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Panics ‘R’ Us

Why Obama's financial 'reforms' won't prevent future crises.

 
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Hard Times

Think the current economic crisis is bad? Before you decide, take a look at the bubbles, panics and depressions of the past.

 
 

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Since its earliest days, the United States has suffered periodic financial crises. The first dates to 1792. In the 19th century, bank panics occurred regularly. Then, of course, came the great stock market crash of 1929 and the failure of two-fifths of the nation's banks in the Great Depression. Now we're in the midst of another crisis. It would be reassuring to think that the Obama administration's financial "reforms" — or, indeed, any conceivable alternative — would prevent these collapses for all time. Dream on.

Every financial crisis originates in a failure of imagination. It's not that, before the crisis, no one foresees problems, "excesses" and losses. There are usually warnings. But what's routinely overlooked are the fatal interconnections that transform problems into panic. People panic because the future goes dark. They don't know what to expect, so they expect the worst. Markets cascade uncontrollably downward.

The current crisis did not occur merely because "subprime" mortgages experienced unexpectedly large losses or even because many of these loans were "securitized" in complex bonds, argues Yale economist Gary Gorton. The crux of the matter, he says, was the failure of the "repo" market. The term comes from "repurchase agreements" — short-term loans (usually overnight) that require the borrower to pledge collateral (usually bonds) in return for cash; the collateral is then "repurchased" by repayment of the loan.

No one knows the size of the repo market; Gorton thinks perhaps $10 trillion at any moment. Banks relied heavily on repo loans, which were routinely renewed. But when doubts arose about banks' subprime securities, the repo market panicked. Loans vanished or became costlier. Deprived of credit, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers failed; other institutions were vulnerable. Hardly anyone expected the panic; once it happened, large — but bearable — losses became a crisis.

In a crisis, government is the last bulwark against a complete financial collapse. That's the main justification for regulation. Just because all crises can't be prevented doesn't mean that some can't. Though complex, the Obama plan would essentially broaden regulation in three ways.

First, it would empower the Federal Reserve to designate some financial institutions (presumably, the likes of Citigroup and Goldman Sachs) as so important that their failure would "pose a threat to financial stability." These institutions would face stiffer capital requirements — capital being mainly shareholders' investment. More capital would provide a larger buffer against losses and a crisis.

Second, it would create a Consumer Financial Protection Agency to police unethical lending practices and to ensure that loan documents for mortgages, auto loans and other types of consumer credit are understandable. (The Securities and Exchange Commission would retain power over stock markets.)

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  • Posted By: sixhandicap @ 07/16/2009 6:07:44 PM

    Part 2

    Newsweek magazine is in dire financial trouble and is seeking to survive by cultivating a liberal, urban audience. There is nothing wrong with that, as long as the editors are up-front about it. But this sneaky media stuff is harming America, and it must be unmasked.

    With Barack Obama in the White House, the country is facing profound change. America is already on the verge of bankruptcy and federal intrusion into private business, health care, and the environment is unprecedented. The far left is trying to create a huge federal apparatus that will promote income redistribution and "social justice." Also, the left sees a major opportunity to knock out Judeo-Christian traditions, replacing them with a secular philosophy.

    In order to accomplish this, the left-wing media is marginalizing people like Sarah Palin who oppose the strategy. Under the guise of hard news reporting, the media is pushing rank propaganda on the citizenry. Dr. Joseph Goebbels, the Nazi propaganda minister, successfully developed this tactic in the 1930's.

    Americans need to wake up and smell the corruption. If crazy ideologues have infiltrated the news business, we need to know about it. And now you do.


  • Posted By: sixhandicap @ 07/16/2009 6:07:22 PM

    Marginalizing Sarah Palin
    By Bill O'Reilly for BillOReilly.com
    Thursday, Jul 16, 2009

    Part 1

    About a month ago in this space, I told you that the New York Times had rigged a poll about Americans wanting to pay higher taxes to fund government-run health care. The Times poll said 57% were willing to pay more tax; 37% were not willing to do so. But what the Times did not tell its readers was that 48% of those polled voted for Barack Obama. Just 25% supported John McCain. So of course the poll results would skew left.

    Now we have another media deceit. In the most recent Newsweek magazine, there is a nasty hatchet job on Sarah Palin by a guy named Rick Perlstein. The piece is presented as hard news, not an opinion column, and basically says that the governor is a moron who is supported by dimwitted conservatives at odds with smart Republicans. Perlstein also submits that the dumb GOP folks are led by me and other Fox News people.

    Anyone reading the story would think that a Newsweek correspondent put it together. I mean, the magazine has a staff of trained journalists to do its reporting and analysis. But Rick Perlstein is not a Newsweek correspondent, and is identified only as an author at the end of the piece. Very strange.

    It gets even more strange.

    Turns out that Rick Perlstein is a far-left zealot who blogs for a liberal site called "Campaign for America's Future." Perlstein lists one of his "interests" as "conservative failure." In 2007, Perlstein wrote, "I've just become a proud Fox [News] attacker. Now, you can too. It's not a boycott. It's simply calling advertisers and informing them what Fox says. Fox can't survive that."

    So, Newsweek magazine hires a far-left loon to do a hit piece on Sarah Palin, conservatives, and Fox News, and does not inform its readers about the loon's dedicated point-of-view. Newsweek editor Jon Meacham basically tried to disguise an ideological attack as news coverage. Awful.

  • Posted By: xinunus @ 07/09/2009 1:57:37 PM

    OBAMA EATS ENDANGERED BELUGA STURGEON WITH PUTIN

    Quote:
    Russian agencies, quoting the government's press service, said Putin treated Obama to black caviar with sour cream, smoked beluga with pancakes and tea made in the traditional Russian samovar, a big coal-fired kettle.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-BarackObama/idUSTRE56657E20090707

    http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersComService_2_MOLT/idUSTRE5661Q520090707

    WIKIPEDIA:
    --------------
    IUCN classifies the beluga as Endangered. It is a protected species listed in appendix III of the Bern Convention and its trade is restricted under CITES appendix II. The Mediterranean population is strongly protected under appendix II of the Bern Convention, prohibiting any intentional killing of these fish.

    The United States Fish and Wildlife Service has banned imports of Beluga Caviar and other beluga products from the Caspian Sea since October 6, 2005.

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