ISRAEL

Iran Nukes: Out of Reach

 

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It wasn't an official military assessment, but retired Gen. John Abizaid's remarks at a Marine Corps University conference last week appeared to echo the thinking of at least some in the upper echelons of the U.S. military: Israel is incapable of seriously damaging Iran's nuclear program. Abizaid, who oversaw military operations in the Middle East as head of U.S. Central Command until 18 months ago, caused a stir last year by publicly asserting the United States could live with a nuclear-armed Iran through a strategy of cold-war-style deterrence. Last week, when asked to reflect on the possible consequences of an Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, Abizaid said he doubted whether "the Israelis have the capability to make a lasting impression on the Iranian nuclear program with their military capabilities." An Israel–Iran confrontation, he said, would be "bad for the region, bad for the United States [and would] ultimately move the region into an even more unstable situation."

Israel believes Tehran might be within a year of crossing the uranium-enrichment threshold and has made clear it would not tolerate a nuclear-armed Iran. (Iran says its program is peaceful.) A year ago, Israel sent warplanes to Syria to destroy what it believed to be a budding nuclear facility. But according to several officers and Pentagon analysts who spoke to NEWSWEEK, the U.S. military thinks Israel would face huge challenges in reaching Iran, refueling its warplanes along the way and penetrating hardened nuclear targets. Earlier this month, the United States agreed to sell Israel 1,000 small-diameter bombs known as GBU-39s, capable of piercing several feet of concrete—an arms deal that analysts believe is linked to the Iran issue. But a spokesman for Boeing, which makes the bombs, estimated that they would not be delivered before 2010. And thus far, according to a source familiar with talks between the two countries, the United States has not granted Israel's request for additional equipment. That order from the Israelis, said one Pentagon analyst who monitors the Middle East and did not want to be named discussing sensitive issues, reinforces the notion that its military does not have the means to conduct a large-scale attack.

© 2008

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: Trooper101st @ 10/10/2008 9:45:00 AM

    KYAN, maybe you can enlighten some of the people on this board by telling them how the Iranian Gov. denies the students the right to hold elections, that the Iranian people are progressive, they basically like the West, its culture, and freedoms. Its the Iranian Gov., NOT the populace. They are a young country, and desire free speech, democracy. NOT an Islamic theocracy. The Iranian Gov. is pushing thier country into a pasting they will NEVER forget, coz they want a nuclear capability. Who's to say they won't give it to Hezbollah? Israel MUST be pro-active, that strategy has worked for a long time.

  • Posted By: Trooper101st @ 10/10/2008 9:31:39 AM

    The only way to get to those hardened, underground sites is a joint Israeli-US strike. Whether the US is up to it or not, we will see during the next Administration. This sounds horrible, but low-yield nuclear bunker busters are part of the US arsenal, and using them in the desert may happen. Crippling Iran's ability to strike back is essential. It has to be a multi-targeted strike, involving hundreds of planes, over a period of weeks. Iran is building a nuclear capability, and with those psychotic mullahs and the midget Pres. in charge, you can expect them to use it. Middle East Times says there are 2 carrier battle groups on the way, including the UK's Ark Royal, a French battle group, and French Rafale's that will be launched from US carriers. A BLOCKADE may be in the works.

  • Posted By: Sultan Ahmed @ 09/26/2008 6:49:00 AM

    Addressing the United Nations'general Assembly
    Iranian president reitrated his resolve that
    Iranian nucear program is for peacefull purposes
    he further stated that
    Iran has decided will never depend on others
    ''we need electricity for domestic requirement.


    Inspite of this reassurence
    United States and 5+1 are not ready to believe in
    they are insisting that Iran sould stop riching uranium
    and accepte incentives offered by them to Iran.


    I am of the view that
    Iranian leadership has decided to nuclear weapons
    which need some more time
    because United states has traped in Afghanistan and Irag
    and on the other hand Pakistan has also delined America
    access to the trible areas which is called safe haven of insurgents.


    In the meanwile,
    a new conflict has been created
    between Russia and the United States
    by Russian Ggression on Goargia.


    In fact America has traped in the mud
    which has been created by itself
    and in such circumstances
    Iran has availed a delightfull oppotunity
    in becoming nuclear power.

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