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Obama’s Lucky Streak

 

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At first the general election pitted Obama against GOP Senate nominee Jack Ryan, a popular banker expected by many to win handily. Until, that is, Ryan's wife, TV actress Jeri Ryan, said her husband pressured her to accompany him to sex clubs and have sex in front of strangers. Ryan withdrew from the race and Obama cruised to victory against fringe candidate Alan Keyes.

During the 2008 campaign, John Edwards had an affair with Rielle Hunter, a campaign videographer. Edwards dropped out earlier than expected, before Super Tuesday, and his campaign said at the time that money wasn't the reason. Top staffers urged him to quit; according to George Stephanopoulos, they had secretly agreed among themselves to blow up Edwards's campaign rather than let him win the nomination and risk destroying the party's chances in November. Had Edwards stayed in, he would have siphoned votes from Obama (he took very few from Hillary Clinton) and, in an extremely close race, likely tipped the nomination to Clinton.

Obama won the general election without the help of a sex scandal, but the surprisingly strong Democratic tide (minus the backlash against New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer, who was caught frequenting prostitutes) was at least partly attributable to disgust with Republican hypocrisy. There was Sen. David Vitter, whose name was in the little black book of the "D.C. Madam," and Sen. Larry Craig. Craig's arrest for loitering in the men's room of the Minneapolis airport—and his "wide stance" explanation—turned Republicans into laughingstocks.

The embarrassments for the GOP continued: just last week, Nevada Sen. John Ensign, a "family-values" conservative like Vitter, admitted to an affair with a staffer. Vitter has survived politically, and Ensign might, too. But these scandals hardly seem like they will enhance the party's image as it enters into major domestic policy negotiations with Obama.

The Republicans' most promising 2012 nominee would be a smart, fresh face with a reputation for tolerance and a strong connection to the party's conservative base. Despite his problems in South Carolina, which were fueled by his refusal to accept stimulus money, Mark Sanford fits that bill. Or did. Now the party is more likely to go with Mitt Romney or Sarah Palin (or Haley Barbour, a former lobbyist turned Mississippi governor)—or someone easier for the president to beat.

Barack Obama still knows how to get lucky.

© 2009

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: Political Pluralism @ 09/30/2009 12:03:14 AM

    With all the dilemma's and conspiracies surrounding Healthcare Reform, one might ask them self is this reform is constitutional. Many political leaders have been speaking out that the government requiring all citizens to purchase the healthcare public option is merely unconstitutional and doesn't justify freedom by any means. Government sticking their nose in individuals personal lives has never worked out quite right. If you recall the United States Constitution almost never came about, because the southern states didn't want to give up their rights. So slavery was adopted to ratify the new constitution and do away with the Articles of Confederation. Then in the 1920's the government tried to outlaw the sale and consumption of alcohol. What happened there you ask, well the country as a whole began to rebel. Political leaders became even more corrupt, and ultimately the 18th amendment was repealed by the 21st amendment. So what I am trying to convey to you all is that requiring all Americans to purchase healthcare IS unconstitutional. So the question I have (please comment I like feedback) is outlawing illegal drugs unconstitutional since it's manipulating human behavior? (politicalpluralism.com)

  • Posted By: olderwiser @ 06/29/2009 8:29:25 PM

    But I would have to ask, Paulejb, if the Messiah can't emerge from Chicago, where would he emerge? Phoenix? Las Vegas? Salt Lake City?

  • Posted By: olderwiser @ 06/29/2009 8:25:52 PM

    No problema. I got your drift. Just got carried away with the idea of God caring who might win an election. No criticism implied.

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