4th of July Weather Forecast For Each State By Region

As Fourth of July celebrations get under way, most parts of the country can expect to see normal temperatures for this time of year over the July 4 holiday. Some showers and thunderstorms are expected in parts of the Northeast and the South, according to the National Weather Service (NWS).

"Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected for the Northeast in the vicinity of the back-door cold front today [Friday] with a bit of clearing for Saturday.

"A few showers will exit the south coast early in the morning, otherwise it [July 4] should be a dry day," the NWS said.

Here we take a closer look at the July 4 weather forecast in each of the different regions across the country.


  • New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont
  • Mid-Atlantic: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania

Temperatures across the New England states will remain mostly in the temperate zone on July 4, while portions of the Great Lakes area to the mid-Atlantic coast are likely to be pulled back by a few degrees, AccuWeather reported Friday.

Conditions will remain dry near the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and most areas west of the Rockies, The Weather Channel reported.

Temperatures in New York City and Connecticut will reach a high of around 81 to 83 degrees Fahrenheit on July 4, remaining mostly sunny during the day. Evening temperatures will be around 63 to 70 degrees Fahrenheit, according to the NWS.

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms are forecast in New Jersey on July 4 after 2 p.m. local time, with a high temperature near 85 degrees Fahrenheit and a 20 percent chance of rain, the NWS reported.

"High temperatures will range from near 70 [degrees Fahrenheit] at the immediate east coast of MA [Massachusetts] to the lower 80s [degrees Fahrenheit] in the CT [Connecticut] River valley.

"Cannot rule out an isolated upslope rain shower in the east slopes of the Berkshires but forecast PoPs [probability of precipitation] are less than 20 percent. Lows will be within a few degrees of 60 [degrees Fahrenheit]," the NWS said.


  • East North Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin
  • West North Central: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota

Mostly sunny skies are expected for July 4 across the East North Central states, with high temperatures ranging from 84 to 91 degrees Fahrenheit, and dropping to a low of around 60 to 68 degrees Fahrenheit in the evening, according to the NWS.

There is a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. local time in Indiana, the NWS reported.

Excessive rain is likely in the Dakotas and parts of Minnesota over July 4. Temperatures in the West North Central states will hit a high of around 88 to 91 degrees Fahrenheit, before dropping to about 65 to 69 degrees Fahrenheit, the NWS reported.

Missouri and Nebraska have a 20 - 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. local time, the NWS reported.

Whether you'll be grilling in the backyard or shooting off fireworks, get your city's #4thofJuly forecast LIVE on The Weather Channel! pic.twitter.com/SOjNwk6PBO

— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) July 2, 2020


  • South Atlantic: Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, Washington D.C., West Virginia
  • East South Central: Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, Tennessee
  • West South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas

Scattered thunderstorms are likely along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to northern Florida, while drier conditions are expected for other parts of the Midwest and Texas, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated.

"Through Saturday [July 4], showers and thunderstorms are expected along a stationary frontal boundary from the Mid-South to the eastern Gulf Coast region and northern Florida, with some potential for flash flooding due to some localized heavy rain totals," the NWS said.

Temperatures may reach as high as 98 degrees Fahrenheit in Dallas, 101 degrees Fahrenheit in San Antonio and 89 degrees Fahrenheit in Atlanta and Orlando, The Weather Channel reported.


  • Mountain: Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming
  • Pacific: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington

Most of the West is expected to see above normal temperatures on July 4, while the Pacific Northwest coast is likely to reach below normal temperatures.

The Desert Southwest will also be sizzling but at temperatures typical for this time of year. Phoenix likely to see a high temperature of 110 degrees Fahrenheit, the NOAA reported.

Los Angeles is forecast to reach around 80 degrees Fahrenheit on the Fourth of July, while Denver may hit around 91 degrees Fahrenheit. Seattle and San Francisco are expected to reach around 73 degrees Fahrenheit, The Weather Channel reported.

july 4 fireworks New York City 2017
The 41st annual Macy's Fourth of July Fireworks display on July 4, 2017 in New York City. Getty Images