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By Tyler Everett
Sports Betting Editor
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Stop me if you've heard this before: Aaron Rodgers leading an improved offense and a stout defense under coach Robert Saleh could help the Jets make serious noise in the AFC this year.
Many football fans shared that sentiment in 2023 before nothing went according to plan. Will it be déjà vu for Gang Green or overdue good luck in 2024?
New York Jets 2024 Futures Odds
Sportsbooks offer several markets for anyone looking to bet on how the Jets — or any other team — will fare in 2024. Bet win totals and playoff odds to whether they will win the AFC East, conference title or even the Super Bowl.
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NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds: KC WR Hill, SF RB McCaffrey Favored6 min read
NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds: Micah Parsons the betting favorite5 min read
NFL Coach of the Year Odds: Jim Harbaugh, Matt Eberflus Favored8 min read
In addition to the various team futures markets available, oddsmakers also offer odds for offensive and defensive player of the year, offensive and defensive rookie of the year, coach of the year and comeback player of the year.
Between the NFL Comeback Player of the Year favorite Rodgers, intriguing Coach of the Year candidate Robert Saleh, DPOY longshots Haason Reddick, Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams and OPOY contenders Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall, the Jets are well-represented in the futures markets for the NFL's individual awards.
New York Jets 2024 Playoff, AFC East, Conference, Super Bowl Odds
Below are the Jets' odds of making the playoffs, winning their division, claiming the AFC Championship and hoisting their second Lombardi Trophy.
New York Jets 2024 Win Total Odds
Below are the Jets' win total odds at several top sportsbooks:
At most sportsbooks, the standard win total is 9.5, but it's also possible to bet on the Jets exceeding or falling short of alternate win totals.
For example, New York is -300 to go over 8.5 wins and +225 to go under 8.5 wins on bet365. The site also offers the Jets at +125 to go over 10.5, and -155 to win fewer than 11 games.
DK lists Rodgers and Co. at +190 to go over 11.5 wins and -245 to go under. Meanwhile, Caesars' alternate win totals for the Jets include 11.0 (Over +180; Under -230) and 9.0 (Over -225; Under +175).
New York Jets 2024 Outlook
Rodgers' torn Achilles, which he suffered on the fourth snap of the first drive of his team's highly anticipated 2023 season opener against the Bills, prevented New York from contending last year. The Jets finished 7-10 with Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian and Tim Boyle all starting games under center. A 4-3 start gave way to a 3-7 record over the final 10 games.
Aaron Rodgers leads potentially dangerous offense
If Rodgers, who turns 41 in December, has fully recovered from his Achilles injury and reverts to form, the Jets have a sky-high ceiling this season. Obviously, it's hard to overstate what a big "if" that is for not only New York but potentially the entire league.
The Jets boast an outstanding WR in Garrett Wilson, the 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, and a dangerous RB in Breece Hall. The latter, who is also entering his third season in the league, has already found the end zone 14 times and gained well over 2,000 all-purpose yards in just 18 career starts.
Throw in an offensive line that was overhauled with the offseason additions of three expected starters (Tyron Smith at LT, John Simpson at LG and Morgan Mosesat RT), plus first-round draft pick Olu Fashanu, and the Jets have more offensive upside than they've had in a long time.
Jets defense poised to wreak havoc once again
On the other side of the football, expect another solid season from the Saleh-led Jets defense, which forced 27 turnovers a year ago while giving up only 292 total yards per game. With four 2023 Pro Bowlers between ages 23 and 27 — Gardner, Williams, Jermaine Johnson II and Quincy Williams — New York has as many young stars as any defense in the league. The CB Gardner and DT Williams are two of the best young defenders in the NFL, but they're not the only players to watch on this unit.
Last year's sacks leader, Bryce Huff, left for the Eagles this offseason, while Quinton Jefferson departed for the Browns. New York subsequently added Haason Reddick to replace Huff. The Jets also return a Pro Bowl pass rusher in Johnson II (7.5 sacks in 2023) and Will McDonald, a first-round pick a year ago who flashed in limited action with three sacks, four tackles-for-loss and seven pressures. At defensive tackle, New York signed former 49er Javon Kinlaw, who is expected to start alongside Williams on a deep Jets D-line that also includes Solomon Thomas as a backup.
After finishing with 48 sacks in 2023, the Jets should once again boast a solid pass rush, one that will enjoy increased opportunities if the offense stays on track with Rodgers at the helm.
New York Jets 2024 Best Bets
For the second consecutive offseason, the Jets are an easy team to love. It's hard to see this team winning less than 10 games if Rodgers is healthy. Unfortunately, that's no guarantee, which makes betting on this team a tricky proposition right now.
For now, though, let's assume Rodgers — who played in at least 15 games in 13 of 15 seasons from 2008-2022 — bounces back from last year's injury, at least well enough to give the Jets a competent presence under center. That should be enough for them to win at least 10 games, making Over 9.5 (-150 at DraftKings) a solid play, even at the expensive price of -150.
Unfortunately for anyone banking on a playoff appearance from this team, oddsmakers are offering unappetizing odds of -170 or shorter — no thank you!
As for NY's AFC East odds, the division is too deep to recommend a wager on the Jets, especially at shorter than 2-to-1 odds. That's more of a show of respect to the Bills and Dolphins, especially the former, than a knock on New York. Regardless, given the strength of that trio, +190 doesn't offer enough bang for the buck.
But as we've discussed at length at this point, this team's ceiling is sky-high. With Rodgers playing with a chip on his shoulder, Jets to Win the AFC (+1200 bet365) is an enticing bet.
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