M. Spencer Green / AP
The ghost of Clinton past? Obama on the stump
CAMPAIGN 2008

Undecided in Iowa

Days before the caucuses, the candidates try to break through.

 

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Barack Obama was faced with a difficult choice. He had time for only one more question inside the school gym in Williamsburg, Iowa, before driving through a snowstorm to his next event. But two voters stood up side by side at the same time at the back of the crowd. "Which one of you is still undecided," he asked, only half in jest. "I want the undecided one. But if I didn't get a chance to answer your question, I'll answer it while we're shaking hands."

The end of a campaign is normally a time to rally loyal supporters to ensure they show up to vote. But in the final days before the Iowa caucuses, the candidates are engaged in another pursuit as they make their closing arguments: to push undecided voters into a decision.

Polls point to an unusually large number of undecided voters in Iowa. In the most recent CNN poll, in mid-December, just 38 percent of Iowa's likely voters had definitely decided on a candidate. The number who said they were still trying to decide was 40 percent. (A Pew Research poll in Iowa four years ago at the same stage found just 17 percent answering "don't know." ) These undecided voters will either break in the final days of the Iowa campaign (as they did for John Kerry in 2004), or they'll simply stay at home.

"It's true that there a lot of people that are undecided," Obama told reporters last week. "For a lot of them it's just a matter of seeing me for the first time. Typically, when I see a show of hands, we're getting a third of the people who are undecided. And we're getting a sizable chunk of them."

That chunk of undecideds is the target for the closing arguments by all three leading Democrats. But after a year on the campaign trail, the candidates are so tied up in their recent clashes with rival campaigns that their pitches can sometimes sound self-contradictory.

For instance, Obama is channeling his inner Bill Clinton, even as he argues that it's time to turn the page on the Clinton years. Answering questions about his political experience, Obama cites Bill Clinton's response to President George H.W. Bush in 1992. "The truth is, you can have the right kind of experience and the wrong kind of experience," Obama says in his latest stump speech. "Mine is rooted in the real lives of real people, and it will bring real results if we have the courage to change. I believe deeply in those words. But they are not mine. They were Bill Clinton's in 1992, when Washington insiders questioned his readiness to lead."

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Member Comments

  • Posted By: eddiewhere @ 01/04/2008 1:02:06 AM

    This is the comment I posted a couple of day agos. I am an American and I know my people. ALL My analysis were correct and backed by facts. I proved to be the most accurate going back months. Hopefully, people will learn that if you research and back your arguments with facts you will find the truth. I like Hillary and Edwards but they need to understand that they cannot overcome their records, they sold out to the same forces that have been "Punishing us for the last decade . Edwards cannot implement what he says and Hillary is haunted by the bill thing that is why she has to be careful not to go to negative. I will offer my advise on what the losers should do tomorrow. NO ONE LIKEs BEING CAUGHT WITH THEIR PANTS DOWN. OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT. DcooPer and deeP thinker you should study THE LIKEABILITy FACTOR and understand that I know more than all these Political Pundits and . Phd's. Did you see kieth OBEIRMAN and all those funny PeoPle on MSNBC. THey are dumb. They really looke devastated. Everything they believed in and all their Pundits were wrong. They were so one sided, Hillary. THe media has to recognize that more and more PeoPle do not believe them. They rePresent corPorations who have been indoctrinating us to sPene like wild animals and go into debt. DEbt financing. YOu know with CHINA. Everyone should read my comments and decide for temselves. Mitt Romney is a true clown just like Guilliani. His lies make me weeP like I said all along. His solution to health care is too offer Packagaes which PeoPle cannot afford. This man has just fliP floP too much and has followed the BUSH DOCTRINE. THAT EX Pired two years ago. I look forward to seeing his comPlete defeat in a couPle of weeks. Romney does not rePresent change HENRY TAFT BENSON. MY PEOPLE HAVE SEEN THROUGH THE MIRAGE. OBAMAMcCain for President. I backed every Post with facts. I am a Proud graduate of UMD in Maryland. I graduated four years ago and I am Part of a movement behind OBAMA that wants the best for ALL AMERICANS, EVEN GINGRICH and some of my friends who ridiculed my Posts. I have also had a loyal following of comment makers including suPPorters of all Parties. GOd Bless America.they have awaken a sleePing GIANT.
    eddiewhere @ 01/02/2008 4:21:43 AM
    Comment: Deep Thinker, Obama has been a success his whole life, He is far beyond his years and has always excelled above his peers. You need to research his eight years as an Illinois state senator. Obama is very intelligent and has proven it time and time again. He never got a free handout. He worked hard and accomplished more than anyone else his age in his field. That is a fact. What has Obama done that makes you think that he is not ready to be president, deep thinker. NO ONE LIKES BEING CAUGHT WITH THEIR PANTS DOWN. OBAMA/McCain ticket for President. We can move forward or we can go backwards. It is your choice.

  • Posted By: eddiewhere @ 01/04/2008 1:01:27 AM

    THis was comment three days ago.
    eddiewhere @ 01/01/2008 3:37:52 AM
    Comment: NO ONE LIKES BEING CAUGHT WITH THEIR PANTS DOWN. EXPERIENCE.AND JUDGEMENT. WHAT CAN HILLARY DO THAT OBAMA CANNOT. THIS IS THE QUESTION I HAVE BEEN ASKING MYSELF. I THINK THE WORLD WILL WELCOME OBAMA AND AT LEAST GAVE HIM A FAIR CHANCE. REPUBLICANS WILL SWALLOW THEIR PRIDE AND WORK WITH OBAMA. THEY WILL NEVER DO THAT WITH HILLARY. HILLARY AND EDWARDS ARE GOOD PEOPLE, HOWEVER THEIR VOTING RECORD AND THEIR LACK OF COURAGE HAS LEAD ME TO QUESTION WHETHER THEY HAVE THE RIGHT INSTINCTS AND JUDGEMENT TO BE IN OFFICE. I REALLY THINK THEY WOULD BE MORE EFFECTIVE UNDER AN OBAMA PRESIDENCY. OBAMA WILL NOT TRY AND CONTROL EVERYTHING.
    sANDY, EDWARDS IS DESpERATE. thIS MAN FOLLOWED JOHN KERRY. HE WILL DO AND SAY ANYTHING. EVEN IF HE MEANS IT NOW IT IS TOO LATE. OBAMA AND CLINTON ARE TOO SMART, THEY KNOW THAT WHAT YOU SAY TODAY COULD FINISH YOU TOMORROW. ONLY A CANDIDATE WITH NOTHING TO LOSE WILL SAY WHAT EDWARDS IS SAYING. WHAT HAS HE DONE. BE HONEST. HILLARY IS pROUD THAT SHE WENT AGIANST HER pRINCIpLES TO GIVE BUSH A BLANK CHECK. WHY. IT WAS GOOD FOR WESTERN NEW YORK. HILLARY IS NOT STUpID IF THE WAR HAD NEGATIVE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES IN BUFFALO, SHE WOULD HAVE VOTED AGAINST IT. TRANSpARENCY IS SOMETHING NIETHER pARTY WANTS. NO ONE LIKE GETTING CAUGHT WITH THEIR pANTS DOWN AND THEN LECTURED ABOUT JUDGEMENT CALL..

  • Posted By: Evolutionist @ 01/03/2008 10:42:10 PM

    A muslim who has a name almost the same as Osama Bin Laden,....great....its time for me to move the hell out of this country

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