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Given Up Hope on Retirement?
Despite the economy, you can play catch-up with your investments. Here's how.
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The Economy: What About Us?
Technically, the nation's financial health is getting better. But statistics are cold comfort for Americans who are still struggling to make ends meet.
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By now, many retirement savers have seen the grim math: lose 50 percent of your portfolio and you have to earn 100 percent to get back to where you should be. How long is that going to take?
For many investors it could take years. From its peak in October 2007, the Standard and Poor's 500 Index lost 57 percent until finally bottoming out on March 9 of this year. It has since rallied, but the S&P is still down about a third from its high.
Retirement accounts have fared a bit better. Buoyed by continuing contributions (most workers did not cut their contributions or change their investment choices during the rout, according to a survey by Hewitt Associates published in May), and because very few 401(k)s are invested solely in the hard-hit S&P, they've lost less and recovered more. At the end of the second quarter of this year, the average 401(k) account was off about 22 percent from where it stood at the end of 2007, according to Fidelity Investments. That means a middle-of-the-road retirement saver could recover in less than two years, if she continued to make contributions, received a company match, and saw typical long-term returns in her well-balanced portfolio. At least, those were the findings of a study published earlier this year by the Employee Benefit Research Institute.
But the recovery time for anyone who isn't Ms. Median could be far shorter or longer, and which it is depends on how old you are and how much money you had before the crisis began. The younger you are and the less you'd saved, the faster you'll recover—some of the youngest workers may have already recovered. Older savers who are already in or near retirement will take longer to rebuild. Folks over 56 who had all their money in the stock market "really got creamed" and will take the longest to regain what they lost, says Jack VanDerhei of the Employee Benefit Research Institute.
Investors who want to crunch their own numbers can try some of the new how-long-to-recoup calculators that have started populating the Web. There's one designed by the investment firm T. Rowe Price at Kiplinger.com, another at Principal Financial Group, and a third at the financial software group Ativa's site.
What's the best way to rebuild your nest egg? According to most financial advisers, don't lament the tumult of the last year or try too hard to profit from short-term share prices going forward. Instead, they say, clients should simply stick with their plans: save and invest more, spend less, and try not to worry about the ups and downs that will always be a part of the financial markets.
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