SOB this is just like the 70s NO this isn't a depression but thanks to the government we get stagflation and prolonged recessions thanks alot Paulson, Bernanke, and Bush
SOB this is just like the 70s NO this isn't a depression but thanks to the government we get stagflation and prolonged recessions thanks alot Paulson, Bernanke, and Bush
And no, this is not a replay of'29: This time, instead of a general leveling, the attendant financial upheavals have been rigged to produce a permanent Baronial Class with massive fiscal advantages in a severe economic downturn.
The result? The long-awaited, much-slavered-over Peonage Society so favored by the conquistador Spanish in the (then) New World. What could be better than peasants tugging their forelocks whenever you stroll past?
The Bush Presidency, the Obama and McCain candidacies, the ongoing Iraq War swindle and "bail-out" scam -- all these and many other examples all illustrate The Final Failure of Social Promotion. In the Paul Newman film "Harper", he makes a comment about 'cream and bastards' rising to the top -- but under the prevailing social, educational, and political philosophies of the last quarter century, we've made sure that the cream don't rise no more ... only the bastards.
Fear begone. We have been given a socialist form of government by a Republican president. The government just put its toe into the cool water of government ownership of what was recently private business. True, it was done only for our own good and only in desperation, but it actually hopped over the liberalism that Republicans have been accusing Democrats of for so long. This opens the door for some favorite Democratic party proposals that have previously been shouted out of congress by conservatives as being tantamount to socialism, such as socialized medicine. The toe in the water will not be enough. We will jump into the pool. Just watch. It will now be much easier to pass these measures because there is just not any way that Republicans can fool the public any longer about how they are the true conservatives who disdain government involvement in areas better served by private enterprise. Private enterprise just lost all the air out of its big fake balloon of fake prosperity and we can now finally get some decent medical coverage without someone in an insurance claim office a thousand miles away telling us to go home from the hospital against our doctor's orders so that they can pocket the money that should have cared for us. Who knows what else the government will like to own that used to be private property, now that the game has started?
It is not likely that the Democrats will get try any socialism. Obama-Biden want a series of supports for R&D for alternative energy, and tax incentives for companies entering that field. They have no plan for socializing medicine, that is, owning the hospitals and clinics, or even the insurance companies. Their plan is for increased government regulation in these areas, though. There will be tough energy efficiency rules in place to reduce carbon emissions and reduce petroleum consumption. There will be mandates on individuals and health insurance companies to get everyone insured and reduce administrative costs. The banking and financial industries will face a lot of new regulation. We will move into a more regulated economy, for certain. But, the overall effect will be to stimulate economic growth, not speculative bubbles. I also suspect he'll have his attorney general do some trust-busting, splitting back up some of these mega-mergers. But, that is unlikely until the second term.
An underlying theme of the bailout is that now people can borrow money again and juice up the economy. It is not necessarily true that many will want to borrow money in such uncertain times. Japan, in recent years, reduced bank rates to zero per cent in an effort to stimulate the economy, and guess what. No one borrowed it.
..........................Lets just hope that our Economy makes a rebound and that the government wakes up to the fact that we can not let the Corporations do as they damn well please all the time and that we create some kind of equity with these CEO's and other Top Corporate Executives pay scale and the rest of America. The public can see what has been going on and that we need Real Change and better balance in what people are earning in
the lives of all Americans.
It is interesting who got monew? Big banks definitely did not, because instead of money they got useless loans.
It seems that only real-estate agents, lawyers and real-estate-connected small mortgage companies (every real-estate agency usually has connection with small mortgage company, which immediately resells loans to big banks). If Govermebt wants to find money - they have to penalize those companies for fradulent loans. It would not be difficult to uncover a bunch of illegal actions and collect money. Unlike big banks, if those parasites get bancrupt - nobody would suffer. Unfortunately, those Goverment "geniuses" are too stupid to figure it out, so we will have to pay.
Big banks definitely are guilty, but they are victims as well.
This post describes the root of the problem. But is is doubtful that anything will be done because too many are involved in the problem. The additional step would be to let home loans be recourse so that people feel that they have to pay their obligations (absent special circumstances such as sickness) and just can't walk away from their home loan.
Immediately after the election, whomever wins, he must, without failure, begin a roundup of the miscreants that created this disaster of unfettered, deregulated and criminal capitalism. I am a super strong supporter of inventing in industry and technology, now retired and I cannot verbalize how I feel about this event. Never in mankinds history have we seen a catastrophe such as this (bigger than Crash of '29 due to dollar size) and we must make certain we assess blame, bring charges and justice to the marketplace. We should not omit the main street predators, bundlers, raters, politicians and justice department people who let this happen.
I concur, this is a bailout of the Fed.
The parallels here to the Great Depression are certainly intriguing, and you are right that the differences are noteworthy. However, I think its an oversimplification to say that Bernanke, as a student of the Depression, understands the problem. While I'm not a professional economist, I would argue that his thesis - which I understand was that the Great Depression could have been prevented by the Fed injecting more money into the economy- has just been shown to be incorrect. The Fed has tried extending huge loans to the banks, but it hit a limit. The market realized that the banks were being overleveraged with loans. The hedge funds paniced about the brokerages chances of survival, and then deposit bank investors began to panic.
Bernanke must now realize that more Fed loans to the banks only exacerbate the problem, something his thesis didnt account for. His new solution is to have the government remove some of the bank debts. Whether that will work is in doubt. I am sceptcial that any money will "trickle down" to the general economy from this bailout
I concur, this is a bailout of the Fed.
The parallels here to the Great Depression are certainly intriguing, and you are right that the differences are noteworthy. However, I think its an oversimplification to say that Bernanke, as a student of the Depression, understands the problem. While I'm not a professional economist, I would argue that his thesis - which I understand was that the Great Depression could have been prevented by the Fed injecting more money into the economy- has just been shown to be incorrect. The Fed has tried extending huge loans to the banks, but it hit a limit. The market realized that the banks were being overleveraged with loans. The hedge funds paniced about the brokerages chances of survival, and then deposit bank investors began to panic.
Bernanke must now realize that more Fed loans to the banks only exacerbate the problem, something his thesis didnt account for. His new solution is to have the government remove some of the bank debts. Whether that will work is in doubt. I am sceptcial that any money will "trickle down" to the general economy from this bailout
It is true that we may not experience the economic depression of 1929, but I believe we will experience a depression nontheless. Why? Because no new jobs are being created fast enough to keep the economy robust. We have a track record of being productive, but we are losing manufacturing, service, and financial sector jobs left and right. An economy needs new jobs! Too little research and development money is being invested. Too little money is being spent on infrastructure. The key to keeping us out of a depression is good paying jobs. Something Bernanke didn't seem to pick from the history books that was understood. FDR created both infrastructure and jobs under the New Deal. I don't think we need a WPA, but we need something to stimulate and create more jobs to build our economy. Otherwise, no money will be created to spend.
You are absolutely right. The jobs must be more than fast food and ski resort jobs, though. We need to transform our economy away from petroleum. We also need to stop wasting resources in administration of health care. The tax stucture must place more taxes on the wealthy to help reduce budget deficits, and the middle class must have the largest tax break we can afford. Gee... that sounds like what Obama has been calling for all along.
Hoover tried two bailouts but didn't solve the depression problem only slowing it down but it returned with a vengeance. What we do have is government insurance and immediate government action. What will happen is recession as it happened in Reagan's first term and big stock market "corrections"
What no one mentions is that President Hoover tried a similar bailout remedy 2x but managed a short term slow down.
johnqu@aol.com
1929 depression started because of 3 simultaneous factors - almost zero interest rate, deflation and economic slump. Goverment could not regulate it by reducing rate (tricks to make rate below zero by spending money on wellfare and so on were inventer later), and every thing crushed. We already had similar situation in 2000 - terrorists helped to prebent depression by stimulating war spending.
Now we have just opposite - too much spending, but fortunately pretty normal inflation and interest rate. We will have to tame out spending habits (bigger taxes, higher prices), but hopefully that will be it, But if Democrats will follow their spending plans (and will be encouraged by voters) and tax "riches" - we will have huge recession for several years.
That's tough talk, especially when we've seen Reagan getting us in deep with 1987's black Monday, George Bush Sr.'s recession, and Jr's economic disaster. Seems the Democrats have the better basis for economic stimulation. Look who got us out of the Great Depression - FDR, and during Clinton's presidency we saw economic euphoria. Now tell me it's the Democrat's fault!
Although it may be true that the economy will not be as bad as the "Great Depression," of 1929, I think it will end in a depression. Why? Because there seems to be no real leadership in getting jobs creation in the economy. There's no research and development, very little being spent on infrastructure, and too much money being spent on overseas war ventures, many of which take money out of the country rather than keeping it in the economy.
Where's John Dillinger when you really need him?
since they ( Financial Community ) broke every proven lending formula, that cause this mess, why not break the no no of them all. " Don't go against the market " when it wants to go up, it will, when it wants to go down it will, that trillion $ Emporia Bush threw into the daily raging river of money ( the stock market) is a drop in the bucket, that will be slowed up, disappears. stolen, crooked off.
You may be interested to see just how deeply Barney Frank is involved in this.
http://www.foxnews.com/printer_friendly_story/0,3566,432501,00.html
The big diffence beween now and 29 is that they were going from horse and plows to tractors finally into the age of technolgy which was changing peoples life more than the market place. before 29 bread was bought as an unsliced loaf and afterwards as sliced to give only one example. People lifestyle was being force apart by the market place because of change to a modern age of wheel and power in the home and business. they bet on wall street to finance the good times that were coming faster than most could handle. we are well into the computer age and people who would not admit that they signed loans they could pay for and wall street fell for the complete package and bet that they could make big bucks off the foolish on the bottom of the ladder
Rumour has it that almost all of the bailout money will go to foreign investors and fill the pockets of some big wall street execs. Nice to know we are putting a million a month in some of these guys pockets.
Enjoy Christmas
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