Liz Cheney's Bid for Votes Faltering As Trump Pick Ahead in Poll

Representative Liz Cheney's efforts to win votes in the Wyoming Republican primary appear to be faltering despite her attempts to win support from Democrats who could change their party registration to support her.

A new poll from Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy for Wyoming's Casper Star-Tribune shows Cheney trailing her Republican rival Harriet Hageman with just 30 percent to Hageman's 52 percent.

The Republicans are competing for the GOP nomination for Wyoming's single seat in the House of Representatives.

Former President Donald Trump has endorsed Hageman and there appears to be significant anger among many voters who have previously backed Cheney because of her role as a member of the House of Representatives' Select Committee investigating January 6, 2021.

Cheney has been a strong critic of former President Trump and voted to impeach him last year following the Capitol riot. She is also one of only two GOP members of the January 6 committee and has played a prominent part in its public hearings.

The Casper Star-Tribune poll found that 54 percent of respondents said Cheney serving on the committee made it less likely that they would support her.

Just 27 percent of voters approved of Cheney's job performance in the latest poll and 7 percent said they were not sure, meaning 66 percent of respondents disapproved.

The poll was conducted from July 7 to 11 among 1,100 registered Wyoming voters likely to vote in the primary and had a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The poll was conducted after early voting had already begun and the primary will take place on August 16.

It is the first independent, public in-state poll to be conducted during the primary campaign, according to the Casper Star-Tribune.

Cheney's attempts to get Democrats in Wyoming to support her in the Republican primary do not appear to be yielding significant results, in large part because of the small number of Democrats in the state.

Wyoming allows voters to change their party registration by mail up to 14 days before the primary and at the polling station on the day. Cheney has reportedly made overtures to Democrats and her campaign website features instructions for voters about changing their party affiliation.

The New York Times reported in late June that Cheney's campaign had been sending mailers to Wyoming Democrats with information about the Republican primary.

That strategy does not appear to have moved the needle in Cheney's favor, despite 69 percent of registered Democrats saying they will take part in the Republican primary and back Cheney, according to the Mason-Dixon poll.

Liz Cheney Attends the January 6 Hearings
Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), Vice Chairwoman of the Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the U.S. Capitol, delivers remarks during the fourth hearing by the House Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the U.S. Capitol in the Cannon House Office Building on June 21, 2022 in Washington, DC. A new poll shows Cheney far behind her Trump-endorsed rival in the Wyoming Republican primary. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

There has been palpable anger among some Republican voters in Wyoming due to Cheney's criticisms of Trump and role on the January 6 committee.

Nancy Donovan, a retired Wall Street banker and former donor to Cheney who has given her campaigns more than $35,000, told The Financial Times on July 10 that she was now backing Hageman.

"I sit there watching the January 6 hearings and I think: 'Have you lost your mind?'" Donovan told the newspaper.

Mary Martin, chair of the Teton County Republican party, told the The Financial Times that Cheney "has broken a lot of people's trust and that is against the cowboy code."

Wyoming is known as the cowboy state and Cheney appears on track for defeat there. If Hageman wins the Republican nomination, she is virtually guaranteed to be elected to the House in November.

Newsweek has asked Liz Cheney's office for comment.