Biden and Trump are Neck and Neck in Georgia, New Poll Shows

Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are currently tied in Georgia, a recently released poll shows.

According to the poll, the two are split at 47 percent, while 3 percent chose Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and 3 percent said they are undecided.

The poll, which was conducted by Monmouth University, surveyed 402 registered voters across Georgia from July 23 to July 27. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

The poll also shows two separate models based on the level of voter turnout, based on the voter turnout during the 2016 presidential election. According to the poll, a model based on a higher level of voter turnout shows 48 percent of respondents siding with Trump, while 47 percent chose Biden as their preferred candidate. In comparison, a model based on lower voter turnout, shows Trump receiving 49 percent of votes, while 46 percent chose Biden.

During the 2016 election, Trump won Georgia by 5.2 percentage points, as he received 50.8 percent of votes compared to 45.6 percent that voted for Hillary Clinton.

The poll also found that 46 percent of Georgia voters said they have a favorable opinion of Trump, with 28 percent saying very favorable and 18 percent saying somewhat favorable. Forty-five percent of respondents said they have an unfavorable view of the president, with 7 percent saying somewhat unfavorable and 38 percent saying very unfavorable.

Comparatively, 41 percent of respondents said they have a favorable opinion of Biden, with 21 percent saying very favorable and 20 percent saying somewhat favorable. Forty-six percent said they have an unfavorable opinion of the former vice president, with 12 percent saying somewhat unfavorable and 34 percent saying very unfavorable.

Joe Biden
Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee former Vice President Joe Biden delivers a speech at the William Hicks Anderson Community Center, on July 28, 2020 in Wilmington, Delaware. New poll shows Biden and President Donald Trump neck and neck in Georgia. Mark Makela/Getty

A separate poll, recently conducted by Morning Consult/Political Intelligence, found similar results, with Biden and Trump receiving almost the same among of support from Georgia voters. According to this poll, Biden currently leads by one-point, as 47 percent of voters sided with him, compared to 46 percent that chose Trump.

This poll surveyed 4,400 likely voters across the U.S., with between 600 to 3,760 interviews per state, from July 17 to July 26. The poll has a margin of error ranging from 1.6 to 4 percentage points.

While the two candidates are neck and neck in Georgia, a recently conducted national poll shows Biden holding the lead over Trump. This poll, conducted by The Economist/YouGov, shows 49 percent of respondents saying they'd vote for Biden if the election were today, while 40 percent sided with Trump.

This poll surveyed 1,500 U.S. adults from July 26 to July 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Real Clear Politics average of several nationally conducted polls shows Biden leading by 8.4 points.

Biden and Trump are Neck and Neck in Georgia, New Poll Shows | U.S.