TECHTONIC SHIFTS
Dan Lyons
Call Me Skeptical
Can Google really dominate the mobile-phone market?
Unless you're hopelessly dedicated to a landline-only existence, you're going to read a fair amount about the G1, a.k.a. the Google Phone. Manufactured by HTC and offered by T-Mobile, the iPhone-like device runs on Google's Android operating system and goes on sale Oct. 22. But the biggest thing to bear in mind is that this phone was not primarily designed to solve a problem that you, the consumer, are having. Rather it was designed to solve a problem that Google has—namely, the need to keep feeding more and more people into the maw of Google's online advertising machine.
Google dominates the search business with a 71-percent market share, according to researcher Hitwise. In the emerging mobile-computing environment, such domination may carry over, or it may not. Imagine, for example, what might happen if a rival like Microsoft were to enhance its Windows Mobile platform in ways that steer people to its online advertising machine rather than to Google's. Or imagine that for whatever reason people simply started using alternatives to Google's online services. To prevent either scenario from happening, Google has gone to the great expense and trouble of developing Android and giving it away free to the world. No licensing deals, no fees. Better yet, you can modify the software any way you want. Such a deal!
What's in it for Google? Plenty. Google loads Android with its own software (including a variant of its Chrome browser) and a slew of its other services, like mail, maps, contact, calendar, and search—and then rakes in money by showing advertisements to users of those services.
In other words, the phone is a Trojan horse. You get a cool phone for not much money—$179 with a contract from T-Mobile—but then you're caught in Google's Web. Another way to see this is that a quasi-monopolist (Google rules the online advertising business) is attempting to protect and extend its quasi-monopoly by giving away at no cost something for which others charge money. Sound familiar? It's what Microsoft did to Netscape in the 1990s, giving away a free browser to undermine Netscape Navigator.
Now Google is turning the tables and using Microsoft's own tactics against it. Microsoft sells a mobile-phone operating system called Windows Mobile and charges handset makers to use it. Its licensees include Taiwan-based HTC, the star of today's Android show, whose CEO seemed almost gleeful to be on stage with the Google team. "HTC's great excitement about Android is it can build a smartphone using a high-level operating system and not pay any royalty," says Shiv Bakhshi, an analyst at researcher IDC.
The G1 phone itself has a cool touch-screen interface, but overall it's nothing spectacular. It's bigger and clunkier than Apple's iPhone—it's like comparing a Subaru wagon to a Mercedes coupe.
In fact, the G1 is more like the anti-iPhone. For one thing, Android is open-source, meaning anyone can tinker with the software and modify the code. Plus, the software isn't coupled to any particular brand of hardware. Loads of Android-based phones will be hitting the market. Apple's iPhone, by contrast, is a closed system with hardware and software tightly coupled and locked down, kept secret from the world.
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Member Comments
Posted By: davidwayneosedach @ 10/09/2008 11:30:36 AM
Comment: Google doesn't need to dominate the cell phone industry from the start. With it's technology and economic clout they can work on making the 'perfect' cell phone first. And dominate the market next...
Posted By: icamd.ORG @ 09/24/2008 3:55:55 PM
Comment: If the ALL phone manufacturers would install Flash on their phones which works already -perfectly on most devices including the iPhone (if you hack them) then there would be no need to dominate the market, Adobe would already be the dominant player. I think that Google and Apple are just creating rehotoric that will die off when the press stops covering these types of stories. Wil Ortiz, Editor of ICAMD.org
Posted By: amishnwreader @ 09/24/2008 12:18:16 PM
Comment: It is sad to read this kind of fear-mongering in such an established publication; open source does not mean that hackers will have free reign over your data, but the article makes it sound like that.
If this does nothing more than inspire a competitive response from Apple, then WE are the winners.
Apple's "cathedral" is still a selective and elitist empire that could use some competition.