Palin's 2012 Playbook

Turnout : The Diversed Demographic an how obama brought them all Together.

by DemFromCT

Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 05:13:54 PM PST

The kids really are alright. And not just the kids showed up.

First Read links to the voter-eligible population expert, Michael McDonald from George Mason University, who notes that the turnout percentage is awesome:

Provided the number stands, the turnout rate for yesterday's election was the highest in 100 years, according to the estimate from turnout guru Dr. Michael McDonald at George Mason University. Almost 137 million (136,631,825) went to the polls -- 64.1% of the voting-eligible population. 1960 saw 63.7% of the populace go out to vote; In 1908, 65.7% voted. It was, of course, the most people ever to go to the polls topping 2004's 122 million. That's 12% increase from 2004.

For those wondering why the current total vote in the presidential adds up to approximately 117 million, note that it's going to climb. There is still a ton of vote missing on the West coast.

However, it's not clear how big the total will be.

Curtis Gans, director of the nonpartisan Committee for the Study of the American Electorate at American University and dean of turnout experts, said his early numbers show 2008 to be about equal to or better than 1964, but not higher than 1960. He said it looks like total votes, once absentees are tallied (which could take a day or so), will be "somewhere between 134 and 135 million."

That's still the highest turnout in 40 years percentage wise (it was 60.1 of the voter-eligible population in 2004, and you have to go back to 1968 to get a figure that's at least 60%.)

From Prof. McDonald (more complete data here):

1960 63.8
1964 62.8
1968 62.5
1972 56.2
1976 54.8
1980 54.2
1984 55.2
1988 52.8
1992 58.1
1996 51.7
2000 54.2
2004 60.1

We commented this morning on the changing demographics ( less fewer whites.) In 2000, the exit polls put whites at 81%.



Maybe McCain's campaign would have worked better in 2000. Maybe what thwarted it was this:

There is a chance that American turnout will match or surpass the 1960 turnout, and if it does, that will mean approximately 136 million people voted. That raw number will be the most people who have ever voted in an American election.

Welcome to the 21st Century.

Palin 2012!

STILL LOVE HER!
STILL RESPECT HER!

CANT WAIT TO SEE MORE OF HER :)

Would any of you encourage your beautiful, innocent daughters to run for Pres or VP after you see how brutal the media is? No, and that is just how they want it. The media does not want a woman in the White House, so the intimidation is working.

Is it no wonder that more and more women in the US are changing their gender? Female bashing and abuse is so dominate in the US, it is safer for a woman to be gay so that hate crimes are enforced. Hate crimes against women are not illegal. So therefore all you "brave" Sarah bashers can have at it and no one will stop you. Doesn't that make you feel powerful?

The US is not all that much more advanced than the Muslim nations. We claim that women have equal rights in the US, but that is not so. Look at how the media treated the women who ran for the offices of Pres and VP. They were mocked, scoffed, scorned, intimidated for all the world to see. No wonder it took so long since Sen Ferraro ran for VP for any woman to attempt the feat again. Is this treatment intended to discourage future attempts by women to attain the highest office in the US? I encourage young women to not be intimidated by these abusive sources and to take courage and break loose and make your attempt for the White House. We will break that glass ceiling. It has been cracked.

I compliment the term, "Playbook" to describe the agenda of Sarah Palin. The term, "Coloring Book", would also do just as well. She dresses really neat and could be counted on not to color outside of the lines.

Please run in 2012 Palin! That will guarantee an Obama 2nd term.

Girl28 said it very well. Her comment is well worth finding and reading. Having said that, this is without a doubt the dumbest article I've ever read in a news mag.

Why help this woman? Did Hitler need a playbook? This person is the worst of America, not the best. We need intelligence and values, not a female Huey Long.

I can't believe anyone would think of Palin running for presidency 4 years from now?? She is a disgrace of the progress that women have made through decades. It is horrifying watching her making speeches and dividing the country running as a VP candidate as it was!! No more Palin!! Enough is enough!!

truth will be told, you mean she wasn't in tears after Bush cut taxes, and the military did not have the necessary equipment to fight. Wow...

As a person who voted for Obama, but is a Republican to the heart, Palin is not our girl. Palin symbolizes what has gone wrong with the party. She does not mind invoking divisive language, and she really appeals to the fringe of the party. As expected, McCain won the base Republican states, but if this election taught Republicans anything...YOU NEED MORE THAN YOUR BASE TO WIN. Bobby Jindal would be their best best.

Sarah if you can read then take this to heart, Don't Run For President in 2012! You are like a ornament, you look nice, but you are not very useful. Re-start the snowmobile business with Todd's best friend, that will get you more of what you need.

As a Dem, I actually agree with most of the article, except the last part about capitalizing on the last couple of months w/ a book deal for your pocketbook. That just lends credence to the perception that you were all in it for yourself.

On the other pieces, Awesome, go for it. To go this path requires a lot more depth than you have shown to date. As it stands now, I would not vote for any ticket you are on. If you are able to successfully maneuver through the political maze over the next few years and emerge a contender, you will have validated that those who backed you knew what they were talking about.