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The deposit-insurance fund has about $52.8 billion in it. The IndyMac failure of last week will require you to spend about $4 to $8 billion alone, up to 15 percent of the fund. How many bank failures will it take to deplete the fund?
We don't make public projections. We've had five failures this year. There will be more this year and more next year. But in 1989, at the peak of the savings and loan crisis, we closed 534 institutions, and the troubled bank list had a couple thousand institutions on it. Today, there are about 90 banks on the troubled list.
But it's not just the number that matters; it's the size, right?
Larger institutions typically have lower loss rates than smaller institutions. My view is that I would be very, very surprised if an institution of significant size were to get into serious trouble. But we prepare for all contingencies.
So can you categorically rule out that taxpayers will have to help FDIC pay out claims?
I can only answer questions based on what I know now, but based on that, I don't think that would happen. Even in the most dire, worst-case scenarios in which we'd have to call on the federal government to backstop the fund, by statute we would be required to then make assessments on banks to pay the government back. Ultimately the industry that benefits from this insurance must pay.
What keeps you awake at night?
Not being able to get the housing market stabilized. There are a few little signs that things may be stabilizing but not enough to give me a lot of comfort. In terms of an immediate shock, certainly a mega-internationally active bank getting into trouble is something that we all worry about.
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