One Year Since First U.S. COVID Case, Infections Are Rising in These States
One year since the first case of COVID-19 was confirmed in the U.S., total confirmed cases are approaching 25 million. There have also been 406,196 reported deaths as of Thursday, according to Johns Hopkins University (JHU).
The states listed below have each reported a rise in average new cases over a 14-day period from January 7 to 20, according to data compiled by JHU.
Daily case counts below reflect a seven-day average of infections reported from January 7 to 20.
Virginia
- Day 1 (January 7): 5,013
- Day 14 (January 20): 6,550
- Highest daily case count in 14-day period: 6,591 on January 19
- Lowest daily case count in 14-day period: 4,959.57 on January 12
The average infection count in Virginia has been rising since late October, after remaining flat for months since late April. On January 19, the figure reached its highest level since the pandemic began at 6,591.
In the past seven days, Virginia reported the country's eighth-highest number of average daily cases per 100,000 people, according to the latest report Wednesday by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
It also currently ranks among the 10 states that have the least COVID-19 vaccine doses administered per 100,000 people, as of Wednesday, according to the latest report from the CDC.
New Hampshire
- Day 1 (January 7): 735.71
- Day 14 (January 20): 873
- Highest daily case count in 14-day period: 873 on January 20
- Lowest daily case count in 14-day period: 651 on January 15
The average case tally in New Hampshire has been rising sharply since late October, after remaining flat for months since late March. The figure peaked at 884 on December 10 and dipped briefly through late December before rising again through early January.
Kansas
- Day 1 (January 7): 2,066.29
- Day 14 (January 20): 1,792
- Highest daily case count in 14-day period: 2,271.71 on January 9
- Lowest daily case count in 14-day period: 1,433.60 on January 19
While the average case tally in Kansas statistically increased in the latest two-week period, the figure has been declining since late November, when it peaked at 2,864 on November 20. The figure remained flat for months from late April to early October before rising sharply through late November.
In the past seven days, the state recorded the country's seventh-highest number of average daily deaths per 100,000 people, according to the latest report Wednesday from the CDC.
Projections for U.S. COVID-19 cases and deaths
According to forecasts from 25 modeling groups received by the CDC, "1,100,000 to 2,000,000 new cases will likely be reported in the week ending February 13, 2021.
"The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 1 jurisdiction," according to the CDC report Wednesday.
The country's daily death toll is projected to peak at around 3,682 on January 31, even with "rapid vaccine rollout," which would see vaccine distribution scaled up over 45 days, according to the latest forecast from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.
The wider picture
The novel coronavirus has infected more than 96.9 million people, including just over 24.4 million in the U.S., since it was first reported in Wuhan, China.
More than two million people have died worldwide and more than 53.5 million have recovered as of Thursday, according to JHU.
The graphic below, produced by Statista, illustrates the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S.
The graphic below, produced by Statista, illustrates countries with the highest rate of COVID-19 vaccination.
