Republicans Unfairly held accountable? NO. This is the Republican's economy, they built it, they safeguarded it and they should be held accountable for it. And that is only the start of the Mis-characterizations of this article.
American consumers not saving--while this is true, the operative question is why not? Couldn't have anything to do with Government Policy? How should we as a people respond to 9-11? Go Shopping says the Republican President. What do we do about ENRON? Set up a set of Psuedo-Regulations, then continue the same regulatory malfeasance of the 70's,80's and 90's---Allow the new Calvin Coolidge and Herbert Hoover (Reagan and Bush) to push Predatory Capitalism and encourage speculation--but not directly on the stock exchanges ;t;his time--FDR made it hard to do that in secrecy'' NO, this time lets do it in Private Hedge Funds and use "securitization" to disguise the risks from the regulators and the public--and just to be sure that nobody catches on--let's repeat the mantra "government is bad" so that we can appoint idiots to the regulatory agencies because they really don't matter anyway--and government is the problem not the solution.
A wise man said--"those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it"--here's a piece of history for you...take a look at the British Empire in the 1930's---that's America today.
We are transferring our wealth to our enemies and a few marginal friends...all to prop up a society where reality is ignored and conspicuous consumption lionized....where SUV's for a single driver are considered sheik and living modesty is assumed to indicate hidden character flaws. Add together the deficit from this moron president's war of choice, his lunatic tax cuts for the wealthiest 1% and his criminal neglect of the rich American dream that he inherited...and you have in play the single worst leadership failure in the history of America...and not just by Bush and Company, but by the DLC led Democrats too....don't forget that the House and Senate ALLOWED THESE ACTIONS--and refuses to impeach.
It is clear that it is time for a new NEW DEAL....what isn't clear is whether EITHER of these political parties is capable of dealing with the reality. I think that this may be the election where America stands up and says "A POX on both your houses" and engages in an "anyone but these guys" anti-incumbent tsunami.
‘Crunch’ Time for the GOP
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Second, some of the securities into which the mortgages were packaged were so complex that the people selling and buying them didn't understand, with hindsight anyway, what they were doing. As a result, it's hard to determine the securities' value. Given that uncertainty, write-downs of the securities' worth have often exceeded what the mortgage defaults alone would justify.
The specter of the subprime debacle is that it's just a start. Huge amounts of auto loans, credit-card debt, commercial mortgages and equipment leases have also been securitized. If similar problems emerged, it would shake confidence in the securitization model and, by magnifying investors' losses, threaten to turn the credit crunch from a slogan into a reality. This broader crisis, though a long shot, can't be excluded.
All of which brings us back to politics. Global Insight has one of many computer models that calibrate voting behavior with the economy's performance. The model has picked the winner of the popular vote in 13 of the last 15 presidential elections (it missed 1968 and 1976). Right now, the Republican and Democratic candidates are, putting Iraq aside, dead even. A deeper credit crunch would swing the advantage to the Democrat. The irony is that, while all the candidates are fighting frantically for their parties' nomination, the nation's financial markets may be quietly determining the ultimate victor.
© 2007
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