Pete Buttigieg Leads Among New Hampshire Moderates, Conservatives and Over 50s: Poll

Pete Buttigieg is leading in New Hampshire among moderates, conservatives and over-50s, according to a poll from the state, data that may cause concern for former vice president Joe Biden's campaign after his performance in Iowa.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont independent and a democratic socialist, maintains his strong lead in New Hampshire just ahead of primary day on February 11 after narrowly coming second in Iowa to Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana.

The 7 News/Emerson College poll tracker put Sanders at 32 percent in New Hampshire on its fifth night surveying voters in the state, a one-point gain on the previous day. Buttigieg, a moderate, was at 23 percent, a two-point daily gain and ten points up on the start of the tracking poll.

In third place was progressive Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 13 percent and then Biden in fourth at 11 percent. Fifth was Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, another moderate on the ticket, at 9 percent.

Seven candidates—the five listed above plus tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang and hedge fund billionaire Tom Steyer—will take part in a debate in Manchester, New Hampshire, on Friday night ahead of next week's primary.

"This is beginning to turn into a two-person race in New Hampshire between Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg," said Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson College Polling. "All eyes will be on Warren, Biden, and Klobuchar at the debate on Friday night to see if any of them can create a game-changing moment for their campaigns."

Sanders is on top with voters under 50 years old at 44 percent. Second is Buttigieg at 17 percent and third is Warren at 13 percent, according to the latest Emerson poll. Among voters over 50, Buttigieg leads at 31 percent, then Sanders at 20 percent, and Biden at 17 percent.

The Vermont senator is also leading among both "very liberal" and "somewhat liberal" voters, holding 46 percent support among the first group and 43 percent with the second. Warren is second among very liberals at 32 percent and Buttigieg third at 11 percent.

Among somewhat liberals, Buttigieg is second at 20 percent, Warren is third with 12 percent and Biden is fourth with 11 percent.

But Buttigieg now leads with "moderate" or "conservative" voters at 31 percent support, followed by Sanders in second place at 16 percent, Biden in third at 13 percent, and Klobuchar in fourth at 12 percent.

The New Hampshire 7 News/Emerson College poll of 500 registered Democratic and independent likely voters was conducted February 5-6 by landline, cell phone, and an online panel. There is a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent.

After days of delay following technical and quality issues in its count, 100 percent of the precincts in the Iowa caucuses had reported by Thursday evening. Buttigieg won with 564 secured state delegate equivalents (SDEs) followed by Sanders with 562.

Warren was third with 387 SDEs and Biden fourth with 341. Klobuchar was next with 264, then Yang with 22, and Steyer with seven.

Speaking at the CNN Town Hall event on Thursday night after hearing he had won the most SDEs in Iowa, Buttigieg said it was "fantastic" but added that Sanders "clearly had a great night too and I congratulate him and his supporters."

"For us, this is a campaign that a year ago I think a lot of people were questioning why we were even making the attempt," Buttigieg said.

"And to see over the course of that year, having started with four people on the staff of the committee, we had this little cramped office in South Bend, no national name recognition, no personal fortune, no big email list that you would get from having run for president before.

"We just had this idea that we could build a different kind of politics of belonging based on bringing people together. And to see how that led to that win for us in Iowa is fantastic.

"But, I also know that we're in New Hampshire now. We've got to look ahead. New Hampshire is a state that has never been told what to do and we've got to earn every vote and earn a win on Tuesday night right here."

Pete Buttigieg New Hampshire 2020 poll Sanders
U.S. Presidential Candidate and former South Bend, Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg speaks and answers questions to veterans and members of the public at a town hall event at the American Legion Post 98 in Merrimack, New Hampshire on February 6, 2020. JOSEPH PREZIOSO/AFP via Getty Images