Poll: Huckabee Surges in Iowa | Newsweek Politics: Campaign 2008

Huckabee Surges, Obama Gains in Iowa

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Unlike the GOP race, standings in the Democratic campaign have not changed dramatically since the September NEWSWEEK poll in Iowa. However, Barack Obama has gained some ground, moving to within a point of Hillary Clinton among all Democratic voters (29 percent vs. 30 percent), with John Edwards in third place at 21 percent. Among those most likely to attend the caucuses, Obama has moved substantially ahead of Clinton, 35 percent to 29 percent, while Edwards falls back a bit, to 18 percent. Obama also gets more support from those who say they will "probably" attend a Democratic caucus (40 percent vs. 27 percent for Clinton). While the Illinois senator's lead among Democratic caucus-goers in this poll is not large enough to be statistically significant, things seem to be trending his way, Hugick said. "It's evolving into a two-person race, with Edwards hanging on," he said.

The close duel between Obama and Clinton depends a great deal on the way their competing strengths are perceived, the survey shows. Obama is much more likely than Clinton to be viewed as the candidate best able to bring about change (42 percent vs. 28 percent for Clinton) and as more personally likable (41 percent vs. 18 percent). Clinton, however, is viewed far more as the candidate with the right experience for the job (48 percent vs. 15 percent for Obama) and as the person most likely to defeat the GOP nominee (36 percent vs. 27 percent). One potential trouble sign for Hillary, however, is that in contrast to the 2004 Iowa caucuses, when John Kerry leaped into the lead on the basis of his electability, only about one quarter (23 percent) of likely Democratic caucus-goers say they are inclined to support a candidate with the best chance of defeating the GOP nominee.

This poll was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International from December 5-6. Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,408 registered Iowa voters. Registered voters were screened from a random-digit-dial (RDD) telephone sample of Iowa residents. Registration status is self-reported and includes those who plan to register. Ninety-one percent of adults in the sample reported being registered or planning to register so they could attend a caucus.

Results are weighted so that the sample demographics match Census Current Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race, region, and population density. The overall margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for results based on 1,408 registered Iowa voters. Results based on smaller subgroups are subject to larger margins of sampling error.

Sample Size/Margin of Error for Registered Voters Subgroups:

1,408 Registered voters (plus or minus 3)

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Let???s look at the Gospel and see how closely Mike Huckabee measures as a Christian.

1. Jesus spent most of his ministry healing the sick. He never once asked about HMO???s, insurance or the ability to pay. Huckabee is opposed to universal medical care.
2. Jesus told the rich man to sell all he and give to the poor. Huckabee???s vision of America is one in which the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. He opposes any programs to reduce or eliminate poverty.
3. Jesus would definitely rewrite the rules of the WTO and World Bank. Huckabee finds nothing wrong with a global economic system which condemns billions of people to abject poverty.
4. Jesus told Peter to put down his sword and healed the centurion whose ear Peter just cut off. Huckabee loves guns and weapons. Would guns be allowed in the Kingdom of Heaven?
5. God gave us a beautiful world to share. Huckabeee and his ilk are doing nothing about globarl warming or the environment, turning a beautiful world into an inferno.
6. Jesus never condemned homosexuals nor did he speak out against gay marriage. His outreach to the Samaritans whom righteous people loved to hate illustrates what he would say about the homophobia that Huckabee and his ilk so love to preach.
7. While never condemning homosexuals, Jesus had nothing but the worst words for pharisees, basically the same sort of Bible thumbing preacher that Huckabee represents.
As Jesus said, ???Be ware of those who come in my name but are not of me.??? That admonition definitely applies to Huckabee.

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Posted By: larryws52 @ 12/13/2007 12:21:26 PM

Jesus also said "Let him who is without sin, cast the first stone". People are good at throwing stone but as I recall we don't have nail prints in our hands so I guess that means we are not perfect. All things work for the glory of God and so will this election.

Larry Sims
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Posted By: axxo_rocks @ 12/13/2007 12:02:26 AM

Your argument is wonderful and I like the concept of going beyond today's "knowledge, conventional wisdom, hearsay, and even commonly accepted Scripture." However, you use this specific instance of Huckabee's ideas coinciding with Castro's to generalize his similarity with the Cuban dictator; not cool...
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Posted By: Mwalimu @ 12/12/2007 11:57:13 PM

Let???s look at the Gospel and see how closely Mike Huckabee measures as a Christian.

1. Jesus spent most of his ministry healing the sick. He never once asked about HMO???s, insurance or the ability to pay. Huckabee is opposed to universal medical care.
2. Jesus told the rich man to sell all he and give to the poor. Huckabee???s vision of America is one in which the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. He opposes any programs to reduce or eliminate poverty.
3. Jesus would definitely rewrite the rules of the WTO and World Bank. Huckabee finds nothing wrong with a global economic system which condemns billions of people to abject poverty.
4. Jesus told Peter to put down his sword and healed the centurion whose ear Peter just cut off. Huckabee loves guns and weapons. Would guns be allowed in the Kingdom of Heaven?
5. God gave us a beautiful world to share. Huckabeee and his ilk are doing nothing about globarl warming or the environment, turning a beautiful world into an inferno.
6. Jesus never condemned homosexuals nor did he speak out against gay marriage. His outreach to the Samaritans whom righteous people loved to hate illustrates what he would say about the homophobia that Huckabee and his ilk so love to preach.
7. While never condemning homosexuals, Jesus had nothing but the worst words for pharisees, basically the same sort of Bible thumbing preacher that Huckabee represents.
As Jesus said, ???Be ware of those who come in my name but are not of me.??? That admonition definitely applies to Huckabee.