Detroit's Delusion

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  • Posted By: Tabi @ 12/03/2008 7:59:23 PM

    Why don't we hedge our bets. Let two of the firms simply fail and then bailout the third.

    Two of the firms will get the full-treatment of laissez-faire capitalism. Assets of the firm will be preserved while everything else is thrown by the wayside. Painful, but perhaps useful.

    The third firm, hopefully the one with the least incompetent management, will have an injection of government funds, but will not have shed as many obligations and have a far more intrusive government.

    The message regarding the penalty of failure remains, while also ensuring the survival of the auto-industry if the free-market does not prove all that generous. Also, by hedging our bets we get a guide as to the right course of action in the future: is it better to prop up a failing auto-company or let it find a way to survive on its own.

    • Posted By: McLovinB @ 12/04/2008 10:16:56 AM

      This is done a lot with banks, and it is not a bad idea. It really would be a shame to just let all of the equipment rust, and the workers can work better in the industry than in another industry.

      If some American company can produce reliable management that can use it all and make a profit, hey, it should be given loans.

      But here is an important question. If it were such a great idea, then why has Ford not suggested it? Or VW, which I have heard is now the largest company in the world? Or Toyota? My gut feeling is that things are worse at GM and Chrysler than anyone is saying. Industry insiders are not touching GM with a stick. How good of a deal could it be?
      Just for illustration, GM's stock price is so low... and still people will not buy it. Even the DEBT, which is not subordinated, is trading for what... 30 cents on the dollar? You would think that the equipment and buildings would be worth THAT much.. but....

      .... this is probably the scary truth: GM was set up to produce SUVs and trucks. It imported smaller vehicles from Suzuki and Nissan. Therefore, all of GM's equipment is set up to produce cars that it cannot sell. All that machinery really is junk because it can only produce large chassis vehicles. When GM says it needs the loan to RETOOL, it is really saying that it needs to start all over again.

      So what is America buying with a 34 billion dollar loan? GM? No. It is making a risky investment in a startup with a management that has a bad track record, bad labor relations, and many leftover liabilities and commitments. Giving the money to Bill Gates and asking him to start a new auto company in Silicon Valley would make much more sense.

  • Posted By: ChiliMac @ 12/04/2008 9:58:50 AM

    I don't believe that a bailout is the answer. The market should decide the fate of these firms, as it has since Ford came out with the Model T. Yes, it will be painful for a LOT of people and businesses, but it is absolutely necessary to enable the firms to properly re-structure themselves to compete today.

    I would suggest that while we are hearing all of this "the sky is falling -- gimmee money" bombast from the managers -- they are talking behind closed doors between themselves and politicians about their desire to go through the bankruptcy and rid themselves of UAW contracts that put them at a cost disadvantage before a single bolt is installed. Because of that, costs are cut elsewhere to make the cars competitive, and that is usually in quality, materials, etc.

    Finally, the American public is accountable for the failure of these firms as well. Why? Because for years the American public demanded bigger SUV's and trucks. And the U.S. automakers delivered them -- profitably. Despite the handwriting on the wall, we (you, me, them) ignored the crying need to design and build more efficient cars, because they would not have sold. The problem at its core is that it takes years to design, develop and build new car platforms, and the U.S. manufacturers have had to try and do it from a position in a hole that they, with our help, dug.

  • Posted By: Against-Ignorance @ 12/04/2008 7:15:43 AM

    The previous rants demand that the reader 'think about the little guy'. It would be really nice if everyone who is in a righteousness snit-fit about the potential bailout would actually do that. You know, all those workers who will lose their jobs if these companies collapse? And without and auto industry will have a very hard time finding new ones? Or do they not matter?

    • Posted By: McLovinB @ 12/04/2008 9:51:35 AM

      Well, I think you misrepresent THE LITTLE GUY.
      The little guy is the working single mother of three who will have to pay even more of her little paycheck to support government efforts to protect inept management with multimillion dollar salaries in private jets, and people who have been protected since day one by the UAW. The little guy is each one of her kids who will not have daycare, health care, and school lunches because someone decided that building SUVs is an American art form that must be protected... someone decided that foreign cars were the work of the devil himself and must be kept far away from those precious children.
      No one on this forum is speaking for the little guys. Not even you.
      The CEOs are not the little guys. The UAW workers are not the little guys, and the dealership owners... well I have never met one who was a little guy.
      A billion here and billion there, pretty soon it starts to add up... to a huge bill for us and our descendants... forever and ever. How will it feel in the future to hear that there is not enough money for bridge repair, public parks, social security, or medicare? WIll Detroit seem so important then?
      Things might be a little harder now, but that is not America's fault. There is nothing inherently wrong with America like there is with the Big3. Cutting out the dead wood is always tough, but if you don't do it, Detroit will be a drag on the economy and society for decades.

  • Posted By: sjzwahlen @ 12/04/2008 9:46:09 AM

    Here is a thought. Instead of giving the big three a handout, why not give american tax payers a check for 20,000 USD redeemable at their local GM, Ford, or Chrysler dealerships. You could only hand out 1.7 Million checks which could be done on a lottery based system using the social security numbers of those who paid taxes last year. 1.7 Million winners get 20,000 USD check each towards the purchase of a new GM, Ford, or Chrysler car!

  • Posted By: RO in Reno @ 12/04/2008 9:44:44 AM

    Granted the American Auto industry has problems both in management and labor, but the bailout of what is part of this countries remaining industrial infrastructure makes more sense than bailing out the banks.
    The Bank bailout does little to nothing for Main Street, it just keeps the banks afloat until they can find a way to profit from all the homes they have foreclosed on and they will in due course.
    Had the 700 billion been put in reinvigorating industry or in some cases reinventing it, it would have had a tremendous positive impact on the entire country including the banks.
    I can see putting conditions on a bailout, but to lose one of America???s last industries will only push the downward spiral this country is in too accelerate.

  • Posted By: sjzwahlen @ 12/04/2008 9:40:34 AM

    Here is a thought. Instead of giving the big three a handout, why not give american tax payers a check for 20,000 USD redeemable at their local GM, Ford, or Chrysler dealerships. You could only hand out 1.7 Million checks which could be done on a lottery based system using the social security numbers of those who paid taxes last year. 1.7 Million winners get 20,000 USD check each towards the purchase of a new GM, Ford, or Chrysler car!

  • Posted By: nawawimohamad @ 12/03/2008 8:50:23 PM

    Based on all the postings it seems that these people have no heart at all for fellow Americans. However this is not surprising since they have no hearts either for the Iraqi and Afghan women and children when they condoned the bombings by the US military and keeping silent on the USD trillions easily approved by congress for war, killing and destruction. But spending to save American business and employment is like a major sin for them. Yes, they went to war to punish some people, but then punish the CEOs, not the employees and the business itself!

    • Posted By: McLovinB @ 12/04/2008 9:23:35 AM

      Maybe it is just safe to say that American people are trying hard not to make mistakes. None of us ever knows what those mistakes are in advance.
      Trying to halt despotism and weapons of mass destruction motivated a lot of people to choose war.
      Trying to not waste the national treasure by giving it to incompetent management seems like a good course, but like Iraq, who can know what the outcome will be? It seems to many people that just giving a bad business more money does not make a good business.
      If a business cannot be run profitably, it is not wrong to shut it down. A bad idea, whether it is a military operation or an economic one, must be ended.
      I closed down my business several years ago. It was profitable, but I just did not want to run it anymore and did not want to sell it and have someone ruin it and my reputation. I have gone on to better things. I am sure that Iraq and Detroit can too.

  • Posted By: Mark B @ 12/04/2008 9:16:54 AM

    Sure why not its only 33 billion more than it took Obomber to buy his way in. The big three have more jobs going for them than every out of job Democrat that he is hiring.

  • Posted By: teachabc1 @ 12/04/2008 12:11:48 AM

    Instead of degrading the Big 3 employees and putting them on trial over their wages and benefits - let's turn the tables on our wonderful Senators and Congressman and let the trial begin on them. Ask them what their salary, benefits and perks are. As a taxpayers, let us decide if they deserve what they get. I forgot there is never any wasted spending coming out of Washington.

    • Posted By: McLovinB @ 12/04/2008 8:57:53 AM

      Ford's CEO made almost 30 million this year. I think that is about 60 Senators, or 1 President and 50 Senators, or almost 200 Congressmen.
      The CEO of Toyota only earns as much as 1 President and 2--3 Senators, or about 5 Congressmen.

      Oh, and only the President gets his own private jet, as you know.

  • Posted By: rwooldrid @ 12/04/2008 1:04:48 AM

    They need to be bailed out and that is all that has to be said. The whole problem here is that all who want the auto industry to go under are anti union and feel that all high school grad's should not be making this kind of money. I worked for the auto industry for 28 years and I had to retire disabilty but I went to 3 jr. colledges for computers and I C S school for industrial foremenship plus schooling from GM FOR 200 Hrs in management .There are also many republicans who will vote against the auto workers because they (uaw) vote in many many cases democractic and support the democratic party and their( republican )voting record is anti union.If the auto workers GM ,FORD,CHRYSLER go under we will no longer have a home growing industry that started as a small business and grew to where it is today only to have Asian auto's to take over by copying every thing the auto industry developed from the Tucker Auto Co.to today. I blame the gov. for giving Asian Co's better tax breaks and unfare trade programes that puts more money back too the Asian countries. The USA wokers make about the same money on the hour but the money amount that is stated for our benefits is way off . We the UAW workers pay for some of our benefits and if you check back to the 1970's BLUE CROSS and BLUE SHIELD was run for not for profit and everything was kept in check on cost, but as soon as the non profit was lifted the greed started big time.and is still going.Japan has a very good medical program for their auto workers but it does not cost as much.SO LETS LOSE ANOTHER PRODUCT TO THE ASIAN WORLD AND WE CAN MAKE PARASOL'S.

    • Posted By: McLovinB @ 12/04/2008 8:52:42 AM

      Wow. That is some perspective. THE ASIAN WORLD, huh?
      Look. You want to fault Asian companies for copying this and that. Well, that has not happened for about 50 years now, and during that time, any and all processes and technologies that the Japanese had developed could have been copied by American firms. Business schools have been teaching Toyota processes since the mid-1980s...I guess US MBA students were sleeping. Oh well.

      American management not only made stupid decisions, they ignored every other company in the world that was making SMART decisions. It must have been VERY difficult to make huge gas guzzling vehicles when every other company in the world was making more efficient ones, but the BIG 3 rose to that challenge like champs, just ignoring or outsourcing production of smaller vehicles. They lobbied for tax breaks for buying SUVs and torpedoed tax breaks for hybrid vehicles. Smart lobbying there. Do you remember that?
      Ask yourself this. Do stupid people deserve to succeed just because they have an American passport? If so, how long will it be before all Americans are stupid?

      Patriotism is the last refuge to which a scoundrel clings.

      Look this reality in the face: either the Japanese are some kind of master race that will not fail, OR they, on their little island with no national resources, have managed to build more than 10 auto companies that have now succeeded in producing better automobiles than American companies. Their top managers are paid less than a million dollars a year. They provide their workers with great benefits and very rarely lay them off. Personally, I do not buy the master race argument. These American companies failed because, despite all their advantages and arrogance and assistance from the US government in terms of tariffs and regulations and skewed EPA ratings, have taken awesomely idiotic risks and produced junk.

      Rather than giving a blank check to these idiots in management, it would be so much better to give people checks for a few thousand dollars each and just shut it all down. Why spend all the time and effort trying to fix blame? It is just shameful and sooner forgotten. Remember when bankruptcy was shameful? It still is in Japan and guess what... there are far fewer bankruptcies there. People avoid stupidity, plain and simple. Since when did America start embracing mediocrity? Now you want to reward it!! People can and will buy better cars, and taxpayers have better things to do with their money. Detroit is a monument.... a museum... the industry was born there, and the industry was killed there by the sheer ineptitude of its founders' grandchildren.

  • Posted By: jsjmd72 @ 12/04/2008 8:46:20 AM

    If my business fails, would the feds bail me out. They are a business like anything else and if they fail, then they fail. Why should taxpayers be forced to save them and get nothing in return but more debt?

  • Posted By: PerryM @ 12/04/2008 8:39:35 AM

    Americans cars are still junk when compared to the rest of the world.

    As a consumer I could care less where something is made ??? my one and only decision is to base price versus quality/utility of the product. I just don???t see American cars ever getting competitive and expect the top 3 car makers to go out of business. Why on earth would I want to buy a car from one of them?

    Washington will simply see how much cash the car companies can stick down their pants and if it???s enough they will give them some of our money. The result will be the same ??? American car manufacturing is toast.

    Time to retrain the $70 an hour factory workers to $10 an hour hamburger flippers.

  • Posted By: bobkat810 @ 12/04/2008 8:11:03 AM

    The bailout only outs off the inevitable. The big three & the UAW have feasted now its time to pay the piper. No amount of money will save the big three & the UAW.

  • Posted By: althotos @ 12/04/2008 7:46:47 AM

    This article is right on the money. The CEOs of the big 3 and Gettelfinger are in a major state of denial. Their Detroit insularity assisted by the Michigan congressional delegation has them living in world of false dreams. Toyota and Honda lost over 30% in the showroom in November, but they are teetering on bankruptcy and their stock is not near worthless. This goes to show everyone that the big 3 are basically whistling past the graveyard, hoping things will improve whearas in reality they've driven the American auto industry into the grave. Let the weak ones go bankrupt, get rid of this "closed minded" management and leadership that still believes the sun will shine one day after they get their 34 billion dollar handout. Nope, not gonna happen, because the Toyotas and the Hondas and Nissans of the world will still be there and they are in much strong marketing and financial positions. Competitiveness and marketable products are hollow words for these leaders of the Detroit Big 3. Let them fall.

  • Posted By: PA_Jim_1962 @ 12/04/2008 7:30:57 AM

    I think there are four groups here.
    I hate unions and American cars.
    No bailout/use bankruptcy to drastically reorganize the failing companies - Let all 3 fail if they can't make it on their own.
    No bailout/use bankruptcy to drastically reorganize the failing companies. Don't let all of them fail. Help them later if needed.
    Bailout - Try to save all 3 now.

  • Posted By: boxcarbetty @ 12/04/2008 6:15:29 AM

    When we lost our home in 1984 no one bailed us out we had to walk away after having paid 15 years into that mortgage. I could not get a bail out why should they get one. They have lived too high on the hog for too long. There cars suck they don't last and they are too pricy. I would by foreign cars before I bought american. They make them cheap and sell them high. Let them go into bankrupcy we had to. Let them suffer like everyone in America does. I say no bail out not with my dimes.

  • Posted By: boxcarbetty @ 12/04/2008 6:10:48 AM

    We lost our home in 1984, no one bailed us out, we had to walk away. They need to start stepping. They have lived too high on the hog for too long. No bail out. There cars are not that good anyway. I would buy a foreign car before I buy American. I cannot believe the greed of these people.

  • Posted By: AreYouGuysKidding @ 12/04/2008 6:00:32 AM

    Let the Law of Business rule for these "high-functioning idiots"...go bankrupt and rebuild from that point! These CEOs are the equivalent of heroin addicts, "Hey man, I need more money and then I'll be able to clean up my life." NO! You need to clean up your business FIRST, and then we'll talk money! Oh...and CEOs...working for a dollar doesn't impress me at all! You need to be unemployed! Lose the mistresses, the country clubs, the yachts, the houses in the Hamptons, etc. Lose your "addiction" to money! NO BAILOUT!

  • Posted By: padilla_516 @ 12/04/2008 5:50:17 AM

    If I go out and make a lot of bad investment decisions with the money that I make, find myself suddenly staring at foreclosure, and can't live as exquisite a life as I've been used to, I can't go to the government for a bailout. Why should they? NO BAILOUT ON MY DIME!!! Early in the twentieth century, corporate greed drove us to need union protection. Unions have evolved into a tremendous liability with the ultimate sacrifice being paid by the consumer, ie, lower standards of quality while driving the cost of the product up. Just look at the Japanes car manufacturer's business models and you'll see you don't need a union to be happily employed, well paid, and secure. At the same time, the American manufacturer can concentrate on refining quality - PLEASE! Oh yeah, and how about a reality check for the average American auto worker? Guess what? You have been outclassed by your friends and neighbors who are assembling a car for Toyota, or Honda, or Nissan and they don't have unions. Do we see the connection yet?
    In the meantime, you got yourself into this mess, you get yourself out. And by the way, I'll continue to drive my Toyota - which I am certain is not going to prematurely fail on me - to work. Where I don't have, nor need a union.
    Don't get me wrong guys. I am a patriot who absolutely adores his country and would die for it. I am a third generation soldier (veteran now), and am still serving my country. But I am ashamed at what corporate greed and American laziness have done to the automotive industry. Good luck. You are on your own.

  • Posted By: shovonc @ 12/04/2008 2:32:42 AM

    If these companies sink, a lot of people lose their jobs, and that would be terrible.
    But if 34 billion goes to these companies, and they still sink 6 months later (which, given managerial
    incompetence and the soup they're already in, seems likely) -- all those jobs will just be protected
    for 6 months.
    Supposing you allowed these companies, or even demanded of these companies, that they sack
    300,000 workers immediately.
    The working capital needs that they are crying about go down drastically, buying them more time.
    Give the 34 billion to the 300,000 who got sacked (and who otherwise might have lost their jobs
    soon and not got a dime)
    I don't know whether I did the math right, but thats about 100,000 dollars per worker.
    That's a better way to spend the money, surely?

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