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By Sam Stevenson
Associate News Editor
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President Donald Trump’s net approval rating with white men without college degrees has witnessed a 21-point fall over the past year, according to a series of Fox News national polls.
White House spokesperson Davis Ingle told Newsweek in an emailed statement, "The ultimate poll was November 5, 2024, when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump to deliver on his popular and commonsense agenda."
Why It Matters
White non‑college men have long been one of Trump’s most reliable political blocs. Shifts within that group offer an early signal of broader political risks as the 2026 midterms loom.
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What To Know
A comparison of Fox News national polls conducted over the past year shows a clear downward trend in Trump’s approval among white men without college degrees, moving from a strong advantage in early 2025 to a net negative by March 2026.
In March 2025, Trump posted his strongest showing with this group, earning 58 percent approval against 41 percent disapproval, a net positive of 17 points.
By December 2025, that margin had narrowed to 55 percent approval and 45 percent disapproval, cutting his advantage to 10 points.
In early 2026, a late February poll actually showed the president's numbers rebounding among white non‑college men, with approval at 57 percent and disapproval at 43 for a net positive of 14 points.
But by March 2026, the balance had tipped further, with 48 percent approving and 52 percent disapproving, placing Trump underwater by 4 points.
All four polls were conducted by Fox News under the joint direction of Democratic firm Beacon Research and Republican firm Shaw & Company Research, using samples of roughly 1,000 registered voters drawn from a national voter file.
Respondents participated via live interviews on landlines and cellphones or completed the survey online after receiving a text invitation.
Each poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, with subgroup margins higher due to smaller sample sizes.
Taken together, the crosstabs point to a consistent trajectory rather than a single outlier, showing incremental declines across successive surveys rather than a sudden drop tied to one event.
What Polling Trackers Say
Broader polling averages reflect similar headwinds for the president, though the size of the gap differs by outlet.
RealClearPolling’s average showed Trump with 41.2 percent approval and 56.6 percent disapproval, a net rating of minus 15.4.
CNN’s poll‑of‑polls painted a steeper divide, placing approval at 38 percent and disapproval at 60 percent.
The New York Times polling average put Trump at 40 percent approval and 56 percent disapproval, a net negative of 16 points.
What People Are Saying
White House spokesperson Davis Ingle told Newsweek in an emailed statement: "The president has already made historic progress not only in America, but around the world. It is not surprising that President Trump remains the most dominant figure in American politics."
A White House official previously told Newsweek: "Polling shows President Trump's decision to launch Operation Epic Fury has Americans' support—with MAGA and Republicans strongly supporting it. Despite some online commentators with large followings publicly disagreeing with the president's decision—and many legacy media outlets eagerly highlighting their comments to try and sow division—the MAGA base is not wavering one bit."
President Donald Trump said last week: "When this is over, oil prices are going to go down very, very rapidly. So is inflation. So is everything else. But frankly, much more important than short-term or even long-term oil prices: You cannot let the most violent, vicious country in the last 50 years have a nuclear weapon."
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spokesperson Bridget Gonzalez told Newsweek in an emailed statement: “On every issue, and with every major voting bloc, Republicans are failing. Voters don't agree with their lawless immigration enforcement tactics and are done listening to their broken promises.”
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