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Death of a Battleground

How McCain let Michigan go blue

 
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The polls give Barack Obama a double-digit lead in Michigan, but you wouldn't know that from the intense canvassing his workers conducted in suburban Detroit over the weekend. Two Obama workers approached the sprawling split-level ranch home of Larry Lobur in Madison Heights, a working-class suburb dotted with McCain signs. Lobur has never voted Democratic. But when canvasser Ginger Roehr asked him if Obama had his support, Lobur snapped: "I know I'm not voting for McCain." Michigan's sour economy forced Lobur to close his construction business, laying off 20 workers. The barrel-chested 46-year-old now works on his own and fears McCain is too old and Sarah Palin too inexperienced to turn things around. "He's overready and Palin's not ready," says Lobur, who credits McCain's VP pick with pushing him over to Obama, to the dismay of his Republican family members. "Just this morning," he says, "we were arguing over the Internet."

Michigan was supposed to be a battleground state. But instead, John McCain ran aground here in a way few would have predicted back on Labor Day. Coming out of the GOP convention, McCain and Palin arrived in the land of the Reagan Democrats, a few miles from Lobur's house, to the adoring cheers of 7,000 supporters. In a reliably blue state in the last four elections, McCain was running neck and neck with Obama for Michigan's 17 electoral votes.

And why not? Michiganders, who have a history of ticket-splitting, loved the maverick. They proved it back in 2000 when they chose him over George W. Bush in the GOP primary. Obama, on the other hand, was viewed with suspicion. He was the outsider who came to Detroit in 2007 and upbraided the hometown automakers for building guzzlers. Then he made Detroit the whipping boy of his stump speech—except in the Michigan primary, which he skipped because of Democratic Party infighting. Hillary was the choice of Michigan's sizable blue-collar crowd. And if they couldn't have her, McCain looked good. That's why he visited Michigan roughly once a week during the summer and trailed Obama by a single point in the polls by Labor Day. "The Democrats were about to push the panic button in Michigan," says veteran political consultant Bill Ballenger.

Then Wall Street crashed, taking McCain's campaign in Michigan down with it. His move to suspend his campaign and fly to Washington played even worse in a state with the nation's highest unemployment rate and a collapsing auto industry. "When the Wall Street bubble burst, McCain became unhinged," says Ballenger. And once on the topic of the economy, McCain made gaffes, like trying to explain to an auto-factory crowd why he supported free trade. That's a hard sell to union members who blame free-trade agreements like NAFTA for the loss of their jobs. Soon McCain started slipping in the polls, and before long he was free-falling, dropping 13 points in Michigan by the end of September.

On Oct. 2—the day of the vice presidential debate—McCain pulled out of the state. But he did not go quietly. His strategists trumpeted his surrender in a conference call with reporters, where they revealed that ads would cease and campaign workers would be redeployed to more fertile battlegrounds like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Senior adviser Greg Strimple said Michigan "is the worst state of all the states in play. It's an obvious one … to come off the list."

McCain's stunning move to burn his bridges behind him left the Michigan GOP in tatters. With barely any money coming in from the Republican National Committee, the Michigan Republicans took to the road last week to try to drum up support for races that now hang in the balance. At stake are at least two congressional seats now held by Republicans and as many as 10 seats in the state House of Representatives. "I can't think of a worse political decision I've ever seen," Michigan GOP chairman Saul Anuzis said of McCain's move to telegraph his pullout. "It totally demoralized our troops. Within days, 50 percent of our volunteers just disappeared."

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: metaldiva @ 11/06/2008 8:29:20 PM

    Mr Krohn..I am reaching out to you as best as I can...there is no one person or thing in this world that has the kind of money you propose was used to "buy" the election. To assume that every person that voted for Mr. Obama was led to do so by that select group of which you speak is foolhardy at best. There will be a historical account of this time in US history that will define it as the rejection of the separatist agenda of the Neo-Cons. What they, the Rovians, did is to reignite the old "North VS South", "City Folk VS Country Folk", "The 'Revenuer' Man VS The Moonshiners" fears of the past. The Rovians were able to pinpoint the fears of regular people caught in the maelstrom of the information explosion. Humans generally attack anything new, and that played along with the game. The biggest shame of the entire past 8 years was two fold...the bastardizing of the actual history of Ronald Regan and the abuse of the Evangelicals. Ronald Regan was a quieting force, able to connnect with all of the USA. However, he did not cause the end to the cold war, it was Johnpaul II, a Polish National that flexed his influence and drew the European peoples in that missed religion and still had the number one force "covet". They coveted the west, which was drawn in on small television via a bootleg satellite dish network. People wanted to be free and in control of their own lives. It was clear that no one American preisdent could bring the USSR down, they imploded instead, due to their hubris and the mere fact that they were in smaller numbers than those they meant to rule. WHen RR left office the entire credit market was messed up so bad, it gave birth to the modern collections industry and the crash of the market. The second is that so much of the last 8 years was flooded with the idea that one American was better than the other because of their faith. THis country was founded by ment that felt their religion was private, and PURPOSELY left any restriction on law due to religious preference out. THEY DID use the the affirmation of "So help Me GOD", One nation under GOD, in god we trust..as the ULTIMATE measure of the dedication and honesty. To have done all that has been and say it was honored by GOD or led by HIM is sad. The bottlnecking of the media has been a result of the Rupert Murdoch empire. As scary as it has been these past 8 years, I was never afraid that things would not change...I counted on it..WIth the internet the exchange of ideas is limitless, and it is impossible to hide anything. No one had to pay anyone to steer votes in any direction....I promise you , if you will let go of your fear of anything "not Republican" you will be open to facts from everywhere. Don't buy into the lies anymore. Be free Krohn, Be Free...

  • Posted By: metaldiva @ 11/06/2008 6:44:04 PM

    MIchigan is historically a worker state and ALWAYS heavily Democratic. Over the last 8 years we've seen the new "country folk", those that sold their small city homes to build on the "newly converted state properties' which pretty much ate up most of the lakefronts in the state, who thought they could be "cowboys". But like T Boone Pickens says " All hat, no cows". They attempted to ride the "everyubody's a star at church" craziness that seemed to glut itself on the Rabid Right Wing Republican movement. . As usual honesty and truth wins out. Americans cont like the choice of hating those that have a different idea or agenda, they are more prone to agree where they can and not get too embroiled in the things we dont agree on. Michigan is like that..

  • Posted By: Krohn @ 11/05/2008 9:06:41 PM

    George Soros finally got what he wanted! I have a feeling that his influence is going to extend well beyond the campaign stage. Everybody was touting what a great campaign Obama was running. But he wasn't running it. It was running him. With enough money you can buy anything. You can buy extreme order. George Soros is going to continue coddling Obama through his presidency to make him look good. He will likely be in contact with foreign leaders, buying their cooperation and easing their fears. The Democratic take over of congress was probably engineered long in advance. This also makes Obama's job easier and insulates him from the tough issues that presidents have to deal with in terms of senate battles between Republicans and Democrats. George Soros likely bought Obama an Army of advisors to answer any and all questions. Remember Soros is the financial genious that made his money off of the securities markets. He may have even had a hand in crashing the stock market to favor the Democrats just before the election. There is no way that the most unqualified presidential candidate in history got to where he did without such massive help. Some have speculated that after Obama won the Presidency, the media would turn on him and the honeymoon would be over but there is a broader agenda. Soros is buying up all of these newspapers that are endorsing Obama which is an attempt at a Socialist propaganda state. He will likely retain his control over the large media networks as well. What is the price Obama pays for having his ego stoked? An agenda that makes George Soros the grand puppet master of planet Earth!

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