Alaa al-Marjani / AP
New Era? An Iraqi man holds his child while voting in Najaf on Jan. 31
INTERNATIONAL

A New Iraq?

Citizens turned out in a peaceful, transparent election. And they voted for change.

 

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For a man once viewed as an American patsy and an innocuous transitional figure in Iraq's chaotic politics, Nuri al-Maliki has come a long way. He was no one's first choice when he became prime minister in April 2006, but Maliki has hung onto the job and grown steadily in stature. On Thursday, the country's electoral commission announced that, with 90 percent of votes counted, his political coalition triumphed in nine of 14 provinces where elections were held six days ago.

While not a candidate himself, Maliki saw his State of Law alliance emerge as the top vote getter in the provincial elections. The coalition topped competitors ranging from the political network inspired by radical Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr to Sunni Islamists to tribal parties in an election that monitors from the Arab League said took place in an atmosphere of "transparency and integrity." Voting was mostly peaceful in the country, which has seen a sharp decline in violence in recent months, with turnout estimated at 51 percent of eligible voters. (The 10 percent of the vote not yet tabulated were cast by the Iraqi Security Forces, prison inmates, hospital residents, displaced persons and others, and also includes contested ballots.)

The results may change the political calculus in the ravaged nation. They leave Maliki looming as a dominant figure ahead of national elections scheduled for the next year or so. More important, the election suggests that Iraqis are motivated more by pragmatism than by religion and tribalism, and may be maturing as voters. "People were saying, 'We're tired of you guys telling us about religion. We want services. We want stuff, not prayer'," says a Western adviser to the Maliki government who is not authorized to speak for the administration. "The big 'aha' is that all of a sudden the election became an issues-based election and not a religion- or affinity-based election."

Maliki himself may have set the tone. Long a partisan, narrowly focused Shiite politician who many feared would seek retribution against minority Sunnis who controlled Iraq under Saddam Hussein, the prime minister instead positioned himself as a tough guy concerned above all with security. He also portrayed himself as someone willing to stand up to the United States. And yet his policies in the past year have hewed close to the American road map. He brought back the Iraqi Army, sought compromise with Sunnis and national reconciliation and went after the militias, Sunni and Shiite alike. He cast himself as El Cid, personally leading offensives in Mosul and Basra. He stood up to the Kurds, which may have unnerved the Americans, but played well with fellow Arabs.

And Maliki appears to have adjusted his own political modus operandi. While his political party, Dawa, is traditionally centralized, ideological and even rigid, Maliki apparently recruited candidates who were already seen as effective leaders in their provinces. And those candidates stressed their ability to get things done. "[The election results] suggest that the Iraqi citizen has such a level of awareness that he did not get affected by the media propaganda," Hassan al-Senaid, a Dawa Party member of Parliament, tells NEWSWEEK. "Instead, the Iraqi citizen chose who truly represents him and [things like] electricity had the final say."

Iraqis apparently looked past sectarianism and tribal concerns for candidates who could deliver. Voters inKarbala, a central-Iraq province that contains the holy city of the same name, bucked the pro-Maliki trend, relegating the Maliki list to third place. They instead elected the slate led by Yusuf Magid al-Haboobi, reputedly a former Baathist. Haboobi has little renown nationally, but is known as an effective mayor of small towns in the area. The current provincial government, meanwhile, is in Dawa hands and is accused of incompetence and corruption. The conclusion: a record of ability to provide basic services trumped party labels.

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: think4yourself @ 02/06/2009 4:23:58 PM

    Thank you President Bush :) Also Pres Obama is wrong he no longer has 2 wars he has only one now and that depends on what he wants to do. He does not have to go to Afganistan...

  • Posted By: Lee Holmes @ 02/06/2009 2:40:58 PM

    Hmm. So the lying LANCET report on US-caused deaths in Iraq has now been proven to be false. Its authors are now being subject to civil liability by the reports sponsors,Johns Hopkins University who poorly vetted the original 2004 ''study''. Ironically, as Bush is made the catalyst for an ''illegal war'',he also reaps the consequences of what can end up becoming a more stable large Middle Eastern nation.That which was ''broken''[Sec.of State Colin Powell],now appears to be on the mend,with Bush [and certainly the generals and the troops] enjoying a measure of vindication that ignores the fears of his critics in moving towards a thing which is unlike in totality,the Baathist creature it once was. The Iraqi people are not to be damned with faint praise,but with solid congratulations in trying to form their own imperfect union.

  • Posted By: kunino @ 02/06/2009 2:36:00 PM

    Well, DMoney got me on one point: I mistyped the word "flack".

    What I reported earlier didn't come from any blogs on the matter. it came from numerous press and TV reports. These don't disappear because DMoney hasn't seen them, and their facts have not been challenged by either the US or Iraqi government. The UN commission for refugees has a heavily stressed workforce supporting, feeding, etc, these post-US invasion refugees in Syria, Jordan and other nations.

    Following the US invasion, virtually all of Iraq's Christians fled the country, in defense of their faith -- and lives. There was no persecution of Christians before that.

    Refugees interviewed on television in recent years -- most made their first temporary residence in Syria, a Muslim country where Christians are still not persecuted -- report that they fled their homeland post-invasion because a) they were officially instructed to convert to Islam -- and wouldn't; b) in Romeo & Juliet style, they, Muslims, loved across Muslim religious lines and as a result were threatened with death; or c) they were targeted because they had helped the US invasion forces. These last ones are happy to present to TV cameras official letters of commendation from senior US military officials for their services. They seem to have been "thank you, drop dead"letters that would be virtual death sentences if discovered by local authorities back home.

    Political leaders back in Iraq are of course professing much less respect for the US occupying force than they cared to two or three years ago.

    DMoney also makes a strange and self-defeating argument in saying the current election was terrific in contrast with Ïraq's "very first election ... their truly first election ". What he's saying is that no election in Iraq is an election unless conducted under US auspices and military protection. A strange and untruthful idea. He or she rambles on to compare Iraq with Minnesota, a strange idea. Instead, imagine a situation in which the US held elections under occupation by some strong foreign military force. Then you have some idea of how "democracy" works in Iraq today. The real test of its strength will of course be how elections run after the Americans and their Coalition partners come home. My personal hope is that it will run well.

    There seems little reason to hope that the Iraqi refugees who fled because violent chaos erupted after the United States invaded their nation,will ever find safe haven in their former homeland again. Benign, ignorant and complacent musings about Iraq as the Minnesota of the Middle East seem ... well ... foolish and lazy. And, of course, contemptuous of the suffering. Such people are of course the natural victims of the flacks.

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