How to Manage Moscow

 

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Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has stated that "the U.S. will have to choose between its virtual Georgia project and its much broader partnership with Russia." This, too, is linkage. It is unacceptable, but the fact Lavrov could say it reflects how much leverage Moscow has now. Over time, the best way to moderate Russian behavior is by reducing the wealth Russia derives from oil and gas. Russian policy toward Georgia would likely be less assertive if oil were $40 a barrel. Prices will move in this direction only when the United States reduces what it consumes and when it increases the supply of both oil and alternatives. Energy policy is national-security policy.

This will all take years and probably decades. In the meantime, Georgia need not be ignored. The United States is providing humanitarian help to Georgia and should look for other ways to but-tress its government. Negotiating the removal of Russian troops from Georgia and replacing them with legitimate international peacekeepers is worth pursuing. Bringing Georgia and Ukraine into the EU and NATO should remain on the agenda, although the timing and terms of further enlargement needs to be a matter of consultation with European allies—and with Russia as well.

Taking Russian concerns into account as we design and implement U.S. foreign policy is not appeasement. Nor does it give Moscow a veto. The point is that the United States cannot make policy toward Georgia or any other country in isolation. We have a range of interests, and Russia, for better or worse, is critical to many of them. Defining interests and determining priorities is the beginning of strategy. The 44th president will need one for Russia.

Haass, a NEWSWEEK contributor, is the president of the Council on Foreign Relations.

© 2008

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: Glenno @ 09/22/2008 7:05:26 PM

    How about US try something new, and take Russia's security concerns into account? Stop US from interfering in Georgian and Ukrainian elections, stop pushing NATO to Russia's borders (2/3 of Ukraine dont want NATO), stop building missile shield on their borders, stop arming your satelites states to attack Russia, stop ignoring Russian objections (and internation law) by destroying Serbia and proclaiming independence for Kosovo.

    The American Empire will hopefully soon fall as the Soviet Empire did, so maybe America should try to cooperate with other nations instead of dominating them while the US still has the majority of power in the world.

  • Posted By: uglylastslonger @ 09/05/2008 3:15:12 AM

    "Russia possesses approximately half the world's nuclear weapons, is the largest producer of natural gas and the second largest producer of oil, is a major exporter of modern arms, holds dollar reserves nearing $300 billion and, with its seat on the U.N. Security Council, is positioned to facilitate or frustrate a good deal of U.S. foreign policy."

    Yea, so what? We also know what happens to the guy with the best seat on the Titanic. He went down with it, as did the Soviet Union went down owing the same exact craps the Russian has now.

    I'm amazed that guys like Pukin still walk around thinking the world owes him respect. How childish is that.

  • Posted By: doktor @ 08/27/2008 9:28:37 AM

    to know something more serious

    27 Jul 2008 - The Grand Chessboard:About Oil & Natural GasThis is the north and south part of just the Caspian Sea area and who holds the tracts of oil and natural gas. It is not a US Show, ...
    www.rense.com/general82/grand.htm

    13 Aug 2008 - RFID In Your Clothing And ShoesIn 2003, Albrecht's consumer group CASPIAN led a successful boycott against Italian clothing manufacturer Benetton. The resulting worldwide opposition ...
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    24 Aug 2008 - Pipeline Plans And Diaper DreamingWe gotta grab that Caspian Basin and have pipeline routes out for the oil and ... Even Turkmenistan is against running a pipeline across the Caspian Sea and ...
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    1 Aug 2008 - Phew! Bush Dirty Diapers!As the bad news unfolds in the Caspian Basin that the US is being 'shut out' of its delusional Grand Chessboard scheme, there are other forest fires, ...
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    14 Aug 2008 - Stupid Strikes AgainTime and time again, the US has violated Russian sovereignty throughout the Clinton and Bush Administrations to get to the oil and gas in the Caspian Basin ...
    www.rense.com/general83/stupid.htm

    11 Aug 2008 - Operation DagestanWell, it has choice 'beach frontage' on the Caspian Sea. ... The entire Caspian Basin community is 'against' the US running a pipeline through their source ...
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    9 Aug 2008 - Bush And His Zionist Pals - Stupid Is As Stupid DoesBy the stroke of a pen, Russia has taken over most of the entire Caspian Basin area's ... That is one of the few routes they have out of the Caspian Basin's ...
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    20 Aug 2008 - Israel Planned To Use Georgia Airbases In Iran AttackThe objective of Israel is not only to acquire Caspian sea oil for its own consumption needs but also to play a key role in re-exporting Caspian sea oil ...
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    10 Aug 2008 - Soros Is CIA In EUThey wanted in on the Big Caspian Basin Oil and Gas Grab but did not want to ... He is one of the Caspian Basin Investment Club investors and without that ...
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    5 Aug 2008 - Translating And Dissecting DC LiesAs I have illustrated in earlier essays, they have also failed miserably in their Grand Chessboard scheme to take over the Caspian Basin oil and gas as well ...

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