting clobbered, 49 states to one.
For readers and voters, says Hugick, the best way to judge the flow of polls is to look at them all. There are websites, such as RealClearPolitics.com, that constantly compile an average of all credible surveys. According to that average, Obama is ahead by 6.7 percentage points. Which means that, if we're still "outliers," so are the folks at Gallup.
© 2008
- 1
- 2
Discuss