New Poll Shows Trump Trailing Biden in Georgia, a Republican Stronghold for Nearly Three Decades

Joe Biden's campaign for president is building up steam in Georgia—a state where the GOP holds every statewide office, according to a new Monmouth University poll released Wednesday.

"Biden seems to have made some inroads in deep red parts of Georgia. He won't win these areas, but he can carry the state if he is able to get close to a third of the vote there," Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement.

The latest polling shows the former vice president with support from 50 percent of registered voters to President Donald Trump's 45 percent, a week out from Election Day. Monmouth surveyed 504 Georgia voters from October 23 to 27, and the poll's margin of error is 4.4 percentage points.

Trump carried Georgia four years ago with 50.44 percent to Hillary Clinton's 45.35 percent. The last time Georgia swung for a Democratic presidential candidate was in 1992.

Both Trump and Biden have made aggressive plays for the state, holding multiple campaign events there in recent weeks.

Monmouth also reported that nearly 60 percent of Georgia's registered voters said they have already cast their ballots. Among them, Biden leads 55 percent to 43 percent, while Trump has a 48 percent to 44 percent edge with people who have not yet voted.

"Trump is likely to win the Election Day vote. The question is by how much," Murray said, noting it's also possible Trump could make up his deficit in the early voting by then.

Biden, who has made less of an in-person campaign push because of the coronavirus pandemic, held a drive-in rally in Atlanta on Tuesday.

"You know, there aren't a lot of pundits who would have guessed four years ago that the Democratic candidate for president in 2020 would be campaigning in Georgia one week before Election Day," Biden said during the event. "Something is happening—here in Georgia, and across the country, people of different races, backgrounds, Democrats, Republicans and independents are coming together to transcend old divisions and to show what's possible."

Last week, Biden's running mate, Senator Kamala Harris, the first woman who is Black and Indian-American to be on a major party ticket for president, held a campaign event in Atlanta.

Trump, meanwhile, had a mass rally in Macon, Georgia two weeks ago, and Donald Trump Jr. has gone to the state to campaign multiple times in the past month. Ivanka Trump, the president's daughter and White House adviser, appeared alongside Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue, a former Georgia governor, just outside of Atlanta on October 13.

Trump's campaign didn't immediately respond to Newsweek's request for comment on the latest polling. The campaign has been highly critical of public polls, instead pointing to the "enthusiasm" reflected in turnout for the president's mass rallies and other campaign events, including unofficial boat parades.

The Monmouth poll showed Democrats gaining traction in races for the state's two U.S. Senate seats, currently held by Republicans who are on the ballot.

Biden Georgia
Joe Biden speaks during a drive-in campaign rally in the parking lot of the Cellairis Amphitheatre in Atlanta on October 27. Biden is campaigning in Georgia on Tuesday, with scheduled stops in Atlanta and Warm Springs. Drew Angerer/Getty