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But there are signs that the extremists are adapting. "We've heard that they're trying to rebrand themselves by using other names," says the American official, "and we see evidence that they're trying to recapture some status." The group has mostly shifted its focus back to fighting the Americans, instead of attacking Iraqi targets such as government offices and Shiite mosques (although at least 60 people were killed in bombings last week during the Shiite holiday of Arbaeen). Abu Ahmed heard much the same thing recently when he visited an acquaintance outside Baghdad who has not renounced the insurgency. "Al Qaeda came back here," Abu Ahmed says the man told him. "There is an agreement that we will not interfere with them if they do not interfere with us." Abu Ahmed says the group has made similar peace deals with Sons of Iraq commanders in parts of Baghdad, promising to refrain from violence in their neighborhoods in exchange for safe quarter.

And Al Qaeda remains a threat despite its drastically reduced circumstances. Abu Ahmed says the group maintains car-bomb factories in some places and arms caches in others. "Even if the areas they have are few, terrorism does not need a country," he quotes another insurgent acquaintance as saying. "You only need a hundred meters to conduct a terrorism operation." Abu Lina (the nom de guerre of another active insurgent) says the group's leaders are lying low while they focus on gaining new members among impressionable young Iraqis: "They spend their time talking, recruiting, convincing."

There's no shortage of willing listeners. Many Sunnis retain at least vestiges of the nationalist fervor that fueled the insurgency. Abu Ahmed says he occasionally has arguments with his wife about his decision to work with the Americans. She still blames the U.S.-led military occupation for the suffering their country has endured since the war began. Some of Abu Ahmed's old acquaintances have temporarily quit the insurgency, only to melt back into the cycle of violence as seamlessly as they left it. "A lot of them are like chameleons," he says. He's also seen entire groups of former insurgents sell their fighting skills "like goods in a market" to the highest bidder, like the hired guns who once made Haifa Street one of the most dangerous in Baghdad.

Abu Ahmed says he only hopes to save as many lives as he has to take. He likes working with the Americans. "They are very respectful and understanding," he says. "They're very smart." He was impressed that they worked on public holidays. At first, he admits, he was even a little intimidated by their abilities and their curiosity about Iraqi tradition, culture and history. "Whatever I tell them, whether it's small or not, they analyze it because they know they'll need it for another time." He remains proud of the work he did in fighting the occupation. He's no less proud of what he's doing now. "Every phase of life has its own logic," he says. "Every fruit ripens at its own pace."

© 2009

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: BD11won @ 03/19/2009 10:06:34 PM

    Man this is crazy...Our mistakes led to the Iraqi's having all these weapons. Im glad the war is ending though

  • Posted By: motown67 @ 02/20/2009 10:47:23 PM

    I think this article touched on some important points about why the tribes in Anbar turned on Al Qaeda in Iraq, but missed some other just as crucial as well. The Anbaris generally turned on the U.S. invasion seeing the U.S. as occupiers. They had actually been relatively weak before under Saddam relying upon his patronage to keep their followers. After the invasion, the tribes found a new patron in Al Qaeda who provided money and know how. Al Qaeda made two big missteps. First they began taking over the tribes businesses, many of them illegal, to fund their campaign, which denied the sheikh's money to keep their followers. Second, they declared the Islamic Republic of Iraq. These two moves changed the tribes' views of the Islamists as allies to rivals. This eventually led to a shift to the U.S. beginning in 2005 who were now seen as the lesser of two evils. The 2006 debate in Congress about withdrawing also helped as it made some Iraqis think that the Americans would eventually leave. The U.S. became the new patrong because they recruited tribesmen directly into the local police, and also provided the sheikhs with lucrative reconstruction contracts. The problem now is that all of these tribes have fractured and they will do just about anything to get power. They have turned on each other and then reformed alliances before and after the provincial elections. The sheikhs feel entitled to power. Actually governing will be something completely new to them and their bickering along with the 50% budget cut due to the drop in oil prices could leave them deadlocked. That's the real issue rather than hunting down the remanants of Al Qaeda in Iraq. For more see: musingsoniraq.blogspot.com

  • Posted By: HDavidsonNeverDies @ 02/20/2009 1:28:03 PM

    BTW Michael Steele, wonderboy for the RNC, yeah he's under federal investigation for FRAUD....DOH!

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