Less (Information) Is More

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  • Posted By: khaos @ 11/26/2007 3:50:30 PM

    If the doctor wont listen, it it guaranteed that he come to a sound conclusion? No. There may be information that can be useful and help the child over a long term plan rather than a quick fix by a doctor who thinks he knows what is going on instead of ruling out possible causes of the wheezing. Does this mean the doctors that will listen will do a better job? Not all the time. It's an issue of comfort and the notion that they want the best care for their child, which doesn't always mean it's going to be the quickest.
    The also never said how bad the wheezing was.
    Some people like to rationalize their lives, and it works for them. It's not always so for everyone.

  • Posted By: laman5105 @ 11/26/2007 3:49:37 PM

    Going back to High School, College and even Navy Training days we were always told your first choice of answers is usually the correct answer. However, I would point out that intuitive decision making should at least be disciplined intuitiion. The opposite of disciplined intuition is "impulsive" decision making and that is disastrous. With that caveat I think the article is right on. Hoorah for Simplicity!!

  • Posted By: khaos @ 11/26/2007 3:49:09 PM

    If the doctor wont listen, it it guaranteed that he come to a sound conclusion? No. There may be information that can be useful and help the child over a long term plan rather than a quick fix by a doctor who thinks he knows what is going on instead of ruling out possible causes of the wheezing. Does this mean the doctors that will listen will do a better job? Not all the time. It's an issue of comfort and the notion that they want the best care for their child, which doesn't always mean it's going to be the quickest.
    The also never said how bad the wheezing was.
    Some people like to rationalize their lives, and it works for them. It's not always so for everyone.

  • Posted By: alsheik @ 11/26/2007 3:49:08 PM

    thanks a lot for supporting my ideas.all big metters for me are small and not a big deal because when it,s big means it,s clear .but the small metters are so buzzel and hid unshown aims

  • Posted By: miguifano @ 11/26/2007 3:48:53 PM

    Not true. It's nothing more than a synthesis judgment that allows for further consideration at a later date, if necessary. Not unlike "Achems Razor," which states that given a series of answers, the most easily explained is most often the correct one. That being said, the caveat regards "most easily explained," for if it does not best explain the answer, one is to move on (without haste) into the realm of standard regression analysis in which all elements of fact are considered before making a decision. I believe it is possible for one to follow ???gut reactions??? and the ???philosophy of heuristics??? out the outset without sacrificing solid decision-making as the final goal of the individual exercise.

  • Posted By: miguifano @ 11/26/2007 3:48:17 PM

    Not true. It's nothing more than a synthesis judgment that allows for further consideration at a later date, if necessary. Not unlike "Achems Razor," which states that given a series of answers, the most easily explained is most often the correct one. That being said, the caveat regards "most easily explained," for if it does not best explain the answer, one is to move on (without haste) into the realm of standard regression analysis in which all elements of fact are considered before making a decision. I believe it is possible for one to follow ???gut reactions??? and the ???philosophy of heuristics??? out the outset without sacrificing solid decision-making as the final goal of the individual exercise.

  • Posted By: LarryJSnell @ 11/26/2007 3:47:03 PM

    Come on! We have lost the "common sense factor" in almost everything we do or say- Why must we depend on media to tell us how to think for crying out loud- Are we really that dependent on others opinions? Can we not form our own ideas? Can we not react without consulting some goof who happens to tickle our ears? Some dope reads an article and says it's gospel- We are truly lemmings going off the deep end without a paddle or a boat to boot! In everything use common sense or moderation folks! Don't listen to those who feel they have a higher IQ- Exercise your brains and use them- Can't hurt and certainly will help!

  • Posted By: chrisf75067 @ 11/26/2007 3:44:52 PM

    Remeber they saying "think long, think wrong" :)

  • Posted By: designdriver @ 11/26/2007 3:41:45 PM

    Read: Blink. How to think with out thinking. This research relates to credibiltiy of information. With all of the conflicting information on any subject that is available how does one decide what is right? Most individuals with go with their bias, wich is another word for being primed to think a certain way. Being primed or biased, turns off your ability to sense your gut reaction. Dont let them prime you for aquiesessense, go gut feeling.

  • Posted By: ronos @ 11/26/2007 3:41:03 PM

    comment: yeah i hope thats another way of solving issues but for me i normarlly forget it for sometime and i know inside me am looking for asolution, infact every person has or her own ways of dealing with matters concerning solutions,,,,,,,,,,,,, Thanks

  • Posted By: kvkkvk @ 11/26/2007 3:37:33 PM

    I read the book "Blink" a year ago. Same concept. So this new book is basically "been there; done that".

  • Posted By: designdriver @ 11/26/2007 3:36:59 PM

    its about time. this research relates to credibility. What information should you believe? With all of the conflicting information available on any subject. Go with you gut, but know that the sellers of certain information are trying to prime you to turn your gut feelings off so that their info will seem more palpable to you.

  • Posted By: kvkkvk @ 11/26/2007 3:36:57 PM

    I read the book "Blink" a year ago. Same concept. So this new book is basically "been there; done that".

  • Posted By: Flagler10 @ 11/26/2007 3:34:24 PM

    The website www.procon.org seems to be the realization of Benjamin's Franklins "moral algebra" vision. They post pros and cons of various controversial issues, and they even spell out how Franklin is related to their effort.

  • Posted By: dychejs @ 11/26/2007 3:34:08 PM

    This smacks of pop psych mumbo jumbo. How unfortunate the popular press has picked this up. I laboriously teach my students, many of whom will be warfighters in an operational theater, to NOT always trust your instincts and to do everything possible to obtain objective data before making a decision in which lives are at stake. Using your "gut" is not a good approach when there are data available and there are plenty of studies to support that. Doesn't anyone talk about the ills of Hindsight Bias anymore? Or the availability heuristic? Or about how algorithms are consistently better than heuristics (albeit more laborious)? Another black eye for academic psychology. *sigh*

  • Posted By: BCooper @ 11/26/2007 3:30:06 PM

    Just another philosophy supporting the doctrine of the "Do what FEELS good" element of society. The advantage of moral algebra is that, when performed sincerely, it encourages one to indentify and take note of concerns that might not otherwise be considered, but which could have serious implications. Increasing divorce rates and personal credit card debt are just part of the testimony to what happens when gut rules!

  • Posted By: michael-chuka @ 11/26/2007 3:29:54 PM

    CONCLUSION IS COMMOM SENSE. Most people make choices based on heuristics, and most times are right. There are intangibles and unknowns that can only be sensed, but not reducible into empirical formulas and calculations. The human being is more of an emotional than a rational being.

  • Posted By: riverme1724 @ 11/26/2007 3:29:51 PM

    Its not that hard to make decisions....Everyone can make their own life! soo i blame others for having a crummy life and hating it when they make the decisions to have children and have this career and soo on...its SIMPLE!!! i know what i want out of my life!

  • Posted By: yankeetraveler @ 11/26/2007 3:29:40 PM

    Who cares.....it's just another way of speeding things up, like isn't fast enough now. I enjoy sorting thru different thoughts to make a good and rational decision..........

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