Geo-Eye / SIME
SYRIA

A New Intelligence Failure?

 
 
 

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The Syrian desert facility that Israel apparently attacked in a shadowy Sept. 6 raid—and that some administration officials believe was a secret nuclear reactor—might be several years old. Israel bombed the complex near the Euphrates River months after alerting the United States to the existence of a suspect Syrian facility, according to intelligence sources. But photographic evidence obtained by NEWSWEEK shows the boxy main building already existed in 2003, and a European intelligence source said the program might have begun years earlier. The source, who asked for anonymity when discussing sensitive information, said fresh intelligence suggests the Syrians actually started a hush-hush program under the regime of late president Hafez Assad, who died in 2000, and that initially, clandestine factions of the government may have kept it secret from Bashar al-Assad, Hafez's son and successor. If true, it could be a significant intelligence failure by American and other Western spy agencies. (The CIA declined to comment.)

The facility in the 2003 satellite photo, taken by the commercial remote-sensing company GeoEye, appears identical to the one pictured in satellite images snapped weeks before the Israeli strike, with one notable distinction: the recent photos include what analysts have described as a pumping station along the Euphrates. Nuclear experts say Syria probably put in the pumping station to cool a reactor, which many believe was based on a North Korean design and was years from completion. A post-raid commercial satellite image taken last week showed the site had been flattened by bulldozers—evidence that most experts agree demonstrated Syria's desire to hide all traces of the facility. Israel has kept quiet about its attack, while Syria denied having a secret nuclear program.

Immediately after the bombing, many nuclear-proliferation experts in the United States and Europe expressed doubt that Syria had the money or the scientific capability for a secret atomic program. They also questioned whether North Korea would be desperate and greedy enough to sell nuclear wares to Syria. The new photos now have skeptics admitting they may have been mistaken.

The Bush administration has maintained a strict gag order on discussion of the Israeli attack. But two weeks after the incident, U.S. "intelligence czar" Mike McConnell began giving highly classified one-on-one briefings about the incident to a handful of congressional leaders. Republicans and Democrats came away with opposing conclusions. According to a former administration official, Republican legislators began agitating for a halt, or at least an interruption, in ongoing U.S. disarmament talks with North Korea. But House Foreign Affairs chairman Tom Lantos told NEWSWEEK that even after the briefing, he remains "fully in favor of pursuing ongoing diplomatic discussions with North Korea." Lantos said he also favors closer relations with both Pyongyang and Damascus, and that if North Korea disarmament talks succeed, the country should be dropped from a U.S. list of states that sponsor terrorism.

© 2007

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  • Posted By: Doc Becker @ 11/07/2007 3:07:40 PM

    Israel doesn't have nukes...they can't admit to that fact even if they did. Either way it's in Israel's best interest to have this doubt. Doubt that they have nukes and avoid the eventual arms race of the Islamic states and doubt that they haven't got nukes and run the mistake that they just might....it keeps things in a balance.

    The USSR and the US realized that neither side would win from a "nuke" war...this total destruction concept kept everyone at bay. Islamic fanatics believe that whatever happens is the will of Allah...so life to them on this earth doesn't really matter..nothing matters except Allah...how do you create restraint with that type of attitude? You don't...your only course of action is to limit military significant power (i.e nukes, WMD) to contain the threat. We (as the world) cannot allow this "roll of the dice" to take place and create an arms race that will undoubtly spread out of the regional borders...is it fair?....that depends on your perspective....if we lose friends on this issue then we don't really need those type of friends ...do we?

    We need to reevaluate our "rule book"...it's too thick and bulky for the new threat we face. In the past we always had the benefit of geographical isolation to cover our tactical and political mistakes...in this new world we live in we don't that ability. We have to "get it right" the first time or suffer the consequences of our ignorance. PLease look up in your history book under Nevile Chamberlin and WWII...that should create a new perspective.

  • Posted By: intention @ 11/07/2007 2:22:16 PM

    One day the United States might let the leash go; and Israel will handle our woes in the middle east. Until then we will keep them at bay for our own political intrests. Dont think for one minute that Israel attacked Syria without the OK of our leaders. Once the U.S. get what they want or needs they tighten up that leash again. One last point; The only reason Israel has nukes is because we allow them to. Remember this as Americans and friends of America...They hate you cause of who you are, they hated you since the day they were born and that is all they are ever taught.

  • Posted By: MaroMaro @ 11/06/2007 9:27:24 PM

    FunnyIsraelalready has NUCLEAR ARMAMENT ANDHHUGE NUCLEAR CAPABILITY and US takesnoaction. Israel makes USbelieve that Syrua "might" have a nuclear plan and we support their raids onthe already partly choppedoff by Israeli annexation of their Golan. Syria is poor and unable tosupport itself and because Israel is an enemy of Syria US supports Israel, withno limits...What are US interests here? WhyUS losesmore and more friends in the whole world? We should be intelligentenough not to fall again in another Iraq war. We are already being brain washed togo to war on Iran with dearer consequences than the war on Iraq!

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