Who Will Be the First NFL Coach Fired This Year? Odds Spell Trouble for Dan Quinn and Adam Gase

The NFL season is barely three weeks old but with six teams 0-3 as the calendar turns to October, the seats of several head coaches are getting uncomfortably hot for their occupants.

While the majority of NFL teams tend to leave head coaching changes for the end of the campaign, five coaches lost their jobs during the season over the last three years.

Here's a look at who may follow them (All odds via SportsLine NFL).

Dan Quinn

At 1/2, Quinn has the shortest odds of any of the 32 NFL head coaches to be the first to lose his job, which will come as no surprise to anyone who has witnessed the Falcons' meltdowns over the last two weeks. Having managed to throw away a 19-point lead on the road against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2, Atlanta did it all over again on Sunday, relinquishing a 15-point lead at home to the Chicago Bears to become the first team in NFL history to lose back-to-back games despite leading by at least 15 points in the fourth quarter of both games.

The Falcons may rank fifth in the NFL in scoring at an average of 30 points per game, but their defense is allowing a league-worst 36 points per game. A trip to Green Bay on Monday Night Football against a Packers team looking for a fourth straight win doesn't bode well for the Falcons, who could fall to 0-4, nor for Quinn's future.

Dan Quinn, Atlanta Falcons
Dan Quinn of the Atlanta Falcons takes the field prior to an NFL game against the Chicago Bears at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 27 in Atlanta, Georgia. Quinn is the favorite to be the first NFL head coach to be fired this season after the Falcons lost their first three games. Todd Kirkland/Getty

Adam Gase

Numbers may only tell half the story, but in the Jets' case they paint an absolutely dismal picture. To put into perspective just how bad the Jets have been so far this season, they scored 6 on a 0-to-100 scale on ESPN's total efficiency metric, which measures the impact of a team's offense, defense and special teams.

Gase's team has scored the fewest points of any of the 32 franchises so far this season, ranks last in the league in yards, its third-year quarterback is showing worrying signs of regression and the defense has given up over 30 points in two of the first three games. A host of injuries to several starters offer some mitigation, but the Jets aren't the only team to have been decimated by injuries—the Denver Broncos, their opponents on Thursday Night Football this week, are in a similar situation—and some of their rivals have coped far better in similar circumstances.

At 3/1 Gase is the second-favorite to become the first coaching casualty of the season and ESPN reported on Sunday that the franchise was growing restless with Gase, whose head coaching record in New York now stands at 7-12.

Matt Patricia

The Lions finally got their season going on Sunday, snapping a two-game losing streak with an unexpected road win against the still undefeated Arizona Cardinals. The win gave Patricia some much-needed breathing room, but at 4/1 Detroit's head coach remains the most likely head coach to be fired behind only Quinn and Gase.

The Lions have the NFL's fifth-worst defense and have wasted double-digit leads against the Bears and the Packers in the first two weeks of the season and are 10-24-1 in just over two seasons under Patricia, hardly numbers that point to a bright future.

Matt Patricia, Detroit Lions
Matt Patricia, head coach of the Detroit Lions, watches the action during the fourth quarter of the game against the Chicago Bears at Ford Field on September 13 in Detroit, Michigan. Chicago defeated Detroit 27-23. Leon Halip/Getty

Bill O'Brien

O'Brien took plenty of heat after inexplicably trading All-Pro wideout DeAndre Hopkins to the Arizona Cardinals for a meager return consisting of running back David Johnson along with a second- and fourth-round pick.

So far, the gamble has backfired and the Texans find themselves at 0-3 for the second time in three seasons. In 2018, Houston recovered to win the AFC South and while the Tennessee Titans look to be running away with the division after winning their first three games of the season, the Texans ought to be cut some slack because of a grueling early schedule. Houston has faced the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers—respectively, the reigning Super Bowl champions, the team that finished last season with the best record in the NFL and one of the only seven undefeated teams this season—and the road should get easier from now on for the Texans and O'Brien, who at 6/1 is the fourth likeliest head coach to be fired first this season.

Mike Zimmer

The Minnesota Vikings began the season as the bookmakers' favorites to win the NFC North but find themselves 0-3 going into Week 4's matchup in Houston against the Texans. After looking worryingly blunt in Week 2, Minnesota's offense got going again in Week 3, putting up 464 yards and 30 points in the loss against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, before stalling in disastrous fashion on the final drive. The Vikings have scored at least 30 points in two of their three games but have lost both, largely because of a defense that has not been able to make the difference and which currently ranks third-last in the NFL in yards allowed per game and second-worst in points allowed.

Zimmer is 8/1 to lose his job and signed a three-year extension in July but should Minnesota slip to 0-4 on Sunday, his seat could be getting hotter.