New York Coronavirus Cases Likely Peaking, but Daily Deaths Rising in Many Other States

The novel coronavirus outbreak in New York is continuing to see a "flattening of the curve," New York Governor Andrew Cuomo confirmed at a press conference on Wednesday.

But daily death tolls in California, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Michigan, Illinois, Florida and Louisiana have been rising on a steep gradient in recent weeks, according to the latest analysis.

New York reported 11,571 new confirmed cases on Wednesday, which was a large spike from the 7,177 new infections recorded on Tuesday.

However, the latest jump follows a decline in new cases for three consecutive days between April 10 and 12, and a nearly flat number of new cases from April 7 to 9. New infections also declined between April 4 and April 6. This followed a significant drop in new cases from 10,841 on April 3 to 8,327 on April 4, according to the latest figures from the New York State Department of Health.

The daily number of new infections has hovered between nearly 10,400 and 11,500 over the past two weeks, indicating cases may be reaching their peak.

The daily death toll in New York is also continuing on a slightly declining trend in the past few days, including Wednesday, which reported 752 new deaths, down from 778 on Tuesday.

Cuomo also noted on Wednesday that both total hospitalizations and the net change in hospitalizations are down. ICU admissions as well as intubations (patients placed on a ventilator) have also declined.

The graphic below, provided by Statista, shows the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases, the disease caused by the new strain of coronavirus, in a selection of states.

coronavirus covid-19 new york statista
Cases of COVID-19 in New York. Statista

While the latest trends in New York have been "good news," Cuomo also added "you still have on a day-to-day basis, about 2,000 people who are being diagnosed with COVID. We're out of the woods? No. We're still in the woods...it's still a serious public health issue."

"The good news is we showed them we can change the curve...we can control the spread. That is great news," he added.

Other states in the country have been seeing a rise in their daily death counts over roughly the past week, according to Financial Times' analysis of available data sources by reporter John Burn-Murdoch.

Now subnational region daily deaths:
• NY daily deaths may be peaking (notwithstanding change to their methodology)
• London too may be around peak deaths
• NY may be peaking, but daily deaths still trending up in many US states

All charts: https://t.co/JxVd2cG7KI pic.twitter.com/6AfDc3USKB

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 15, 2020

New Jersey appears to have had the second-highest average daily death toll over the past seven days, after New York, followed by Michigan, Massachusetts, Illinois, Louisiana, California and Florida.

These states also have some of the highest numbers of confirmed cases in the country. The total infections range from around 22,000 to 29,000 in Michigan, Massachusetts, Illinois, Louisiana and Florida, while over 71,000 cases have been confirmed in New Jersey, according to the latest figures from state health departments and state government websites. California has reported just over 27,000 cases, according to the Los Angeles Times.

Miami, coronavirus mask, mural, Floria, April 2020
A woman walks past a closed shop with a mural in a deserted Wynwood Art District amid fears over the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in Miami, on April 3, 2020. Wear a mask if you are coughing or sneezing, the World Health Organization (WHO) advises. Getty Images

The U.S. largely remains in lockdown, with social distancing guidelines and other mitigation measures in place until April 30. The country now has over 639,600 confirmed cases, as of Thursday, according to Johns Hopkins University.

The COVID-19 virus was first reported in Wuhan, China, and has spread to more than two million people across at least 185 countries and regions. More than 517,4000 have recovered from infection, while over 137,100 have died, as of Thursday.

The graphic below, provided by Statista, illustrates the spread of COVID-19 across the U.S.

The spread of the COVID-19 virus in the U.S.
The spread of the COVID-19 virus in the U.S. STATISTA

Data on COVID-19 cases is from Johns Hopkins University unless otherwise stated.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Advice on Using Face Coverings to Slow Spread of COVID-19

  • CDC recommends wearing a cloth face covering in public where social distancing measures are difficult to maintain.
  • A simple cloth face covering can help slow the spread of the virus by those infected and by those who do not exhibit symptoms.
  • Cloth face coverings can be fashioned from household items. Guides are offered by the CDC. (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-sick/diy-cloth-face-coverings.html)
  • Cloth face coverings should be washed regularly. A washing machine will suffice.
  • Practice safe removal of face coverings by not touching eyes, nose, and mouth, and wash hands immediately after removing the covering.

World Health Organization advice for avoiding spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19)

Hygiene advice

  • Clean hands frequently with soap and water, or alcohol-based hand rub.
  • Wash hands after coughing or sneezing; when caring for the sick; before, during and after food preparation; before eating; after using the toilet; when hands are visibly dirty; and after handling animals or waste.
  • Maintain at least 1 meter (3 feet) distance from anyone who is coughing or sneezing.
  • Avoid touching your hands, nose and mouth. Do not spit in public.
  • Cover your mouth and nose with a tissue or bent elbow when coughing or sneezing. Discard the tissue immediately and clean your hands.

Medical advice

  • Avoid close contact with others if you have any symptoms.
  • Stay at home if you feel unwell, even with mild symptoms such as headache and runny nose, to avoid potential spread of the disease to medical facilities and other people.
  • If you develop serious symptoms (fever, cough, difficulty breathing) seek medical care early and contact local health authorities in advance.
  • Note any recent contact with others and travel details to provide to authorities who can trace and prevent spread of the disease.
  • Stay up to date on COVID-19 developments issued by health authorities and follow their guidance.

Mask and glove usage

  • Healthy individuals only need to wear a mask if taking care of a sick person.
  • Wear a mask if you are coughing or sneezing.
  • Masks are effective when used in combination with frequent hand cleaning.
  • Do not touch the mask while wearing it. Clean hands if you touch the mask.
  • Learn how to properly put on, remove and dispose of masks. Clean hands after disposing of the mask.
  • Do not reuse single-use masks.
  • Regularly washing bare hands is more effective against catching COVID-19 than wearing rubber gloves.
  • The COVID-19 virus can still be picked up on rubber gloves and transmitted by touching your face.