Hurricane Bud: Latest Path and Forecast as Storm Approaches Mexico

Hurricane Bud has grown to a category four hurricane but is still expected to get weaker as it approaches Mexico and the Southwestern United States, the National Hurricane Center’s latest advisory says.

“Interests in southern Baja California Sur, Mexico, should monitor the progress of Bud,” the center said.

The latest public forecast showed Bud moving in a northwestern direction at around 7 miles per hour. According to the hurricane center, Bud should decrease in speed over the next few days as it approaches land.

“A weakening trend is expected to begin later today and continue through Thursday while Bud approaches southern Baja California Sur,” the center said. They had earlier noted that the storm has sent “mixed signals” regarding its intensity.

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Bud is expected to hit southern Baja California Sur on Thursday, potentially getting further inland and hitting southern Arizona by late Sunday, according to the center’s estimates. By the time Bud hits land in Mexico it is forecast to have weakened to below hurricane speeds.

Forecasters noted that the storm’s eye had been “well-defined” but was starting to lose some of its definition.

“Even though Bud is currently a powerful hurricane, it is going to pass over ocean waters of progressively decreasing heat content,” the center said.

Southwestern Mexico should expect several inches of rainfall from Bud, with the possibility of ten inches in certain areas. The hurricane center warned that this could cause flash floods and mudslides.

The coast will also continue to see swell and potentially life threatening surf and rip in southwestern Mexico.

On the other side of the Americas, a trough of low pressure is bringing “disturbed weather” over the Caribbean sea which is likely to move over Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula over the next few days.

Though forecasters said that “environmental conditions could became slightly conducive for some development” towards the end of the week, the system is currently only at a 10 percent chance of forming into a cyclone in the next two days and 20 percent in the next five days.