Bernanke is everything that Alan Greenspan could have been had he not been spineless in front of the noecons or blinded by his own neocon ideology. and followed the right policies of intervention to cause two or three Volcker-style mild economic slowdowns during W's first and second terms by raising interest rates, causing the banks and investment houses to bolster their liquidity, and reined-in the explosion in Credit Default Swap trading. Both Bernanke and Greenspn are what Ian Ayres, Econometrician and Lawyer at Yale calls, in his latest book with that title, "The Supercrunchers".. In other words, they are both equally at ease with the right intuition to have a gut feel of where the market is heading in reflection of 'investor sentiment', and with numbers to grasp both the right time and the extent of market intervention that is required.
There are many tools of economic analysis that have become available in the past ten or fifteen years that are very effective for the type of policy-mix just mentioned.. In addition to having this type of bi-valent skills, Bernanke is, unlike Alan, more sympathetic to the neo-Keynesin school of economc thought espoused by Hyman Minsky. Hence his proposition, today, for a hefty dose of fiscal spending stimulus, hopefully for large-scale public works to upgrade the nation's infrastructure that so badly neds precisely this kind of outlay, added to a further round of interest rate cut and combined with the heavy fiscal stimulus that China is said today to have decided to give ITS economy, will go a long way towards avoiding a depression. Concerning recession, we already are in one (the final GDP figures wil not be available to confirm that until at least another semester from now), and if the economy starts to recover in six months' time (provided the hefty fiscal spending package Bernanke recommends is implemented fast), that recovery will also be slow and 2009 will be 'lost', but 2010 might see us and the world coming back to normal.
All this provided any further military adventures are avoided, attempts to derail necessary and meaningful reform of the international financial architecture (e.g. by putting the Managing Director of the IMF on the defensive) are denounced and quashed and unnecessary invective is avoided against potential partners(OPEC, including China over arms sales to Taiwan, Iran over it support of Hamas, Venezuela over its promotion of Bolivarian policies, Brazil over its well-earned assertiveness, and pushing Saudi Arabia in its Persian-phobia).
If all these conditions are met, and we have Obama sworn in as President on January 20 and Paul Krugman becomes Secretary of theTreasury, then America will usher in a new Twenty-first Century Enlightenment, and all that we have lived during the past eight years will be like a very, very, very bad nightmare.









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