Donald Trump Beats Every Democratic Contenders in Key Swing State of Wisconsin, New Poll Shows

The latest poll from Quinnipiac University showed that in the swing state of Wisconsin, incumbent President Donald Trump was ahead of all six of the leading Democratic contenders.

The results of the poll, released Thursday, were based on telephone surveys conducted among 823 registered voters in Wisconsin, as well as the other swing states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, between February 12 and February 18. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

While Trump was ahead in Wisconsin, it is worth noting that Quinnipiac's poll also reported that all of his Democratic challengers were ahead of him by at least one point in Pennsylvania and Michigan.

In Wisconsin, the Quinnipiac poll found that Trump was more popular than all of the leading Democrats vying for the chance to take him head on in the November general election.

Pollsters asked Wisconsin voters for whom they would vote if the general election were to be held that day—Trump or his Democratic challengers?

If former Vice President Joe Biden managed to secure the Democratic nomination and Wisconsin voters had to vote in the general election the day they were polled, 49 percent said that they would vote to re-elect Trump and 42 percent would vote for Biden. One percent were unsure, 4 percent did not know (or the question was not applicable) and 3 percent said they would not vote at all.

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, victor of the February 11 New Hampshire primary, also trailed Trump by 7 points. Fifty percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump if he were up against Sanders in the general election, while 43 percent would vote for Sanders. Additionally, 4 percent did not know or the question was inapplicable for them, 3 percent would not vote and 1 percent would vote for another candidate.

Billionaire and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg was behind Trump by 8 points in Wisconsin. Forty-nine percent of respondents said they would still vote for Trump if Bloomberg were the Democratic nominee, and 41 percent said they would vote for Bloomberg. Five percent did not know or the question was inapplicable, 3 percent would not vote and 2 percent would vote for someone else.

The poll numbers for former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, winner of the Iowa caucuses, were nearly identical to those of his New York counterpart: 49 percent of respondents would back Trump if Buttigieg won the nomination, but 41 percent would vote for Buttigieg. Three percent said they would not vote, 1 percent said they would vote for someone else and the remaining 5 percent were unsure or the question was inapplicable to them.

The president had a 10-point lead over Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren among Wisconsinites. According to the results, 51 percent of the state's voters would support Trump in his bid for re-election if the Democrats nominated Warren, while 41 percent would vote for Warren. Four percent did not know for whom they would vote or the question was inapplicable for them; 3 percent would not vote at all, and 1 percent would vote for someone else.

Lastly, the president had his largest lead among Wisconsin voters—11 points—when put in a hypothetical match-up against Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar. When asked whom they would back if Klobuchar were the nominee, 50 percent of Wisconsin respondents said they would vote for Trump and 39 percent said they would vote for Klobuchar. One percent said they would instead vote for someone else, 4 percent would note vote and 6 percent either did not know or the question did not apply to them.

Wisconsin has a 10 electoral votes, while Pennsylvania and Michigan have 20 and 16, respectively. Trump won Wisconsin in the 2016 election with 47.2 percent of the popular vote compared with Democrat Hillary Clinton's 46.5 percent, according to The New York Times.