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Keith Naughton

GM Spins Its Wheels

Behind the automaker's historic losses--and the worries on Wall Street

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  • Posted By: Prof.Aurnob Roy @ 11/09/2007 10:19:52 PM

    General motors must now have to set its innovations eye on targeting into sectors,markets,demographics,cultural profile,marketing needs,consumer preferences for small high fuel efficiency cars and come out a winner.It will come out of losses and not liquidate or merge with another auto makers if new options are tried out otherwise already 100 years old it will prove the Forbes data true that large companies last for 75 years that its OLC Organization Life Cycle is over.

  • Posted By: mlemmert1 @ 11/09/2007 5:23:41 PM

    Mr. Wagoner's statement regarding GM's recent write-down "You'd have to have a Ph.D. in accounting to fully understand it" is quite a stretch.

    I can explain the substance of their accounting entry. I recently sat for the California CPA Exam, but my level of knowledge nowhere near that of a Ph.D. in accounting. Additionally, the accounting principle that addresses the issue at hand is covered in intermediate accounting classes.

    Based on the facts presented in the article, GM was simply reducing its accrual tax expense each year based on the tax savings it expected to realize in future years by using "tax credits". In accounting terms, these "tax credits" are the benefits assocaited with carrying forward a net operation loss (NOL).

    A NOL can be carried forward for up 20 years. GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) does permit recognition of the future tax savings from a NOL carried forward. However, recognition is only allowed if the positive evidence suggesting that the future tax savings are realizable outweighs any negative evidence.

    What the former statement is saying in more general terms is "you can't reduce the accural tax expense you report this year on the basis of future tax savings if you don't have a reasonable basis to expect enough future taxable income to be able to use your tax credits before they expire"

    The process of determining whether the future tax savings can be recognized is somewhat involved and is not all or nothing (i.e. its not a choice of recognizing all of the future tax savings or recognizing zero. The determination after weighing the evidence could be that only 50% of the future tax savings should be recognized).

    Thus, the bottom line is, if a company applies this principle and concludes that they have to write-off 100% of their NOL from previous years, then that is a signal that they don't expect profits before the NOL expires (in this case, it appears that is a long time from now based on the assocaited losses having occurred fairly recently). More precisely, it means their accountants have concluded that there is substantially more negative evidence than positive evidence suggesting there will not be profits before the NOL expires.

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