Majority of Democrats Believe Trump Impeachment Proceedings Will Fail, President Will Complete First Term, Says New Poll

As the public hearings on impeachment proceedings continue against President Donald J. Trump, voters are reasonably sure the president will stay in office throughout his first term, according to a poll conducted by The Hill and HarrisX.

Of those polled, 73 percent said that Trump would likely finish out his first term while 14 percent said it was unlikely. Thirteen percent of those surveyed weren't sure.

There was an increase in the number of Democrats who said Trump was likely to stay until the end of his first elected term with 56 percent responding positively, a 7 percent increase since an identical poll taken in October 2019. Democrats who said Trump would be unable to complete his term dropped by ten points, with 25 percent responding in the negative. Some Democrats were unsure, with 19 percent responding as such.

Republicans were confident in the president, as 93 percent of those polled said Trump would continue on. Only 5 percent said it was unlikely that Trump would be able to continue while 3 percent were not sure.

As a whole, independent voters also were on Trump's side with 74 percent indicating they thought Trump would complete his first term. Those who thought it was unlikely numbered 12 percent, while 14 percent weren't sure, a two-point drop from the October poll.

president donald trump
Most voters believe that President Donald J. Trump will be able to remain in office throughout his entire first term. Steven Ferdman/WireImage/Getty

Some betting sites seem to believe that the odds of Trump being impeached are good, if not great, according to Business Insider.

Statistic point to impeachment being likely, with a 56 percent chance that Trump will be put on trial and the Senate will have to vote. If a senate trial happens, there is a 34 percent chance that Trump will be acquitted. There's also the possibility that Trump won't be impeached at all. Odds on that outcome are at 22 percent.

Those odds will likely change depending on the day to day happenings in the impeachment hearings which began November 13.

During the course of questioning, U.S. Ambassador in Ukraine William Taylor and Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs George Kent told members of the House Intelligence Committee that Ukrainian officials did not know aid was being withheld until August 2019.

Taylor also said that Trump was less concerned about Ukraine than he was what was happening with his political rival, Joe Biden. Trump telephoned U.S. Ambassador to the European Union Gordon Sondland during a meal at which one of Taylor's staffers was present.

"Following the call with President Trump," Taylor said, "the member of my staff asked Ambassador Sondland what President Trump thought about Ukraine. Ambassador Sondland responded that President Trump cares more about the investigations of Biden, which [Rudy] Giuliani was pressing for."