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By Sam Stevenson
Associate News Editor
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President Donald Trump’s approval rating is underwater in a key swing state, according to a new poll.
A new TechnoMetrica (TIPP) survey for the League of American Workers found 39 percent approval and 54 percent disapproval for Trump among registered voters in Wisconsin, a net -15 rating
White House spokesman Davis Ingle told Newsweek in an emailed statement: “The ultimate poll was November 5 2024, when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump to deliver on his popular and common-sense agenda.”
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Why It Matters
Wisconsin has been among the nation’s most competitive swing states, so Trump’s net -15 standing there could influence both national narratives and campaign strategies as parties test messages on immigration, inflation, and foreign policy.
This statewide result aligns with national trends showing low approval for Trump, with The New York Times’ polling average, which combines all credible polls into a weighted and statistically adjusted snapshot, recently at 40 percent approval and 56 percent disapproval.
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What To Know
TIPP conducted the Wisconsin survey online from February 6 to 12, 2026, among 1,524 registered voters and weighted results by gender, age, race, education, and prior vote.
The poll’s credibility interval is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for the full sample, and TIPP notes that subgroup estimates have wider uncertainty.
TIPP’s Wisconsin survey drew its sample from a national network of panel partners and then applied weighting to align with benchmarks such as U.S. Census and voter data, which can differ from the live-caller or mixed-mode approaches used by other pollsters.
The New York Times cautions that polls can reasonably vary by a few points because of timing, samples (adults, registered voters, or likely voters), and methodology, which is why averages are used to smooth differences.
The publication’s tracker gives more influence to recent, larger, higher‑quality and nonpartisan surveys, while correcting for pollster biases and voter‑type differences, without attempting to forecast the outcome.
What People Are Saying
Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll, speaking to Wisconsin Public Radio on January 23, 2026: “Over the course of his [Trump] first year, his job approval numbers have moved steadily, but I would say slowly down, going from about 48 percent approval down to about 41 or 42 percent approval.
“A big part of this is the deep partisan polarization…But he’s substantially underwater with independents, and, not surprisingly, very underwater with Democrats.”
Caroline Soler, a polling researcher, wrote in The New York Times on February 18, 2026: “President Trump continues to face low approval ratings, which for the first time have fallen below where they stood at the same point in his first term.
“Much of the recent erosion appears tied to immigration issues, which were once one of his most popular policy areas.”
White House spokesman Davis Ingle told Newsweek in an emailed statement: “The ultimate poll was November 5 2024, when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump to deliver on his popular and common-sense agenda. The president has already made historic progress not only in America, but around the world. It is not surprising that President Trump remains the most dominant figure in American politics.”
President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social this month: "The highest Poll Numbers I have ever received. Obviously, people like a strong and powerful Country, with the best economy, EVER!"
What Happens Next
Future state and national polls will continue to update Wisconsin’s picture, with The New York Times and other averages expected to incorporate new data points as methodologies and field dates vary.
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