10
Loading video...
By Jack Beresford
Senior Reporter
0
Share
Newsweek is a Trust Project member
See more of our trusted coverage when you search.Prefer Newsweek on Googleto see more of our trusted coverage when you search.
The Associated Press (AP) has announced it will begin providing its U.S. election results to Kalshi, the world’s largest prediction market.
What To Know
Under the new agreement, AP will supply Kalshi with real‑time vote counts and official race calls for national and major state‑level contests. This means that the same election data relied upon by major news networks, political analysts and government agencies will now appear directly on Kalshi’s platform, giving users access to authoritative results as they unfold on election night.
Read More on News
Kalshi, credited with building prediction markets into a recognized financial asset class, joins a global list of news organizations, technology firms and other institutions that use AP’s election data. The platform has surged in popularity in recent years, becoming a major destination for tracking races.
During the 2024 presidential election, Kalshi received more than 500 million site visits, as users flocked to monitor how market prices and forecasts shifted with incoming results. Integrating AP’s live vote data will now allow Kalshi’s community to follow elections through both official tallies and market‑based expectations, offering a more dynamic experience of the democratic process.
Why It Matters
AP has a reputation for accuracy that dates back to 1848, and sets the standard for counting the vote, declaring winners and explaining the results of American elections to the public.
In 2024 alone, the organization counted votes and called winners in nearly 7,000 races, achieving a 99.9 percent accuracy rate. Its vote data is already used by ABC News, CBS News, CNN, NBC News, FOX News Media, CNBC and MS NOW, making AP the undisputed leader in election‑night information.
However, AP wants its trusted election information to reach more people—especially younger audiences who don’t watch TV news and instead follow things online. That means improving visibility on other platforms.
In merging AP’s official vote counts with Kalshi’s market‑based predictions, Kalshi hopes to provide audiences with a more complete way of watching election results unfold. It will allow people to see how many votes are cast for a particular candidate in real time and give them an idea of public sentiment based on prediction markets.
They also recently started “AP Elections,” a new branch of the company focused entirely on election data because demand has grown so much. It’s effectively a combination of AP’s hard vote data and the crowd expectations identified in Kalshi’s prediction markets.
AP already expanded its election-based operations in 2025, with the launch of AP Elections, a dedicated business unit created to support its expanding role in supplying election results nationwide.
...
What People Are Saying
David Scott, AP’s vice president for elections, said: “The Associated Press for nearly two centuries has played an essential role in American democracy as the most authoritative source for accurate results on election night. We’re pleased to be working with Kalshi as we work to expand the reach of AP’s trusted elections data, meeting audiences where they are with reliable information about who voters have chosen to lead their country and communities.”
Jaron Zhou, Kalshi’s head of politics, said: “This collaboration will further Kalshi’s goal of being the premier destination to experience elections, combining AP’s trusted vote results with our transparent, market-based forecasts, creating a more complete picture of election night. Kalshi’s election forecasts help campaigns and everyday citizens track market expectations for election outcomes, and integrating AP’s live vote count data enhances Kalshi’s election night experience by bringing together real-time vote tallies and market activity.”
In a polarized era, the center is dismissed as bland. At Newsweek, ours is different: The Courageous Center—it's not "both sides," it's sharp, challenging and alive with ideas. We follow facts, not factions. If that sounds like the kind of journalism you want to see thrive, we need you.
When you become a Newsweek Member, you support a mission to keep the center strong and vibrant. Members enjoy: Ad-free browsing, exclusive content and editor conversations. Help keep the center courageous. Join today.
View 0 Comments
Submit Correction
View Editorial & AI Guidelines