Here's Where 2020 Democrats Stand in Super Tuesday Polls

The 2020 Democratic presidential primary is about to enter its most competitive phase yet: Super Tuesday.

March 3 may be the single most important day in the 2020 Democratic primary to date. Fourteen states and one territory will head to the polls to vote for their preferred candidate. Of the 1,991 delegates needed to clinch the party's nomination, more than 1,350 will be awarded on Super Tuesday.

The contest is also significant because it'll be the first time that Michael Bloomberg will be on the ballot in the Democratic primary. The former New York City mayor decided to skip the four early-voting states due to his late entry into the race. Instead, he's focused his time and resources—which includes more than $400 million—on Super Tuesday states.

Bloomberg's addition was expected to grow the Democratic field for the first time since Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina held their primaries and caucuses. But several candidates dropped their White House bids just ahead of Super Tuesday. Now, only five Democrats remain in what was once a 28-candidate race.

Over the past three days, three candidates have suspended their campaigns: Billionaire Tom Steyer, former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar.

Buttigieg, who was poised to pick up delegates on Tuesday, urged unity as he dropped out of the race on Sunday night: "We need leadership to heal a divided nation, not drive us further apart. We need a broad-based agenda that can truly deliver for the American people, not one that gets lost in ideology."

The comment was a not-so-subtle swipe at Bernie Sanders, who's leading the race heading into Super Tuesday. The Vermont senator and self-described democratic socialist has 60 delegates so far. He's also notched two first-place finishes in New Hampshire and Nevada and won the popular vote in Iowa.

Sanders is closely followed by former Vice President Joe Biden, who's captured 54 delegates and is surging after his win in South Carolina on Saturday. According to a Morning Consult poll released Thursday, 26 percent of Democratic primary voters said they'd vote for Biden if the contest was held in their state today, up 7 points since polling conducted before his South Carolina victory. Support for Sanders fell 3 points to 29 percent.

The graphic below, provided by Statista, illustrates the candidates' delegate count heading in to Super Tuesday.

Democratic Nomination Delegates 20202 Election Statista
Number of delegates awarded to candidates for Democratic nomination in 2020 presidential election as of March 3. Statista

Here's a look at who's polling the best in every Super Tuesday state.

Alabama

Polling on Alabama's Democratic primary is scarce. But according to forecasters at FiveThirtyEight, Biden is projected to win an average of 38 percent of the vote in the state. Sanders is the second most likely winner, though they predict he has a 1 in 10 chance of being victorious. Fifty-two delegates are at stake in Alabama's open primary.

American Samoa

American Samoa will award 6 pledged delegates based on the territory-wide vote. According to FiveThirtyEight's polling analysis, Biden and Sanders are essentially tied as each has a one-third chance of winning the most votes in the territory.

Arkansas

There are not many Democratic primary polls from Arkansas but one of the only surveys, recently conducted by Talk Business and Politics–Hendrix College Poll, found Bloomberg ahead of Biden by 1 percentage point. Thirty-one delegates will be awarded during the state's primary.

California

California will be the largest state in contention on Super Tuesday with over 400 delegates to allocate. According to the latest USA Today/Suffolk poll released on Sunday, Sanders is leading the pack with 35 percent support among likely primary voters. In second place was Bloomberg, who earned 16 percent support. Rounding out the top three candidates was Biden with 14 percent. A new Data for Progress poll released on Tuesday showed Sanders in the lead with 32 percent support, followed by Biden with 25 percent support.

Colorado

Sanders is the top choice in Colorado, where 67 delegates will be awarded on Tuesday. According to the latest poll from KQED, the senator has 37 percent support from likely Democratic primary voters. In second place is Warren (20 percent) and in third is Biden (12 percent). The survey was conducted from February 20 to February 23.

Maine

In a poll conducted by Colby College last month, Sanders was shown with a 9-point lead among likely Democratic primary voters. He had 25 percent support, followed by Buttigieg with 16 percent support. In third place was Bloomberg with 14 percent. The Pine Tree State will award 24 delegates on Super Tuesday.

Massachusetts

Massachusetts is Warren's home state, but she is in danger of losing it's 91 delegates to Sanders. The Vermont senator was in the lead in a Boston Globe/WBZ-TV, Suffolk University poll released Saturday. He had 24 percent support among likely voters, compared to her 22 percent support.

early voting california primary super tuesday
Voters prepare their ballots in voting booths during early voting for the California presidential primary election at an L.A. County 'vote center' on March 1, 2020 in Los Angeles, California. California is one of 14 states participating in the Super Tuesday vote on March 3. Mario Tama/Getty

Minnesota

In the most recent Minnesota poll, Klobuchar was in the lead with 29 percent support among likely voters. Sanders was in second place with 23 percent support. The survey was conducted by the Minneapolis Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon in late February.

North Carolina

Sanders is ahead of his Democratic rivals in North Carolina, according to the latest NBC News/Marist poll. The survey, conducted in late February, showed the Vermont senator with 26 percent support among likely voters. Biden was not too far off, though, with 24 percent support. In third was Bloomberg with 15 percent. North Carolina has 110 delegates up for grabs on Tuesday.

Oklahoma

Thirty-seven delegates will be awarded during Oklahoma's Democratic primary. The latest poll, conducted by News9/News on 6, found Biden with a slight lead. The former vice president captured 21 percent support among those polled. He was closely followed by Bloomberg with 19 percent.

Tennessee

Little polling has been done in Tennessee ahead of the state's primary. Sixty-four delegates will be up for grabs on March 3. According to forecasters at FiveThirtyEight, Biden is projected to win the state with an average of 33 percent of the vote.

Texas

A new Emerson College/Nexstar poll of the Lonestar State found Sanders in first place with 31 percent of the vote—a 15 point jump from his standing in the state in August 2019. Biden trailed behind with 26 percent and he was followed by Bloomberg at 16 percent support. Texas is the second-largest Super Tuesday state with 228 delegates at play.

Utah

The most recent Deseret News/Hinckley poll, which was released last week, found Sanders in the lead with 28 percent from likely Democratic voters. The next closest candidate was Bloomberg, who garnered 19 percent support. Buttigieg was in third place, but he dropped his White House bid just days before Super Tuesday.

Vermont

Vermont currently looks like a shoo-in for Sanders ahead of Super Tuesday. A February Vermont Public Radio poll found him with a 38-point lead over his Democratic rivals. Overall, he had 51 percent support in his home state. In 2016, he won the state's primary with more than 85 percent of the vote.

Virginia

Biden has edged past Sanders to take the lead in Virginia just days ahead of Super Tuesday, according to a poll by the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University. The former vice president has support from 22 percent of likely voters. Sanders is in second place with 17 percent support. Bloomberg trailed in third with 13 percent. Ninety-nine delegates will be allocated during Virginia's primary.