New Poll Shows All Democratic Frontrunners Beating Donald Trump in Key State of Michigan

A poll of Michigan voters released Wednesday found that the five frontrunners of the Democratic primary race hold leads over incumbent President Donald Trump in the state.

Former Vice President Joe Biden, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, South, Bend Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Michael Bloomberg, all polled better than the incumbent president, according to the Glengariff Group survey shared via email with Newsweek. However, Warren and Buttigieg's leads over Trump were within the poll's margin of error, which was plus or minus four percentage points.

Respondents were asked whom they would vote for in a hypothetical presidential election that would occur the day they were surveyed. Biden, who has had the best polling numbers in most nationwide polls, had the widest lead over Trump—6.9 percent more of respondents said they would vote to elect him over reelecting Trump for a second term in office, while 5.3 percent were undecided.

Bloomberg was only about 1 percentage point behind Biden among poll respondents. Some 47.2 percent of them said they would vote for Bloomberg if the election were held between him and Trump, while 41.2 preferred Trump—a difference of six percentage points. However, 10.2 were undecided, almost double the amount who were torn when asked to choose between Trump and Biden.

In a hypothetical match-up with Trump, Sanders was the third most-favored Democratic candidate in the survey, with a 4.2 lead over the incumbent. If the election were held between Sanders and Trump on the day of the survey, 49 percent of respondents said they would vote for Sanders compared to 44.8 percent who said they would support Trump. Five percent said they were undecided between the two candidates.

In the poll, Warren and Buttigieg both hold slim leads over Trump, which as previously mentioned, were within the survey's margin of error. Forty-five percent of respondents said they would choose Buttigieg if he were the Democratic candidate, while 43.2 would vote for Trump. For Warren, 45.7 percent would vote to elect her versus 44 percent for Trump. Buttigieg's lead over Trump was 1.8 percent compared to Warren's 1.7 percent.

Trump defeated Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election in Michigan by nearly 11,000 votes, which, according to The Detroit News, was the smallest margin of victory in any state in that election. However, in the 2018 election, Michigan voters elected Democrats to all the statewide offices that had been held by Republicans.

The survey from the Glengariff Group was conducted via telephone between January 3 and January 7 among 600 Michiganders likely to vote in the 2020 presidential election, with equal responses from cell phones and landlines. According to the official report, the survey has a 95 percent level of confidence.

Lansing Cityscapes And City Views
Construction continues on a rainy day at the Michigan State Capitol building in Lansing, Michigan on September 27, 2019. Raymond Boyd/Getty