Switched-On Highways

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  • Posted By: adclose @ 01/14/2009 11:50:09 AM

    Fareed - you usually show amazing understanding of complex international issues, but here you have succumbed to the hype. The linkage to this future is what needs to be exploited now: hybrids going to plugin hybrids (PEVs). All-electrics have substantial disadvantages as cited by the many comments below - OK perhaps for compact countries like Israel and Denmark, but not tenable for widely spaced countries such as the US and Canada.

    PEVs will have a major impact for the next decade or two as it allows full electric mode for a large percentage of miles driven - and therefore a big advantage in terms of oil dependence and CO2 emissions (electric generation by utilities being much more efficient that the IC engine, especially using natural gas, wind, solar, etc.). Beyond that, who knows? Fuel cells using H2 as the source, all electric, etc...

  • Posted By: adclose @ 01/14/2009 11:40:05 AM

    Fareed - you usually show amazing understanding of complex international issues, but here you have succumbed to the hype. The linkage to this future is what needs to be exploited now: hybrids going to plugin hybrids (PEVs). All-electrics have substantial disadvantages as cited by the many comments below - OK perhaps for compact countries like Israel and Denmark, but not tenable for widely spaced countries such as the US and Canada.

    PEVs will have a major impact for the next decade or two as it allows full electric mode for a large percentage of miles driven - and therefore a big advantage in terms of oil dependence and CO2 emissions (electric generation by utilities being much more efficient that the IC engine, especially using natural gas, wind, solar, etc.). Beyond that, who knows? Fuel cells using H2 as the source, all electric, etc...





    from the infernal combustion engine to gas/electric hybrid

  • Posted By: James4570 @ 01/14/2009 10:02:20 AM

    They do have air conditioning, and it is better than a gas cars, there is no belt to break. A separate small motor runs the air so you will not have a belt break and strand you. The electric cost to run it has been proven by earlier models. We didn't abandon the idea years ago, the car manufacturers realized they could bleed the consumer for much more money by milking us on the replacement parts and labor costs to maintain an out of date gas engine. Transmission alone is a $3000 job. Electric cars don't have a transmission, fuel delivery system, exhaust system, ignition system, or any of the other out of date items in a gas car. No oil changes or tune ups, ever again. They leased them before and when the realized the money they would lose they confiscated them at the end of the lease and crushed them. Watch ???who killed the electric car on u toob. Cost of operating it is like getting gas for 60 cents per gallon. I have my eye on the BYD E6. 185 miles per charge, 375,000 mile battery life, 93 mph speed, $20,000 purchase price. I will get one when they come out. Several other companies are bringing them in a year or so. Phoenix electric, tesla is designing some lesser expensive models. It is the future, and the local manufacturers will not stop it this time. My next car is No Plug, No Deal. I will not buy another new car until this comes out.

  • Posted By: James4570 @ 01/14/2009 9:58:59 AM

    They do have air conditioning, and it is better than a gas cars, there is no belt to break. A separate small motor runs the air so you will not have a belt break and strand you. The electric cost to run it has been proven by earlier models. We didn't abandon the idea years ago, the car manufacturers realized they could bleed the consumer for much more money by milking us on the replacement parts and labor costs to maintain an out of date gas engine. Transmission alone is a $3000 job. Electric cars don't have a transmission, fuel delivery system, exhaust system, ignition system, or any of the other out of date items in a gas car. No oil changes or tune ups, ever again. They leased them before and when the realized the money they would lose they confiscated them at the end of the lease and crushed them. Watch ???who killed the electric car on u toob. Cost of operating it is like getting gas for 60 cents per gallon. I have my eye on the BYD E6. 185 miles per charge, 375,000 mile battery life, 93 mph speed, $20,000 purchase price. I will get one when they come out. Several other companies are bringing them in a year or so. Phoenix electric, tesla is designing some lesser expensive models. It is the future, and the local manufacturers will not stop it this time. My next car is No Plug, No Deal. I will not buy another new car until this comes out.

  • Posted By: James4570 @ 01/14/2009 9:58:32 AM

    They do have air conditioning, and it is better than a gas cars, there is no belt to break. A separate small motor runs the air so you will not have a belt break and strand you. The electric cost to run it has been proven by earlier models. We didn't abandon the idea years ago, the car manufacturers realized they could bleed the consumer for much more money by milking us on the replacement parts and labor costs to maintain an out of date gas engine. Transmission alone is a $3000 job. Electric cars don't have a transmission, fuel delivery system, exhaust system, ignition system, or any of the other out of date items in a gas car. No oil changes or tune ups, ever again. They leased them before and when the realized the money they would lose they confiscated them at the end of the lease and crushed them. Watch ???who killed the electric car on u toob. Cost of operating it is like getting gas for 60 cents per gallon. I have my eye on the BYD E6. 185 miles per charge, 375,000 mile battery life, 93 mph speed, $20,000 purchase price. I will get one when they come out. Several other companies are bringing them in a year or so. Phoenix electric, tesla is designing some lesser expensive models. It is the future, and the local manufacturers will not stop it this time. My next car is No Plug, No Deal. I will not buy another new car until this comes out.

  • Posted By: REALITY CHECK @ 01/13/2009 7:18:03 PM

    He's right on track, and since 80% of driving is less than 40 miles per day, it could save hundreds of $Billions on oil imports each year. Also, since most families have 2 cars, why not one (electric) for normal commuting, and one (gas) for long distance travel. Even one car families could benefit, if they buy an electric car for normal use and rent a gas car for occasional long distance travel (I own 3 cars, but rent a car for about $100/wk for long distance vacations - over 200 miles away). As to battery technology, too bad the environmentalists won't allow batteries to be economically produced in the U S. But the overall concept is absolutely great.

    • Posted By: dadoftim @ 01/14/2009 8:44:34 AM

      Doesn't anybody remember the rolling blackouts of a few years ago? There hasn't been enough capacity to move cars off oil and on to the grid. We already have the greenie complaining about clean coal they won't let enough capacity be added for the electic car to be anything but a novelty. Record cold grips the nation must be Global warming, NOT.

      • Posted By: boneclinkz @ 01/14/2009 9:52:54 AM

        Actually they were forced to start calling it "climate change" because idiots like you thought that any time you had to put on a sweater to go outside you were disproving "global warming".

    • Posted By: REALITY CHECK @ 01/13/2009 7:22:26 PM

      One potential problem, however, with the concept. What happens when Congress realizes that they're losing tens of $Billions in gasoline taxes, and starts taxing electric autos to make up the difference? Still, it's a concept that should work.

  • Posted By: Let's get serious @ 01/14/2009 9:49:22 AM

    It's true that widespread use of electric cars would create an increased demand for electricity. Where would this additional power come from? Hopefully not from coal and nuclear power plants! This type of "big picture" planning is exactly why our government needs to get involved.

    This "Better Place" organization is on the right track; there needs to be standardized battery packs that multiple manufacturers could make. There needs to be several different sizes for small, medium and large size vehicles. There needs to be software that is designed to charge our cars at home during "off peak" power generation periods. In other words, if you plug your car in at 6 PM when you get home for work, the software doesn't actually allow your car to begin charging untill say, 11 PM. Another idea I've heard presented is having software that allows the power companies to draw small amounts of power from nearly fully charged car's batteries to meet demands during peak electrical consumption hours. This would make our all our car's batteries balance out our country's electrical demand, negating the need for additional power plants.

  • Posted By: erisajd @ 01/14/2009 9:46:33 AM

    Electric cars are the LEAST efficient option out there. You lose energy in the conversion of heat to the steam turbine, you lose more energy and effiicency in the transmission of electricity to the home/business charging station, and then you lose more efficiency because the best batteries are only marginally efficient in converting energy in to energy out.

    What about the disposal of these batteries? Literally tons of hazardous waste.

    What about the CO2 emitted by coal fired power plants needed to generate this electricity?

    LESS total pollution is created by gasoline powered engines of similar mileage and power than by the use of electric cars. While the US is the Saudi Arabia of coal, the energy obtained from coal is less than that gasoline, meaning ANY electric vehicle [not hybrids] is less effficent in the macro sense than ANY gasoline vehicle. WHY are the environmentalists all charged up over this - because most of them are intellectually dishonest and could not think their way completely out of a paperbag. Let science control instead of politics.

  • Posted By: jlynch34 @ 01/14/2009 9:45:23 AM

    I have been waiting for some major company to make and sell to the general public electric cars. An I don't mean at $40+ like the Chevy Volt but one the average guy can afford to buy. Hope my CR-V lasts until we have an affordable EC or I'll be buying a Fit..

  • Posted By: toolkien @ 01/14/2009 9:36:21 AM

    No wonder people go on about the US being capitalist.

    If you state that there is "no subsidy" of this industry and two paragraphs later talk about heavy tax differentials and "forced adoption" of a particular industry and don't see "subsidy" in them, then it seems pretty simple to live in a country simply abounding in market interferences from an alphabet soup of bureaucracies and call it capitalist. You just have to ignore blatantly manifest contradictions or embrace Doublespeak.

  • Posted By: mountainboy @ 01/14/2009 8:59:37 AM

    "155 miles without air conditioning"? How many Americans live in climates that make this a feasible condition? Most of us sincerely desire a practical and affordable electric car. But if the disastrous experience of GM a decade ago has taught us anything it should be that it is far better wait for a workable scheme than one clearly destined to fail. Green energy, recharge infrastructer, and all the other objections are easily, if not cheaply, overcome--but an electric car that is good enough to actually be bought by the people not only isn't available, it isn't even on the horizon. Undoubtedly we will get there some day, but this proposal hasn't a chance.

  • Posted By: mountainboy @ 01/14/2009 8:50:39 AM

    Didn't anybody see the obvious nonstarter buried in this aritcle? "155 miles without air conditioning". How many people live in cllmates that make them likely to forego the use of air conditioners? Most of us sincerely desire a good and practical electric car, but transparently false assumptions about what is practical and what isn't will not take us very far. Better by far to wait for a systrem that actully has a chance of working than to foul the nest with schemes that are destined to fail. Didn't we lear anythiing from GM's experience of a decade ago?

  • Posted By: waltah @ 01/13/2009 10:11:51 PM

    If there is an 8-year old planning to read this article, I can save him or her some time: Dumb idea, dumb interview. Zakaria is a brilliant writer but he seems to have been switched-off during this farce. Among major problems: comparing the per-mile cost of an electric car to the current U.S. fleet average isn't even close to valid since electric cars tend to be two-seaters of very modest capabilities; I don't believe a battery cost of $0.04-0.06/mile; and electricity is no sense green since our cheapest kWH's come from coal and will do so for many years into the future.

    There are many business models that will solve every perceived problem but "[won't] happen without government." (Read: Massive long term subsidies.) You want green transportation then get nuclear power stations built AND THEN (20+years hence) figure out a convenient and portable packaging method for the energy, using the technology then available.

  • Posted By: waltah @ 01/13/2009 10:02:55 PM

    If there is an 8-year old reading this article, I can save him or her some time: Dumb idea, dumb interview. Zakaria is a brilliant writer but he seems to have been switched-off during this farce. Among major problems: comparing the per-mile cost of an electric car to the current U.S. fleet average isn't even close to valid since electric cars tend to be two-seaters of very modest highway capabilities; I don't believe his battery cost of $0.04-0.06/mile, and electricity is in no sense green since our cheapest kWh's come from coal and will do so for many years into the future.

    There are many business models that will solve every perceived problem but "[don't] happen without government." (Read: Massive and long term subsidies.) You want green transportation then get nuclear power stations built AND THEN (20+years hence) figure out a conveinent and portable packaging method for the energy.

  • Posted By: Dave in NM @ 01/13/2009 5:05:48 PM

    Interesting that he just plain didn't answer the question about how to cover the Midwest - he changed the subject to California. I would like to see figures on pure energy efficiency as between batteries and gasoline - not just cost per mile, but cost in terms of power generation and carbon output at the source. Can our electrical infrastructure generate this much power, given the fact that we're already seeing rolling blackouts? Will we just end up burning more fossil fuels to charge the batteries? Let's not pretend that electricity originates at the outlet!

    • Posted By: fattdaddy19 @ 01/13/2009 6:53:01 PM

      Dave, The rolling blackouts exist because peak demand exceeds current production. These almost always occur in summer between about 10am and 4 pm when everyone's air conditioners are running. Most people in an urban environment would probably be charging their cars at night at home when demand is low and production exceeds demand. Most power plants do not shut down at night as it takes too long to bring them back on line. I many areas where hydro power is available, they stop the flow of water thru the turbines in order to save this resource for the next day when the power would be needed. I have even heard of small hydroelectric dams where they will pump the water back up into the resevoir to have it available the next day(don't know about the veracity of this but was told this back in the very early 70's by a professor of geography. Electricity will never be free but the idea of an electric car charging at night in the driveway is appealing to many who don't have long commutes. Look at what happened to the price of gas when demand in the US dropped 10%(certainly not all attributable to the decline in demand but just as certainly the drop in demand had some effect on the drop in price).

  • Posted By: Shady56 @ 01/13/2009 6:39:07 PM

    This probably great Idea but you forgot some main problem Nancy Pesopi us. congress woman Harry Reid us Senate both got heavy investment in the oil indusrty and GM. until they no longer have the control of the house and senate This have too many road block

  • Posted By: coolzero @ 01/13/2009 6:25:52 PM

    Why do I have to pay a monthly contract to buy my fuel? Why can't I pull up to a charging station and pay per watt/kilowatt? I don't want to be paying the same amount every month if I don't drive the exact same amount every day!!

    Aren't cell phone contracts bad enough??

    http://wtfdidhesay.blogspot.com

  • Posted By: msb2510 @ 01/13/2009 6:18:33 PM

    All parts of the lead-acid batteries are recycleable. I'm not so sure about the newer Nicad and Lithium. The estimated replacement costs I've seen over the years has been from $3000 to $10,000.
    In the senario where the consumer owns the car but rents the batteries, the rental company would be buying these battery packs in bulk (probably from China :) at a significant saving. You would probably have a flat monthly rate plus the per mile rate when swapping packs at a charging station (gas station for everyone else).
    Perhaps if you got this type of contract as part of the vehicle purchase the partial cost of the batteries would be discounted. I doubt they would discount the complete amount. Just a possibility.
    Electricity can come from lots of places much closer to home, not just the mega-companies. People have to think beyond their utility company and the wall switch. As you can probably tell, I'm pro-electic cars. All these problems can be worked through. The infrastructure to support automobiles was not in place until long after it was invented.

  • Posted By: Kingsway @ 01/13/2009 5:43:16 PM

    Silly Me, but where is all the electricity going to come from, Pixie Dust? We are using billions of barrels of oil for transportation, and billion of tons of coal to generate power.

    If we ramp up the production of coal and biofuels to operate the hundreds of new carbon based electricity plants the laws of supply and demand will cause prices to go up and stay up. Carbon fueled plants of the most economical scale cost about $2, 000, 0000,000 and when you multiply that times 250 plants, the construction alone will cost 5 Trillion to say nothing of the expenses of staffing, health costs, retirement costs, and general upkeep.

    Nuclear power plants, fission or hopefully fusion cost substantially more per/ each to say nothing of the NIMBY problem with any method.

    Electric & Hybrid vehicles using NiMh batteries, the type used in Prius???s, require some of the environmentally hazardous processes known, from the Nickel smelters in Canada and the US spew heavy metals and hazardous chemicals and fumes into environment.

    The process of manufacturing the nickel sponge is only possible in China because the government has prioritized profit of safety. This sponge is then shipped to Japan to make batteries. The cost of shipping includes a lot of petroleum, since container ships don???t run on batteries.

    The next step up the battery technology in sight is the Lithium Ion system, efficient relatively speaking, but a major FIRE hazard, remember the Sony Laptop battery debacle.

    The simple and magical thinking employed by most of the commenter reveals the ignorance of the general public and most of the so-called ???well-informed???.

    In the last 90 day sales period, Hybrid sales have tanked 30%+, Toyota has cancelled it???s effort to build more Prius???s and build them in the US.

    In Japan, hybrids and electric vehicles sell slowly because the cost structure of ownership makes their purchase irrational except for certain special circumstances.

    Selling these vehicles in the Lesser Developed and 3rd World is only a sad delusion for many years to come.

    To replace the consumer and business fleet now powered by petroleum with one fueled in some other fashion, will require decades at the very least, more money and leadership than is currently apparent.

    Another evil thought, what will the Arab World do if it???s major source of revenue is curtailed by the West ?

    • Posted By: maninthewilderness @ 01/13/2009 6:02:41 PM

      they will have to "pound sand"

  • Posted By: eaglwlker12 @ 01/13/2009 5:45:48 PM

    electric cars are basically worthless, unless you live in a city.

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