ECONOMICS

The View From Israel

The country's central banker on Ben Bernanke and the global economic crisis.

 
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Stanley Fischer may be thousands of miles from the epicenter of Wall Street's meltdown, but few people are better positioned to understand it. The 65-year-old former MIT economics professor supervised Ben Bernanke's doctoral thesis on the Great Depression. Later Fischer worked as a senior IMF official during the Asian financial crisis. Three years ago he moved to Israel after finance minister Benjamin Netanyahu persuaded him to leave his job at Citigroup and take over as the Jewish state's central banker. He spoke with NEWSWEEK's Kevin Peraino at his office in Jerusalem. Excerpts:

NEWSWEEK: What were the key lessons from Bernanke's research on the Great Depression?
Stanley Fischer: Ben has drawn two conclusions, which I think are right. The definitive [interpretation] when he was a student was that of [Milton] Friedman and [Anna] Schwartz, which was that the Fed didn't let the supply of money decline drastically [during the Great Depression]. Ben's thesis is: yes, but what really happened was that the credit mechanism collapsed. And it's clear from everything he's said that this emphasis on the credit system is still central to his thinking. And it happens to be correct. The second conclusion is that you've got to [ease the credit crunch] quickly. I'm sure nobody would say this in public, but if you make a few mistakes along the way, well, fine—keep going, fast.

Was it a mistake to let Lehman Brothers fail?
I think that'll be a big central question in the histories of this period.

What have been some of the other missteps so far?
There will be a question—and I'm as guilty as anybody—of what were we doing between July and August 2007 and now. There's also the issue of how you get the attention of the Congress. You can't go to them and say: I see a dark cloud on the horizon, and therefore I need $500 billion—give it to me because I'm worried. Part of the problem is that there were different views about what exactly needed to be done. A lot of people were saying that there should have been more focus on putting capital into the banks, but it's never the case that every economist is saying the same thing.

Where do you fall on that spectrum? Did you share the view of someone like Paul Krugman who was arguing for the government to take an equity stake in these banks?
I think it was clear that the government needed to inject capital into those banks. Whether it needed to take an equity stake immediately, or whether it wanted to put in something that gave it the option to take an equity stake later—that's a matter of judgment. But they had to get the money in, in quite significant amounts. [The risk is] that if the banks don't return to health in time, then presumably the government will find itself with very major stakes in a lot of banks. That will be kind of awkward.

Banks in Israel were only recently privatized. Will any need to be renationalized?
I don't think we're going to have to do it. But if the banking system gets into difficulties, then there's no question that the government will stand behind the banking system. I very much hope we don't get anywhere near that.

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: Nowforsomemoretruth @ 11/02/2008 4:16:31 PM

    Kelo v. City of New London, 545 U.S. 469 (2005),
    What does redistributive mean. Well, remember that it was the liberal Left-Wing Justices of the U.S. Supreme Court that brought us this little jewel, holding that the government could take your real property, like your home, not for public use like a road or school, but to give to another private individual, such as a political contributor or other party hack or interest group.
    Kelo v. City of New London, 545 U.S. 469 (2005), was a case decided by the Supreme Court of the United States involving the use of eminent domain to transfer land from one private owner to another to further economic development. The case arose from the condemnation by New London, Connecticut, of privately owned real property so that it could be used as part of a comprehensive redevelopment plan. The Court held in a 5-4 decision that the general benefits a community enjoyed from economic growth qualified such redevelopment plans as a permissible "public use" under the Takings Clause of the Fifth Amendment. Justice John Paul Stevens wrote the majority opinion; he was joined by Justices Anthony Kennedy, David Souter, Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen Breyer
    The decision was widely criticized by American politicians and the general public. Many members of the general public viewed the outcome as a gross violation of property rights and as a misinterpretation of the Fifth Amendment, the consequence of which would be to benefit large corporations at the expense of individual homeowners and local communities. Some in the legal profession construe the public's outrage as being directed not at the interpretation of legal principles involved in the case, but at the broad moral principles of the general outcome.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelo_v._City_of_New_London

  • Posted By: ObamaYesWeCan @ 11/01/2008 5:28:33 PM

    This moronic scumbag Samuel J. Wurzelbacher "Joe the Plumber" had his AZ driver license suspended

    http://www.eastvalleytribune.com/story/128323

    Wurzelbacher, who lived in Mesa in 2000 and had an Arizona driver's license, had his driver's license suspended by the Arizona Department of Transportation Motor Vehicle Division on May 4, 2000, following a nonpayment of a court-imposed fine for civil traffic violations, according to court records.

    ...owes nearly $1,200 in back taxes, according to public records, still owes more than $700 to the Mesa court system.

    Records show he was cited for failure to stop at a red light and for failure to provide proof of insurance on Feb. 9, 2000, in a black Dodge truck at the intersection of Dobson and Baseline roads in Mesa.

    After failing to pay his original fine of $627.50 issued in March 2000, his license was suspended and the fine was handed over to a collection agency along with a 16 percent surcharge. The now-resident of Holland, Ohio, still owes $727.90 to the Mesa Municipal Court, according to court records.


    Hopefully the collection agency will break both of his legs so he'll never be able to walk nor work ever again. This typical Republican scumbag deserves it.

  • Posted By: Vote Now @ 11/01/2008 2:21:01 PM

    Sarah palin when asked about becoming vp responded

    "As for that VP talk all the time, I tell you, I still can't answer that question until somebody answers for me, 'what is it exactly that the VP does every day......"

    After she had been the nominee for around 2 months she was asked again and this time said

    [T]hey???re in charge of the U.S. Senate so if they want to they can really get in there with the senators and make a lot of good policy changes that will make life better for Brandon and his family and his classroom.

    If she doenst know what the vice pres or presidant does why would we give her the job

    mccain has around a 40 percent chance because of his age in not being able to

    complete his term

    picking palin was about as smart as picking any other mrs alaska contestant

    let send her back to the north

    elect obama biden now

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