Jaime Harrison Takes Slight Lead Over Lindsey Graham in Senate Race, New Poll Shows

Democratic Senate candidate Jaime Harrison has taken a two-point lead over Republican South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, according to a new poll.

Conducted by Morning Consult, the latest survey found 47 percent of South Carolina respondents saying they'd vote for Harrison, while 45 percent sided with Graham.

Morning Consult surveyed an approximate sample size of 926 likely voters in the state from October 11 to October 20 and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

While Harrison's lead is within the poll's margin of error, several other polls have showed the two candidates also neck and neck.

A study conducted by Data for Progress found the two rivals receiving similar support, with Harrison ahead by just one point. According to that poll, 47 percent of respondents said they'd vote for Harrison if the election were held today, while 46 percent backed Graham. It surveyed 801 likely voters in South Carolina from October 8 to October 11 and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

A third poll conducted by GBAO Strategies and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign found Harrison holding a similar one-point lead. Forty-eight percent said they'd vote for Harrison, compared to 47 percent who chose Graham. Eight hundred likely voters in South Carolina were surveyed in this poll from September 24 to September 28, and the poll reported a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Jaime Harrison
Democratic candidate for Senate Jaime Harrison addresses supporters during a socially distanced drive-in rally held at The Bend in North Charleston, South Carolina on October 17. Logan Cyrus/Getty

Meanwhile, a fourth survey from The New York Times/Sienna College found drastically different results, with the incumbent Graham ahead by six points. According to the poll, which surveyed 605 likely voters in the state, 46 percent of respondents said they'd vote for Graham compared to 40 percent who sided with Harrison. The New York Times/Sienna College conducted their poll from October 9 to October 14 and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Morning Consult's findings come as Graham pulled out of a debate against Harrison, scheduled for Wednesday. It marked the second time a debate between the two candidates has been postponed, and the Republican Senator faced harsh backlash from Harrison after announcing his decision.

"This is probably the most historic Senate race in the history of this state, and to have Senator Graham ducking and dodging is really sad, but it's a testament to who he is," Harrison said on Wednesday while appearing on SiriusXM's The Laura Coates Show. "He believes that he represents the interest in Washington, D.C. instead of representing the interests of the people in South Carolina. And that's why he's on the verge of getting that one-way ticket back home."

In an an email sent to Newsweek, Harrison's campaign spokesperson, Guy King wrote: "Lindsey Graham is scared right now, and he should be."

"As Lindsey scurries off to Washington to play another round of political games, our grassroots movement is catapulting forward," King's email said. "South Carolina is ready for a leader who will stand up and fight for them—something Lindsey Graham fails to do."

Newsweek reached out to Graham's office, but did not receive a response in time for publication.