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Winning in Afghanistan

A military analyst on what's wrong with U.S. strategy.

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  • Posted By: jbz7879 @ 01/01/2009 12:28:11 PM

    what is wrong

    usa is getting its *** kicked
    lolz

    and so will obama as well
    and he is already has such a skinnny he will be kicked all the way to moon and michelle will have to go to retrieve him

    that is if he tries any silly tricks like bush -only decency begets decency -

    and american afghan policy is anything but decent

    no way is america getting any cake in afghanistan ,iran or pakistan and that is for sure
    inshallah

  • Posted By: aliyandilawar @ 10/16/2008 7:50:07 PM

    I absolutely agree with Thomas Johnson???s identification of flaws in the present US counter-terrorist strategy in Afghanistan. The security situation has alarmingly deteriorated in the country over the past couple of years and Taliban or anti government elements are much stronger today than they were previously. They are free to operate and coerce/intimidate the rural population in large areas of the country (perhaps more than the government and international forces can do it under the present arrangements). The record breaking bumper crops of opium in last two years right under the nose of 60,000 international troops and Afghan government (practically absent form rural areas) have, on one hand, fairly resolved the Taliban???s dilemma of disruption to their financial channels and on the other, seriously question the role of international forces while being in cities. With a total agreement to writer???s argument on dissimilarity of Iraq and Afghanistan, and my personal experience of the region, I think the conventional wisdom of transplanting strategy of Iraq along with General Patreus and his surge approach needs to be seriously revisited. Perhaps, US needs to make Karzai Government play a bigger role than they are playing at the moment along with de-garrisoning of international troops from cities and moving them to villages. Taking more Pushtoons (may be some moderate parts of Taliban and I guess moderates do exist) on board thorough negotiations and making a more wider-netted and harmonized government in Afghanistan may help restore the situation

  • Posted By: aliyandilawar @ 10/16/2008 7:47:34 PM

    I absolutely agree with Thomas Johnson???s identification of flaws in the present US counter-terrorist strategy in Afghanistan. The security situation has alarmingly deteriorated in the country over the past couple of years and Taliban or anti government elements are much stronger today than they were previously. They are free to operate and coerce/intimidate the rural population in large areas of the country (perhaps more than the government and international forces can do it under the present arrangements). The record breaking bumper crops of opium in last two years right under the nose of 60,000 international troops and Afghan government (practically absent form rural areas) have, on one hand, fairly resolved the Taliban???s dilemma of disruption to their financial channels and on the other, seriously question the role of international forces while being in cities. With a total agreement to writer???s argument on dissimilarity of Iraq and Afghanistan, and my personal experience of the region, I think the conventional wisdom of transplanting strategy of Iraq along with General Patreus and his surge approach needs to be seriously revisited. Perhaps, US needs to make Karzai Government play a bigger role than they are playing at the moment along with de-garrisoning of international troops from cities and moving them to villages. Taking more Pushtoons (may be some moderate parts of Taliban and I guess moderates do exist) on board thorough negotiations and making a more wider-netted and harmonized government in Afghanistan may help restore the situation

  • Posted By: Sultan Ahmed @ 09/30/2008 6:44:42 AM

    By force to over Afghanistan is impossible
    such test has already been done
    by well-armed forces of a superpower
    on the contrary they lost their integrity
    and now their existancy but into pieces.


    eight year ago,
    there is no change in the circumstances
    during the period as avove-stated,the insurgency
    as they described it,
    has been increased and gained more power
    their way of guerilla fight rural and urban areas
    has afraid Nato forces
    war planners are looked failed in the war game.


    Now Pakistan is involved fully as a front line ally against the war ofterror
    millitary opration is going on in the area called safe haven of insurgents
    they are sacrificingonly for proving their loyalty friendship
    inspite of having knowledge that the whole people of pakistan have not
    such approach have included in the policy
    regarding the fight being fought in its own trible areas.


    We have reached at the end of the ecnomic destruction
    and america is also coming to this fastly
    as Ahmedinejad perdicted during his address
    to the united nation general assembly.


    Russia has gone
    drom this land
    passing 10 years
    losing 1.05 thousand armymen
    emity-handed becauise he had also believe in power
    blindly use in forces but failed
    the reason was that similarity with curcumstances had match.


    According to the independent reilable sources
    and as have seen the United states has adopted same strategy
    learn no lesson from the Russian war history
    in Afhganistan
    and moving forward in long dark tunnal
    as i am looking there is no light at the end of it.


    In the very start of the war
    experienced statsmaen expressed their firm opinon
    which were kicked out carelessly
    today they are still expressing their concerne but disregarded brutalitly.


    In case,
    warior president wante some good results
    if warior president want peace in the reason
    if warior president have desire to save america
    and other nato forces
    and respectfully way out
    will have to involved United Nations,
    Iran,
    China,
    and Russia in this matter
    for stable solution.


    Sultan Ahmed, Faisalabad,Pakistan.

  • Posted By: Safiullah Tazib @ 09/29/2008 1:46:26 PM

    Well, I tell you what's is wrong with America's strategy. American forces ejected Taliban from power and smoked al Qaeda fighters out of the caves in Tora Bora very fast, which was a job well done. But America failed to shase the Taliban and al Qaeda down to the place where they were designed and produced. It's an undeniable fact, Taliban and al Qaeda were produced by Pakistan's spy agency, ISI, at its head quarters in Rawalpindi. It's a known fact that the attack on America in September 2001, was originally orchestrated in Rawalpindi, at ISI's head quarters. But, the idiots in the White House, instead of holding ISI totally accountable for the 9/11, they foolishly poured billions and billions of dollars into the pockets of ISI's masters, for their fake promises to stand with America in the war on Taliban and al Qaeda. But did Pakistan and its ISI acted like allies with America? Of course they did not. What ISI did was faking few assassination attempts on Pakistan's then president, Musharraf and dodging one or two military operations in some tribal areas. Enough, to make the buffoons in White House feel, billions of their dollars well spent in Pakistan. Now, as the White House guys, slowly beginning to realise the fact that Pakistan and its ISI, actually retraining and galvanising al Qaeda and Taliban against Western forces in Afghanistan, ISI had to change the game in order to avoid its active support for Taliban and al Qaeda being totally come into the open: so it bombed Mariot Hotel and kidnapped Afghanistan's top diplomat in a broad daylight. Welcome to the world of ISI's new game. By bombing Marriot and kidnapping the diplomat, ISI also aimed to achieve three other things: 1) To draw the sympathy and a new round or America's billions of dollars towards Pakistan. 2) To make America feel guilty about its cross-border raid into Pakistan in pursuit of Taliban and al Qaeda fighters. 3) To fend off America's pressure to put a reall fight against Taliban and al Qaeda, implying that operating against the terrorist groups militarily is counter productive. It's sad, but it's a fact, Pakistan is now a terrorist state, armed with nuclear weapons. In another words, Taliban and al Qaeda now have their hands on Pakistan's nuclear bombs. Now, before it's too late, America must take steps to galvanise a cllective support of the world into crushing ISI into nonexistence. Or face the Armagedon, very soon !

  • Posted By: Immortal @ 09/27/2008 12:26:22 AM

    lol Afghanistan will be another Iraq except it will get worse! Remember WARS ARE NOT WON.
    And Can someone write articles on RAW and Mossad spy agencies of India and Israel respectively? What their agenda is? If they are really operating in Afghanistan?

    • Posted By: sb0614 @ 09/29/2008 1:41:52 AM

      to Immortal

      RAW = readers and writers and with Mossad they calculate the price of milk.

      Immortal - what kind of foil hat are wearing? Please straighten the antennas.

  • Posted By: momofamarine @ 09/28/2008 2:17:11 AM

    I don't know about everyone else but my Marine is not with Burger Kings and massage parlors. His FOB is a village they took away from the Taliban. He is working 24/7 winning over the Afghan people. Who will say when we've won the "war"? Not sure there's a referee over there.

  • Posted By: fitzirish @ 09/27/2008 11:27:06 AM

    The author/expert do not mention that there are already Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs) around the country doing the sort of local reconstruction projects (clinics, schools, micro-hydro, etc). Thse include folks with different engineering, agrcultural and civil affairs skills needed to assist the Afghans in the small communities (and the PRTs are sponsored by different NATO countries as well). They work with the provincial/local governments to decide on the projects/deciosion making process. He acts as if this is not going on at all. I think he must be suggesting that these PRTs be expanded in size/number. I am surprised that an expert would not mention a word about the PRTs in this article. The PRTs are the ones who have gone quite a way in winning over the local populations. The only flaw is that they need more. Mr. Johnsons, give credit where it is due. The only original "idea" you have is to exand the size/security of the PRTs that are already in place and that is already in the works.

  • Posted By: newdee @ 09/26/2008 6:58:24 PM


    A few points;
    1. Want to say hi to all army people on this board. You really are heroes who deserve our respect, love and admiration.
    2. Fully agree with all that has been said by Holly Garfield.
    3. If we have to win just one war. this is it. While we must do everything to protect civilians, we just cannot afford to lose this war.

    Now about this article. I agree that villages must be kept, not just won. Otherwise what is the purpose.

    I know the border is long and pourus, but can we not create a corridor all along the border(no tresspassing allowed), and restrict traffic of people to only designated areas? Just as someone said here, what is the use of fighting these luns, when they can go accross the border for refreshments?

    And the last point, US economy maybe going through a rough spot, but it is just as strong as the spirit of the American people. We can afford to stay as long as we have to. It is not for the Taliban and Alqaida types to say they'll wait it out. They can wait it out only if we let them to.

  • Posted By: nawawimohamad @ 09/23/2008 11:20:11 PM

    The USSR went bankrupt because of the Afghanistan war and the same will happen to the US. With the current economic debacle in the US, it is now begging money from the world and the taxpayers will have to pay for the loans. The problem is that the tax payers have not even been conceived in the wombs yet to pay the current loans! The US is now surviving simply on trust given by the creditors. This trust can be lost if they are not convinced that the US can pay or when the dollar lost its value. Another scenario would be the creditors have to pull back their loans because of some dire needs in their own countries or there are better alternatives elsewhere. The next scenario could be a natural disaster for example a major earth quake in Tokyo. The US may seems to be strong and powerful but the government played down the fact that it is rather precarious. The US cannot afford anymore war in Iraq and Afghanistan especially when Russia is now gaining strength while China is becoming a major economy, mind you without the so-called democracy that the US is so proud of.

    • Posted By: Holly Garfield @ 09/24/2008 12:56:58 AM

      The US went through the Great Depression in the 1930s and came out to be the dominant military force in WWII. Our current situation, no matter how bad, is far from the Great Depression. Russia had to close its own stock exchange this past week because of precipitous drops. The US stock exchanges kept right on working. China's stock markets are faring even worse than the US markets. Russia's economy is extremely energy dependent and China's economy is extremely manufacturing export dependent. Both of these suffer when the US economy is weak. The US, far more than almost any other country, tends to hang out its dirty laundry in the press. It is a big mistake to judge the condition of the US by what is printed in our press unless you are used to a really free press. Also the cost of good will in Afghanistan is well within the US budget. Afghanistan has so little modern technology that furnishing enough technology and education to influence the villagers to side with the US is not a big part of the US budget.

      The Taliban and AlQaida may be patient, The rest of the world where they are exporting their terrorism is not. Sooner or later one of the attacks that Pakistan is exporting will work, and that will almost certainly lead to a full scale multinational invasion of the entire Afghanistan/Pakistan area. The best, most secure, path to peace is exactly what this article presents. If we don't succeed in winning over the villagers then sooner or later the terrorists will launch a successful attack, and that will precipitate a virtual scorched earth invasion.

      • Posted By: sb0614 @ 09/26/2008 2:25:56 PM

        To Holly Garfield

        I echo your comments. To defeat the terrorists in Afghanistan, we must fight the radical islamists in Pakistan. Pakistan is the base, training grounds and where weapons are infiltrated from. The problem is Pakistan cannot effectively govern these tribal areas, additionally, when the US attacks these radicals there, the US is accused of "invading" Pakistan! Either Pakistanis have their priorities mixed or there is a sincere lack of will or just incompetence on their part.

        Regardless Afghanistan is paying the price.

  • Posted By: gabbyroo @ 09/26/2008 5:13:16 AM

    Some of the things posted here are rediculous. I truly am awed at the ignorance of those who think they know. I know i don't, and I am here every day and have been for 7 months and got 7 more to go. Come get a taste before you comment. Makes you look a little silly WINK WINK.

  • Posted By: rajaakhtar @ 09/23/2008 5:49:50 PM

    Comment: First of all we have to look in the mirror and ask why we are there,then you have to understand their culture their way of life and find a solution talking to the people there.You can not make them live your way of life, has to be their way of life.Help then evolve in their own socitey for the good for their own sake.
    How long it took western societies ?

    • Posted By: gabbyroo @ 09/26/2008 5:10:32 AM

      understand your Culture. We are not trying to make you like us. We are trying to make you take your own stand in your own country.. Werstern or eastern northern whatever.. it is as if you don't care what happens.. be happy with psyco Suicide people and Mud huts, but we are here to help and after beeing here for 7 months in ait 1st hand you don't care if we are here or not, but while we are here, you are going to take take , steal and kill , corruption is im\nbedded in the HEARTS AND MINDS of these people and it sickens me to know that our leadership is in Washington Discussing what they have never seen first hand, and we are living it without a voice, no one wants to listen to the ones in the trenches and dirt. What do you know about what we are trying to do , apparently nothing... but then again WHO DOES,,,,,

  • Posted By: Aditya Mookerjee @ 09/25/2008 9:29:49 AM

    I do not believe, that The United States is very motivated in either Iraq or Afghanistan. The rural areas, is what make a nation. How can one 'insulate' rural areas? How can one 'insulate' urban areas? There are Afghan nationals, who live in Afghanistan, whether rural, or urban. It is an impossibility, to make a sovereign nation have 'insulated' areas.The Americans will have to make peace with all, who are in Afghanistan, and they will do well in this endeavor.

  • Posted By: comradeyap @ 09/24/2008 7:07:43 PM

    This is a first for me in agreeing with a western "expert" Prof. Johnson. The west simply cannot win in afganistan because the USA strategy is to seek & kill"; but how do you remove an ants nest by merely "seeking & killing ?'

  • Posted By: ledisled @ 09/24/2008 6:15:02 PM

    i think bin laden is a ghost.........wink wink

  • Posted By: freedomofchoice @ 09/23/2008 4:41:42 PM

    We need to leave, Iraq and Afghanistan, period. STOP SELLING THEM WEAPONS. FIND SOLUTIONS TO AMERICA'S FUEL PROBLEMS and not deal with this OIL WAR!!!! It's there country, if they want to go around killing themselves who are we to stop them, there fools, and yes they hid behind there al la. I have two sons in the Army that have been back and forth overseas nine times, doing a job that they beleive in and that is the freedom of our Country, and yes I support our Men and Women that serve, God Bless them everyone. But the mideast have been fighting for HOW many Centuries? What will make them stop, not Russia, will it be US, and at what cost? And that's another thing........Does our own government really taking care of our soldiers?????? How about our forgotten Vet's, that the government have forsaken? I love the Men and Women of our Great military, they are brave souls and have given up alot, a whole lot, that the average person wouldn't even consider doing.

    We need to reunite with the Americans, and build back up our own Country make it a better place to live, take it back from the politicians. We use to be be a Country the was

    "FOR THE PEOPLE, BY THE PEOPLE" not the damn ME ME ME FILTHY RICH BASTARDS THAT KEEP TAKING AND TAKING, LIKE THE OIL COMPANYS, and special interest groups with there creative financing........... haven't we seen enough bad choices!!!!

    Just one fed-up Mother.............

    • Posted By: neocon @ 09/24/2008 3:39:53 PM

      Pssst.... Afghanistan doesn't have any oil, just thought you may want to know.

  • Posted By: MarieDevine @ 09/24/2008 12:41:25 PM

    The strategy needs changing. The Taliban and Osama Bin Laden supporters want the word of God to rule their nation; the United States does not. God fights for those who want Him, even if they are in error. If we wanted God's ways and standards to be the standard in our nation, there would be no war. The primary message of the Qur???an is to follow the whole Bible, not just part. We could easily undo the over-radical elements with ???It is written in the word of God.???
    The US wants bars, short skirts, halter tops, high heels, alcohol, swearing, pre-marital sex, seductive or violent movies and music, condoms in school, abortion and more. Afghanistan and Pakistan leaders cannot support the US strongly without first turning away from God and that is where they lose their wisdom and protection. Jesus said, ???First take the beam out of your own eye, then shall you see clearly to take the speck out of your brother???s eye.
    Taliban needs to stop the violence so foreign troops will leave their country; but if the US insists on Western values as stated above, the Taliban cannot stop. It is written in all holy books to fight evil, and establish good."
    We can only surely win with repentance, forgiveness, and turning to God's ways in truth.

  • Posted By: MET9 @ 09/24/2008 11:20:03 AM

    One more thing, we as a country will never win the support of the everyday people in a country like Afghanistan until we can show them that we are not "THE GREAT SATAN". As long as we have such issues as peolpe who will vote against a presidential candidate just because of the color of his skin, how can we expect people in the same region where history shows brown-skinned people to have spread out to the rest of the world to trust us? We can't and they won't. America has gone into Iraq and rewritten their constitution in order for our special interest oil companies to conduct business there. The peoples of Afghanistan can look at that fact and rightfully say that we cannot be trusted to hold their best interest in mind. They want us dead because (to their minds) we are intent on destroying their culture and way of life. Considering the fact that European nations have been invading, conquering and destroying people in that region of the world for centuries, it is beyond arrogant for us not to think that they just might think that they are fighting for thier very survival. Don't get me wrong, I don't support anyone who thinks its right to kill for religious or political economic gain. I was building a water treatment facility in Rockdale Co., Ga on 9/11 and I was/am as outraged as everyone else. I'm merely trying to point out that a nation that is founded on giving syphillis in blankets to the original inhabitants of this land and turning fire hoses, sicking dogs on, and ultimately killing a man who only who only asked for the rights contained within our constitution to stop being withheld from his people because of their color is not going to help in trying to form relations with a people who already have no trust for us as a nation.

  • Posted By: MET9 @ 09/24/2008 10:15:23 AM

    Well, well, well, now that America has (as of yesterday) reached its true objective in Iraq ( Alternet.com THE GREAT IRAQI OIL GRAB, posted 5-22-06), are we now planning to turn our attention back to the "war on terrorism? Its a real shame that soo many brave Americans had to die in order for foriegn comapnies to be able to again have oil interests in Iraq. The sad part is that the majority of us Americans will neversee a penny of what soo many of our brothers, sisters, sons and daughters have died for. Sure, we will add to Shell's profits (and all of the other companies that are soon to open up shop there) by our needs at the pump, but that won't empty any of the cemetaries filled with our loved ones. We have known since day one that the taliban has been operating out of Afghanistan, yet we still pursued Iraq. Why ? Was it so that Companies like Shell, who have been banned from Iraq since 1972 (seven years before Saddam, who came to power on 7-16-79) could go back and increase the wealth of a select few (who currently have our economy in the toilet) and further the agenda of our current president (who will return to his family's oil business next year no matter who wins the election)? One thing that peolpe seem to have forgotten is that one of the major contributors to the fall of the " Iron Curtain" that was Russia was their war in Afghanistan, which,at that time, we were one of the major suppliers of weapons and training to the same people we are trying soo hard to kill today. What makes us think today that a similiar war on our part won't be backed by those we consider our foes and produce a similiar effect on our economy?

  • Posted By: Medge @ 09/24/2008 12:01:44 AM

    The Soviet Union was defeated by the Afghan opposition after ten years of fighting and 15 thousand dead soldiers. It appears that the American and NATO forces are following the same destiny. The quetion that should be asked is how could we turn a Soviet defeat into an American win?
    The answer to this question is what Thomas Johnson is suggesting. The war cannot be won without winning the minds and hearts of the country folks. The strength of the Taliban lies in their control of the tribal leaders and the country folks beliefs and traditions. Twemty-first century wars cannot be won with 19th and 20th centuries military tactics. Bombing the bejesus out of people, may work in the short run, but in the long run it does not. It seems that an strategy to win the minds and hearts of the people is in order. twentieth century military tactics have to be traded for twenty-first century cultural persuation. So our generals need to study
    the customs, traditions and cultural values of the people to be conquered. Sending the general and the preachers is old fachion. It no longer works.

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