Paulson's Panic

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  • Posted By: leprechaun1230 @ 09/24/2008 3:52:45 PM

    Well, I only wish we had the ability to review this economic train wreck in retrospect, in a history book 20 years from now. Sure would make decision making a lot easier. This, by all accounts, is an economic crisis like none we've seen since the Great Depression.... some say worse.
    I think we should go with the bailout, impose all the restrictions suggested, including the government getting equity in companies that go with the bail out, and allowing judges to help fix mortgages that are leading families into foreclosure.
    Then, get probably the most savvy investor in this country, Warren Buffett, to manage the purchases of debt at the lowest possible price, and manage the resale of these securities. In an interview I listened to earlier today, he has the notion of how to repackage this debt and make money reselling it. Sure, give Warren a piece of the action for doing so. Once this is accomplished, regulate that industry as we do others, since those CEO's have demonstrated their inability to be trusted.
    Then, 20 years or so from now, history will tell us if what was done was a good thing or not.

  • Posted By: Omnius @ 09/24/2008 12:11:09 PM

    We certainly can't trust "Flim Flam" Paulson with his new flim flam scam to bilk taxpayers out of $700 billion to save his crooked cronies on Wall Street. This is his problem that he created by constantly lying to us over the past year about how strong the economic fundamentals are and how robust Wall Street was.

    I say let Wall Street pull itself up by it's own bootstraps! Yeah he wanted a rush to judgment because no one in their right mind would ever hand over $700 billion to a Con Man and just trust him to make wise investments of taxpayer money without any oversight and no accountability.

    • Posted By: Tamen @ 09/24/2008 3:35:01 PM

      Agreed. I think somebody should go and break his crack pipe.

  • Posted By: jbritt @ 09/24/2008 1:29:19 PM

    While on principle I do not agree with the bail out, from the pragmatic standpoint of not wanting to watch the financial system collapse I agree that something must be done. Maybe this is the way, or maybe it will just prolong the inevitable. I don't pretend to know. What I do know is that the bill as I saw it with the clause about the Secretary being immune from any sort of review of his actions related to this is a terrible idea and damn un-American. Our government has checks and balances for a reason and one of those reasons is to keep Paulson and Bernanke from being anointed most holy Kings of the Economy and ruling with an iron fist and no accountability. Figure out a way to fix this mess. Even though I once again disagree on principle, the bailout should focus on helping struggling homeowners refinance their houses into standard 30 year fixed rate mortgages at market rates so that fewer will go into foreclosure, which is after all the root cause of the devaluation of the mortgage backed securities which is in turn the source off all of the write downs and panic on Wall Street. I could care less whether one company or another goes out of business as long as other companies will be there to pick up the pieces at bargain bin prices so that the economy can soldier on. Come up with a plan with some details, transparency and accountability. Until then I will refuse to re-elect any of my Congressmen that vote for the bail out even the alternative is some liberal I can't stand. I will not reward anyone for rewarding the very companies that screwed us all in the first place for irresponsibly socializing their losses.

    • Posted By: Thomas1016 @ 09/24/2008 3:09:11 PM

      While Agree there needs to be a program for restructering loans. This isn't all about the mortgage crisis That is just one facet. Energy prices are just as much to blame as lending practices. And the energy prices are not all Bush's fault. this country for decades has been to dependent on other countries for our oil. We have more energy resources then Saudi Arabia yet we do not tap them because of lobbying interests, lack of will national will, and enviromental red tape.

  • Posted By: Tamen @ 09/24/2008 3:08:00 PM

    I'm not sure what the current plan is, or even if it's a plan at all. The way I see it, the "smart" institutions will still have liquidity for lending. I'm all for the "stupid" institutions going out of business. With the real estate market at a low point, the going rate is about 6% for 30 yr fixed, but the qualifications for risk-based lending are more stringent, as they always should have been. Institutional short-term deposit rates are 4% to 4.6% so I'm not seeing where this liquidity crunch is as far as consumer loans go. The problem, as I see it, a lot of this incurred debt was used for speculation, not for productivity. I stil believe there is enough for productive liquidity, and my speculation is as good as anybody's, because nobody knows. This panic to not miss the boat and fill it full of money before it sails does not pass the laugh test.

  • Posted By: BobVa @ 09/24/2008 2:47:12 PM

    It's completely off topic, but I am proud to have served my country under both Republican & Democrat administrations and while I certainly do not desire or want my children (3) to die, I would be proud if they did so in the service of this country, even if it is to protect the right of narrow minded people such as AndreaD who blame all the ills of the world on one person or group of people.

    As for our current crisis, anyone who actually cares enough to research it will discover that it is the action & inaction of several administrations both Republican & Democrat that got us where we are today. I for one will be voting for real change by voting Libertarian. Anyone who truely cares for their individual rights or their childrens future will do the same.

  • Posted By: 1easylay @ 09/24/2008 11:31:02 AM

    Those who want to harm us have won.

    "Bring 'em on." Famous last words.

    • Posted By: TheVigil @ 09/24/2008 2:43:56 PM

      Osama Bin Laden told us his plan years ago, which was to bankrupt us by dragging us into needless war and overextension of our resources.

      Unfortunately, a lot of rest of the country was too "smart" to hear it and promptly accused anyone who tried to point this out of being a terrorist sympathizer and "playing right into their hands". And they happened to be the ones running the country at the time, so they...played right into bin Laden's hands by nearly crapping themselves in the rush to profiteer off of a needless war, closely followed by an epidemic of profiteering at home.

      The Arabs and others in the Middle East have wanted our noninterference in their affairs for decades now. They may finally get it - or we may just decide to squander what little of our resources we have left on some sort of bigoted "revenge", given the number of stone-cold ignorant bigots in this country who don't understand what's happening but are sure it's the fault of anyone in a burka or a turban.

      It's very interesting to note that one of the most dirt-poor, illiterate, and nearly "powerless" countries in the world has now brought down two overextended and rotting empires. Afghanistan is to the modern military landscape what Russia was in the winter in the first half of the century - someplace that, no matter how powerful you are, if you invade with anything less than a flawlessly executed plan, you will get stuck in with the wrong equipment. You'll waste resources and troops and spin your wheels and lose your momentum and eventually fail at the invasion.

      Overall, I'm starting to feel like I can't wait for this greedy, corrupt bunch of boomer-generation *** to lapse into old age and let someone else have a shot at running the world. The boomers have well and truly failed America over the last decade.

  • Posted By: justanothervet @ 09/24/2008 2:40:53 PM

    India disposal of a CEO may be beginning of a worldwide trend.

  • Posted By: Young Hickory @ 09/24/2008 2:14:13 PM

    We are constantly lecturing other countries on the benefits of free market economics. Republicans like Phil Gramm question our mental capacities when we little guys get screwed. They say it is all in our minds and that the game is not rigged and it is just market economics but when the big players screw up due to their own bad decisions they cry like babies and get bailed out with our money. Where is your "ownership society" Bush.?

  • Posted By: coinland @ 09/24/2008 1:53:31 PM

    Anyone out there who has any money in any account in any bank needs to pay close attention to the reality of the current crisis. The institutions that hold our money, turn around and lend it every day to other institutions, large and small. Sometimes they lend our money to big, safe companies and sometimes they lend our money to a little guy's company. Regradless, without that lending, both the big guy and the little guy would be out of business. Well guess what? Last week, the banks said no more lending and the banking system froze. If not for some immediate, albeit temporary action by the Federal Reserve, the system would have collapsed and just try to imagine what the impact would have been. So forget the complacency, forget who is at fault, and most of all, forget whether we have the ultimate plan. Just get behind the current plan because it is the only plan that will work in the short run to address the urgency of a crisis situation. Afterwards, you can debate and argue about all the other issues while you're having lunch or dinner. However, if we miss the boat here folks, we're all going to have a tough time buying lunch and dinner in the not too distant future.

  • Posted By: paul_in_plano_tx @ 09/24/2008 12:36:42 PM

    I also heard the interview of Warren Buffett this morning. What he said sounded nice (i.e. that the government can buy up the debt at below market price, make money on the deal and everybody is happy). However, I have to take his words with a grain of salt here.

    1. With his investment in Goldman, he's going to make a lot of money if the government plan goes through.
    2. The creators of the plan understand this thinking as well as anybody and they are still requesting 700B as being the amount that will likely be needed to spend in order to make the problem go away.
    3. If the government truly gets the securities at prices that are market value, (thus enabling the government to make money), the banks who sell the securities will go into bankruptcy. After all, there are buys out there willing to take on the securities at fire sale prices, it's just that the banks don't want to (or cannot) sell them at this price.
    4. This being a government program is likely to be full of political backscratching and conflict of interest. The same types of people that are being baled out (Wall-Street bankers) are going to run this program and be heavily involved in it and will likely make sure that they get a big payout in the process.

    Also, the current plan doesn't seem to address the root of the problem.
    1. Adjustable rate mortages are ratcheting up thereby causing the revised payment schedule to be unaffordable by may people. Therefore a lot of people are getting forclosed upon.
    2. The people forclosed upon are not making payments on their mortgages, so the value of those mortages is what the bank can sell the house for.
    3. All these houses go on the market during a short span of time thus forcing the price of the entire market down. The foreclosed upon houses are being sold at firesale prices.
    4. These trends must be accounted for in banks balance sheets and thus they must de-leverage
    5. But everybody is in the same boat, so there's no buyers for the mortgage backed securities.

    The way that the Paulson plan will really work is to essentially buy the debt at above market-rate prices thereby socializing the bad debt of wall-street bankers and "out-of-their-league" home-buyers. So while you and me have being saving our pennies, we're going to get **** to the tune of $30,000+ per family to pay for these bad debts. Sounds like a good deal to me.

    The other thing that bothers me is there have been no other proposals for how to solve the problem. It's like, "This is our plan, and we're sticking to it. Take it or leave it".

    • Posted By: ssaffer @ 09/24/2008 1:43:45 PM

      Thank you for your knowledgeable, insightful comments. It's great to see so many people stepping up to add a bit of sanity in this insanity. Your points indicate a thinking mind -- something that has been missing in our country for way too long. I believe that's why Obama is appealing to so many people. He may not always be right; but he is thoughtful and thought-provoking! He is steady and a bit cautious. No wonder why there are people not anxious to see him in a leadership position at this time of "hurry up and run off the cliff because we know how to hold the net so you won't kill yourself (wink wink).

  • Posted By: lifeisadimension @ 09/24/2008 12:46:37 PM

    While I appreciate many of the points you are making, if you (the author) are truly objective and constructive in your intent, please follow up with an update or a follow-on article about how soon something really needs to be done and what will be averted if something isn't done.

    Until you have a good handle on that I think you shouldn't be making judgments that Paulson is acting too hastily or ineptly. Please listen to the very recent news interview of Warren Buffet and his $5billion investment in Goldman Sachs. Warren makes some very sage comments about what will happen, how soon and to whom, if Congress doesn't act quickly. Quite frankly, and this is not a slight, I place a lot of credence in Warren's expertise, insight, and ability to articulate, though I don't agree with him on everything.

    Thankis.

    • Posted By: ssaffer @ 09/24/2008 1:36:41 PM

      Yeah, I guess you can trust him. He has made all of his money "playing the system, "so he probably knows it well! I still worry about what he has to gain by our rushing off the cliff!

  • Posted By: coinland @ 09/24/2008 1:13:48 PM

    This is like watching Nero fiddle while Rome burns. Anyone who knows anything about the way our banking system works, knows that last week we were on the verge of ushering in the Great Depression of the 21st century. We can all lament the idiocy that got us here and we can debate the whys and wherefores until the cows come home, but while we and Congress are fiddling, the markets are close to giving up and burning to the ground. When the banking system shuts down and lending ceases, it will not reopen any time soon. The impact will make our hurricane problems look like a sun-shower. Companies will go bankrupt faster than a speeding bullet, pension funds and 401k plans will be halved one day and halved again the next day, and bank accounts will go poof in the night. This isn't play time folks and magazine articles that warn against panic are whistling through the graveyard. Now is the time for Congress to act, panicky or not, because in just a few days there won't be a second chance.

    • Posted By: ssaffer @ 09/24/2008 1:32:32 PM

      Act quickly, we must. No one disagrees with that. But holding onto a proposal that has been in the works for months and then handing it to congress and say, "Act. And Act Now" is like saying, "Drill. And Drill Now!" If you ask a question, it will be too late. Why don't we find out WHERE to drill before we start driilling in the middle of the street you're standing on when you hollared, "Drill. And Drill Now"? We can act TODAY if the appropriate oversight and accountability elements are included -- so that's not a problem. The problem is why won't Paulson and Berkancke include them. They can do anything they want; they will just have to do it in the light of day -- which shouldn't be a problem if they are honest men. Do you blame anyone for questioning their hesitation, after what they've done in ignoring and covering up this problem for over a year?????

  • Posted By: GD38 @ 09/24/2008 1:25:13 PM

    I'm not even going to read this. Someone says "up" so naturally someone else has to say "down". They (Government) do something or they don't do something. Either way things are terrible. I love how the real choices are flavor of really bad A or flavor of really bad B. I have complete media fatigue from both this and the campaign. Thanks the Heavens above prime time TV is finally back in swing.

  • Posted By: GD38 @ 09/24/2008 1:24:57 PM

    I'm not even going to read this. Someone says "up" so naturally someone else has to say "down". They (Government) do something or they don't do something. Either way things are terrible. I love how the real choices are flavor of really bad A or flavor of really bad B. I have complete media fatigue from both this and the campaign. Thanks the Heavens above prime time TV is finally back in swing.

  • Posted By: coinland @ 09/24/2008 1:12:38 PM

    This is like watching Nero fiddle while Rome burns. Anyone who knows anything about the way our banking system works, knows that last week we were on the verge of ushering in the Great Depression of the 21st century. We can all lament the idiocy that got us here and we can debate the whys and wherefores until the cows come home, but while we and Congress are fiddling, the markets are close to giving up and burning to the ground. When the banking system shuts down and lending ceases, it will not reopen any time soon. The impact will make our hurricane problems look like a sun-shower. Companies will go bankrupt faster than a speeding bullet, pension funds and 401k plans will be halved one day and halved again the next day, and bank accounts will go poof in the night. This isn't play time folks and magazine articles that warn against panic are whistling through the graveyard. Now is the time for Congress to act, panicky or not, because in just a few days there won't be a second chance.

  • Posted By: lifeisadimension @ 09/24/2008 1:03:02 PM

    I think your (author's) choice of words is unfortunate, i.e., ???PANIC???, because it is highly inflammatory, when it does not need to be and probably is not accurate about Paulson, as you say it is. This is a case where you, the media, say "the glass is half empty" instead of "the glass is half full" out of habit, but end up inciting the very state of panic in which you accuse Paulson of being, because the anxious public is highly volatile, i.e., panics very easily.

    There is a big difference between panic and doing what absolutely must be done. The degree of urgency expressed by Paulson and Bernanke and other authorities, e.g., Warren Buffet, Hillary Clinton, etc, is appropriate. That doesn't make it panic.

    Let me give an example: Suppose someone in a crowded public place smells smoke and begins calmly telling everyone who can hear that they should RETIRE quickly, but orderly from the building. You mishear what they said, thinking they said FIRE, so you cry out loudly "FIRE FIRE FIRE". You have caused the panic that is likely to ensue.

    While I don't think you did this intentionally, this is what the tradeoff is between responsible journalism versus sensational journalism.

    In any case, I applaud Paulson and Bernanke for having the expertise and the moxy to step up to the plate on this. I don't give a damn whether they are part of the Bush Administration or whether they are Democrat or Republican. I only care that they are doing what needs to be done now...the right thing and I applaud them for doing it.

    Thanks.

  • Posted By: lifeisadimension @ 09/24/2008 12:56:37 PM

    (I posted this earlier, but it didn't get into the conversation for some reason, so I am posting it again. My apologies if it ends up duplicating).

    I think your (author's) choice of words is unfortunate, i.e., ???PANIC???, because it is highly inflammatory, when it does not need to be and probably is not accurate about Paulson, as you say it is. This is a case where you, the media, say "the glass is half empty" instead of "the glass is half full" out of habit, but end up inciting the very panic in which you accuse Paulson of being, because the anxious public is highly volatile, i.e., panics easily.

    There is a big difference between panic and doing what absolutely must be done. The degree of urgency expressed by Paulson and Bernanke and other authorities, e.g., Warren Buffet, Hillary Clinton, etc, is appropriate. That doesn't make it panic.

    Let me give an example: Suppose someone in a crowded public place smells smoke and begins calmly telling everyone who can hear that they should RETIRE quickly, but orderly from the building. You mishear what they said, thinking they said FIRE, so you cry out loudly "FIRE FIRE FIRE". You have caused the panic that is likely to ensue.

    While I don't think you did this intentionally, this is what the tradeoff is between responsible journalism versus sensational journalism.

    In any case, I applaud Paulson and Bernanke for having the expertise and the moxy to step up to the plate on this. I don't give a damn whether they are part of the Bush Administration or whether they are Democrat or Republican. I only care that they are doing what needs to be done now...the right thing and I applaud them for doing it.

    Thanks.

  • Posted By: rustyw @ 09/24/2008 12:49:42 PM

    Here are a few proprosals:
    1) For all execs of every bankrupt or bailed out company, tax their options ad/or golden parachutes at 100%. Thus, they will get nothing for ruining their companies!
    2) Paulson wants immunity for handing this mess. Why does he need immunity if he knows what he's doing? If he doesn't know, why is he handling it? Why does he want no oversight? This souonds like a huge scam being run just before the democrats take over the white house.
    3) The AIG aid was OK because we (taxpayers) now own 80% of it, and we'll make money on it! Something similar should happen with any bank bailouts.

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