Copa America Final: Latest Odds, Expert Predictions for Brazil vs. Peru

Brazil and Peru meet in the Copa America on Sunday with both teams hoping to carve their own slice of history.

The Selecao is aiming to win a ninth continental title and bringing a 12-year wait for a major trophy to an end—Confederation Cups don't count—in the process.

Brazil has won the Copa America each of the four times it has hosted it and is the heavy favorite ahead of Sunday, having yet to concede a goal in the tournament. The hosts eliminated Argentina in the semifinals and have lost just once in the last 31 matches, when they were knocked out by Belgium in the quarterfinals of the 2018 World Cup.

Ironically, it was a defeat against Peru three years ago that saw Tite installed as the Selecao head coach in place of Dunga. Since the appointment, the former Corinthians boss has turned Brazil into a ruthless machine, losing just once in 22 competitive matches and keeping 17 clean sheets in the process.

Impressive as they are, the stats will count for nothing if Brazil fails to lift the trophy on Sunday against a team they hammered 5-0 in the group stages.

Peru, on the other hand, has already overachieved by reaching the final for the first time since Teófilo Cubillas powered them to the title in 1975.

Semi-finalists in three of the last four Copa Americas, Los Incas have gone a step further this year after thrashing Chile 3-0 in the semifinals on Wednesday with their best performance of the tournament.

Ricardo Gareca's men were far from impressive in the group stages and only qualified as the top third-ranked team, before riding their luck to beat Uruguay on penalties in the quarterfinals.

However, with the weight of expectations firmly on Brazil's shoulders, Peru will fancy its chances to pull off what would be a monumental upset.

Here's what experts expect from Sunday.

Gabriel Jesus, Brazil
Gabriel Jesus of Brazil celebrates scoring the opening goal during the Copa America Brazil 2019 Semi Final match between Brazil and Argentina at Mineirao Stadium on July 2 in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Chris Brunskill/Fantasista/Getty

Tim Vickery—ESPN

Brazil isn't just expected to win, it is expected to do so in style on Sunday and Vickery believes an unconvincing performance could take the gloss of lifting the trophy.

"In the minds of their own public, Brazil are such clear favorites on Sunday that this can be put to one side," he wrote.

A scratchy win will be seen as something of a disappointment. There is a hope that the hosts can win in style—which means that Tite, on his national team Maracana debut, is in for a 90-minute practical lesson on the pressures of being coach of Brazil."

Jack Lang—The Independent

Peru has already exceeded expectations by reaching the final and Lang believes the role of underdogs will suit Ricardo Gareca's team to perfection.

"If they play as they did here [in the semifinal against Chile], they will certainly have a chance [in the final]—and a chance is sometimes all an underdog needs. Already, Peru have exceeded every expectation this summer. Now they have the opportunity to achieve immortality."

Phil Kitromilide—

As the hosts and overwhelming favorite, Brazil will have to contend with the weight of expectations but Kitromilides doesn't expect it to be a factor.

"The weight of expectation will be huge for the hosts in the Maracana but since Tite took over nearly three years ago, the side have generally delivered when required and they should be able to do so once more."


To nobody's surprise, Brazil is the overwhelming favorite to lift the trophy at 1/4, while Peru is a 5/1 shot.

The Selecao plays at home and thrashed Peru 5-0 in the group stages. While Los Incas have defied expectations so far, upsetting the hosts on home soil looks a step too far.

The last two editions of the Copa America have ended in a penalty shootout but bookmakers expect Brazil to get the job done in 90 minutes. According to Oddschecker, the Selecao is 4/11 to win in regulation, while the draw is at 17/4 and Peru is an 11/1 outsider.

Copa America Final: Latest Odds, Expert Predictions for Brazil vs. Peru | Sports