This Week in Conservative Media: Hoping Health Care Won't Pass

“Obamacare” is dominating the otherwise sluggish headlines this week. The National Review’s editor Rich Lowry and Robert Costa, the William F. Buckey Jr. Fellow at the National Review Institute lead the site with a hopeful salvo for conservatives: “Five Reasons It Might Not Pass.”

Their No. 1 reason? “Public Revulsion.” The latest NBC/Wall St. Journal poll putting the plan’s support at a measly 32 percent with, for the first time, Americans saying they’d rather stick with the status quo than go through with the proposed health-care overhaul.

Nebraska, write Lowry and Costa, is a case in point.

“If Nelson is perceived to have made a career-defining choice that will end his designation as a conservative Democrat and a pro-lifer, and if he takes an immediate dive in the polls, it will cast a pall over other Blue Dogs inclined to play ball,” writes Lowry. “In that case, the various payoffs on offer won’t seem worth the larger cost of supporting the bill.”

Other points on their list include stumbling blocks over plans to pay for the health overhaul, “Blue Dog Democrats” getting nervous and perhaps failing to cave as they’ve been expected to, and the Left disgruntled over the lack of a public option.

The Wall St. Journal’s Jonathan Weisman also points to Obama’s problems with liberal Democrats. “Mr. Obama is taking heat from the left and the right on health. The president's quest for a 60th vote for the Senate health bill has drawn criticism from liberal Democrats who say the White House has capitulated to conservatives in the party.”

Michelle Malkin leads her site with a continuation of her “Demcare Bribe List” focusing on Senators Ben Nelson and Chris Dodd and detailing which states will get “special treatment by the feds in covering Medicaid expansion costs.”

But for all the bluster, even Lowry and Costa’s confidence wanes by the end of their five-reasons-it-still-might-fail list.

“All of this means that Democrats shouldn’t be celebrating until they have the bill on Obama’s desk. But make no mistake: the momentum for the bill that Reid had to fake a week or so ago is now real, at least within Congress. Early next year, the question may shift from whether Democrats can pass the bill, to whether Republican can make the sort of gains in 2010 and 2012 necessary to repeal it.”

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