A Respectable Russia

 

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NATO has been deeply divided over how to respond to this threat to potential future members. Germany and Italy—not by coincidence two of Russia's biggest gas customers—sought to keep what German Chancellor Angela Merkel called "an open dialogue." George W. Bush gave unambiguous support to Tbilisi and threatened Russia with "serious consequences" if it did not withdraw from Georgia. The Poles immediately signed up to a U.S. plan to station antimissile defense rockets on their territory—drawing an immediate threat from Russia's Nogovitsyn that "Poland, by deploying [the system], is exposing itself to a nuclear strike—100 percent."

But the far more immediate danger is to Russia itself. In the wake of the Georgian conflict, the Russian Stock Exchange took one of its biggest hits of the past decade. It dropped nearly 6 percent in a single day. Investors' greatest fear is of a new era of military confrontation between Russia and its neighbors. In the meantime, Medvedev's ambitious agenda for reform has been hijacked by Putin's ambitions. Medvedev, when he came to office, spoke of ending Russia's culture of "legal nihilism," extortion and corruption. Just last month Medvedev told Russian bureaucrats to stop "terrorizing" businessmen with enforcement of petty regulations and demands for bribes; he also promised to reform the justice system and property rights. But just as Medvedev was getting traction, and feeling a little more confident in his role as president, he found himself mugged by history, in the form of Putin and a small, festering little post-Soviet conflict that blew up into a full-scale war.

More profound, the "war has intensified a conservative backlash in Russia," says Lilia Shevtsova of Moscow's Carnegie Center. "The country is now highly unified against the West." Even traditional liberals have lined up to blast the Georgian aggression. In that respect, the war has escalated a two-decade-long internal debate over whether Russia would join the international community of values, broadly defined as the West, or go over to the dark, anarchic world of rogue states and totalitarian regimes. The war won't decide that debate either way, but if it pushes Russia into a spiraling confrontation with its neighbors and the West, it will mark a turning point in which Russia veered off in a new and unpredictable direction.

With Anna Nemtsova In Crimea

© 2008

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: The genius @ 12/08/2008 9:08:52 AM

    MrLatvia is an aggressive racist. Recollect: the Latvian arrows were vanguard armies of communists when they have made revolution in Russia in 1917. Recollect: the Latvian armies in structure of elite armies of fascists in 1941 - 1944. The mass executions made by these Latvians.
    Now deprivation of passports and many rights of Russian in Lithuania. Human rights are broken and it is an attribute of democracy in Latvia, more all similar to fascism.

  • Posted By: streetwise @ 09/08/2008 1:10:43 PM

    "I will not start the third world war to please you"
    (english general "Rambo" Jackson to his american direct superior, who was ordering him to attack russian paratroopers in Pristina, Kosovo)

  • Posted By: MrLatvia @ 09/05/2008 8:32:55 PM

    What everyone seems to forget is that Russia (whether it's called The Soviet Union, the USSR, Czarist Russia or the Gulag Republics of PooTinstan) IS and always has been a Terrorist Nation - in the 20th century it was the leading Terrorist State on the planet... remember?
    As I've said all along, Bush attacked the wrong area of the world with Weapons of Mass Destruction - duh - look who's sitting on a pile of them right next door to Europe. The 3 Stooges (Chairman Poo Tin, Dim Medvedev and a plaster-cast statue of Stalin) took on Georgia because it only has an army of 37,000 (compared to Russia's 1.1 million). Georgia is also a key in the Caucasus region - the roots of Europe... like the Chechens, the ancient Colchis & Iberian kingdoms influenced all the primary roots of European civilization. Anyway, Stalin's plan when he was a ???commissioner of the minorities??? way back in the 1920s was to eliminate ALL the tribes of Europe & replace them with Homo Sovieticus. Ya know what I mean? It's astounding that since the second Russian occupation of Chechnya (which Chairman Poo Tin ordered in 2000) the Russians still have been unable to eliminate (& conquer) those tough mountain peoples. Ingushetia (a captive nation inside Russia) has asked for help to "liberate" it from Russia - is that a hint to the EU or NATO? Or maybe Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania should become Nuclear Powers and ???liberate??? the oppressed minorities inside the federation? Did Russia open the doors (unknowingly?) to "liberating" its own captive nations by recognizing the so-called ???independence??? of Abhkazia & South Ossetia and creating "buffer zones" inside sovereign Georgia? Or is that a trap? No one has been allowed into the newly "independent" zones of occupation under complete Chairman Poo Tin control??? what is going on there? Are the army hordes being massed there for a total onslaught on Europe??? Paris??? Berlin??? Rome??? will the veterans of the Chechen genocide be allowed to rape, plunder & ravage the Continent? I mean, where else can they go? Iran? China? Let's see what kind of "buffer zones" the Chinese will carve out of Siberia... come on European Union or NATO even - get your act together and "liberate" Yakutia or Ingushetia or Chechnya or one of the other captive nations. Question the legitimacy of this rule by those 3 Stooges. Genocide is at your doorstep Europe - so what are ya gonna do about it?

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